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    NFL Betting Lines and Trends Week 2: Covering Cowboys, Sleeping Giants, and a Prime-Time Trend To Bank On

    With the Week 2 NFL betting lines settling, take a look at these trends before you place a single wager this weekend.

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    The second week of professional football is here, and that means there is money to be made!

    NFL betting isn’t easy — due to the popularity of the sport, not to mention the legalization of betting, it’s the most efficient market in North America by a wide margin. The Week 2 NFL betting lines are up and ready to be picked apart — let’s get to it!

    NFL Betting: 2024 Futures, Preseason Content

    You’re running low on time to lock in your future bets — allow me to help!

    NFL Betting: Week 2 Matchups and Trends

    There are some big numbers on the board this weekend, and the natural reaction is to pass on them — but is that wise?

    Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins

    Spread: Dolphins -2.5
    2024 ATS Records: BUF (0-1), MIA (0-1)
    Trends:

    • Each of the Bills’ past three road games against the Dolphins has gone under the total by at least 13 points.
    • Over the past decade, the Dolphins have been the fourth-worst prime-time team in terms of cover rate (39.1%, 9-14-1, only the Jets, Commanders, and Buccaneers have been worse)
    • Miami is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their past six September games within the division, with each of the past five coming in under the total.

    Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens

    Spread: Ravens -9
    2024 ATS Records: LV (0-1), BAL (0-1)
    Trend:

    • From 2016-21, teams catching more than seven points covered 49.2% of the time (54.1% unders); Since: 56.5% cover rate and 53.6% overs.
    • Unders are 5-1 following Lamar Jackson’s past six outright losses (the Ravens have covered three straight following a loss).

    New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys

    Spread: Cowboys -6.5
    2024 ATS Records: NO (1-0), DAL (1-0)
    Trends:

    • New Orleans is 1-10-1 ATS (9.1%) over the last 12 seasons in Week 2.
    • Dallas is 17-8 ATS (68%) at home over the past three seasons, second best.

    San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings

    Spread: 49ers -6
    2024 ATS Records: SF (1-0), MIN (1-0)
    Trends:

    • San Francisco is 9-3-1 ATS (75%) over their past 13 games as a road favorite, bettering the spread by an average of 7.4 points per game.
    • Unders are 6-2 in Minnesota’s past eight September games.

    Los Angeles Chargers at Carolina Panthers

    Spread: Chargers -6.5
    2024 ATS Records: LAC (1-0), CAR (0-1)
    Trends:

    • Unders are 5-2 in Justin Herbert’s last seven starts as a road favorite (unders went just 1-7 in his first eight career such spots).
    • Since the start of 2022, home teams catching more than a field goal cover 56.7% of the time (45.3% cover rate when they are a home dog by no more than a FG).

    Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers

    Spread: Colts -9
    2024 ATS Records: IND (1-0), GB (0-1)
    Trends:

    • Since Week 6, the Colts have the second-highest over rate (9-4, 69.2%)
    • Green Bay is a league-best 9-2-1 ATS (81.8%) in Week 2’s since 2012.

    Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots

    Spread: Seahawks -3.5
    2024 ATS Records: SEA (0-1), NE (1-0)
    Trends:

    • Geno Smith is 5-9-3 ATS (35.7%) as a favorite. Think this game goes over the low total? Smith is 1-6-2 ATS when favored in a game that goes over the number.
    • The Patriots were 1-7-1 ATS at home last season (unders: 6-3).

    New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

    Spread: Jets -3.5
    2024 ATS Records: NYJ (0-1), TEN (0-1)
    Trends:

    • Over the past five seasons, a team on short rest (five or fewer days) is 13-15 ATS (46.4%) against teams on normal or extended rest (6+ days) in September. In all other months, teams in that position are 77-63-3 ATS (55%). For those wondering, under tickets have cashed 60.7% of the time in those September instances.
    • Live bet alert! The Titans fell to 1-7 since the beginning of last season when scoring first (the NFL win rate when scoring first is over 65% during that stretch).

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions

    Spread: Lions -7
    2024 ATS Records: TB (1-0), DET (1-0)
    Trends:

    • Since the beginning of 2022, Tampa Bay has covered seven of 10 road games as an underdog (2.1 points per game better than the spread in those games).
    • Jared Goff is 24-6 outright when favored by 6+ points, but be careful in assuming that a victory means a cover. His team is 16-13-1 ATS in those 30 games.

    New York Giants at Washington Commanders

    Spread: Commanders -1.5
    2024 ATS Records: NYG (0-1), WAS (0-1)
    Trends:

    • New York has covered five of their past six road divisional games with seven of their past nine such games going over the total.
    • Washington has covered just three of their past 12 divisional games (last divisional cover: Week 4 at Philadelphia).

    Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars

    Spread: Jaguars -3.5
    2024 ATS Records: CLE (0-1), JAX (0-1)
    Trend:

    • Since the start of 2022, overs are 13-4 when Cleveland plays on the road (76.5%).
    • Trevor Lawrence is just 5-9 ATS (35.7%) when favored in a game with a projected total under 45 points.

    Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals

    Spread: Cardinals -1.5
    2024 ATS Records: LAR (0-1), ARI (1-0)
    Trend:

    • Overs are 5-2 in Matthew Stafford’s last seven games as a road favorite (four of those games have gone over the total by 6+ points).
    • The underdog has covered in 20 of 34 Kyler Murray’s career home starts.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs

    Spread: Chiefs -6
    2024 ATS Records: CIN (0-1), KC (1-0)
    Trend:

    • The Bengals are 17-9 ATS as an underdog when Joe Burrow starts (unders are 15-10-1 in those contests)
    • Kansas City has covered, including the playoffs, seven straight games. An eighth straight would make them one of just five teams to do that since the beginning of 2019 (most recent: 2022 Titans in Weeks 3-11).

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos

    Spread: Steelers -2.5
    2024 ATS Records: PIT (1-0), DEN (1-0)
    Trend:

    • Russell Wilson (calf, status TBD) is 10-19-1 ATS over his past 31 road starts.
    • Under tickets, since 2020, cash at a 60.8% rate when the projected total is under 39 points.

    Chicago Bears at Houston Texans

    Spread: Texans -6.5
    2024 ATS Records: CHI (1-0), HOU (0-1)
    Trend:

    • Over the past decade, rookie quarterbacks in regular-season prime-time games are 38-26-1 ATS (59.4%), with under tickets coming through at a nearly identical rate (39-26, 60%).
    • Quarterbacks in one of their first two seasons are 10-17-1 ATS (37%) when favored by at least six points since the start of 2022.

    Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles

    Spread: Eagles -6.5
    2024 ATS Records: ATL (0-1), PHI (1-0)
    Trend:

    • Since 2015, unders are 13-4-1 when the Falcons play in prime time (23.5%, easily the lowest rate in the league over that stretch).
    • Atlanta is 6-11 ATS (35.3%) on the road since the beginning of 2022, failing to meet the spread expectation by an average of 5.1 points in the process.
    • Over the past two seasons, unders are 53-29 (64.6%) when a team on extended rest (7+ days) plays on prime time. When this game kicks off, the Eagles will have had nine days to prep. When that extended rest filter is ramped up to 9+ days, unders are 21-7 (75%) during those two seasons.

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