PFSN wants to set you up to be a smarter fan to assist you with rooting for your team, playing fantasy football, or betting. Here are the most important stats, trends, notes, and insights for every NFL matchup in Week 15. We all know how time-consuming gathering all the information can be, which is why we’re doing the research for you so you don’t have to.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
Team: The Atlanta Falcons have lost six of the last seven games after beating the Buffalo Bills in Week 6. The Falcons have allowed 30 points or more in four of the six losses.
QB: Kirk Cousins’ 60.9 completion percentage is the lowest in his career for any season he’s started at least four games.
Offense: Bijan Robinson has accounted for 44.3% of touches for the Falcons and has produced close to 38% of the team’s yards from scrimmage. He leads the NFL with 1,683 yards from scrimmage.
Defense: The Falcons are third in the NFL with 43 sacks behind the Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns. Atlanta is ranked 15th in the PFSN Defense Impact score (DEFi), up from 29th last season.
Fantasy: The only startable player on the Falcons other than Bijan Robinson is Kyle Pitts. The Falcons TE is averaging 12.4 PPG with Kirk Cousins, up from 9.1 with Michael Penix. Pitts is averaging 2.1 more targets and 22 more receiving yards per game with Cousins under center.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Atlanta 24-20 in Week 1 when Baker Mayfield connected with Emeka Egbuka for a 25-yard touchdown pass with 59 seconds left. It was the first of five wins in one-score games this season.
QB: Baker Mayfield’s PFSN Quarterback Impact Score (QBi) against the Saints was 68.7 (D+). It was the fourth D+ or lower in the last seven games. His season QBi rank is 27th.
Offense: The Buccaneers are ranked 26th in PFSN Offense Impact score (OFFi), down from 3rd last season.
Defense: Tampa Bay is 5-0 when allowing 20 points or fewer, but 2-6 when opponents score over 20 points.
Fantasy: Since Week 7, Baker Mayfield is averaging 12.7 PPG. He’s been worse than the likes of Tyler Shough, JJ McCarthy, and Shedeur Sanders. Last year, Mayfield posted 23.4 and 24.3 fantasy points against the Falcons. Something has to give.
Cleveland Browns at Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns
Team: This is the third time in the last four years the Browns have lost at least ten games under Kevin Stefanski. Nine of the team’s 24 losses in the previous two seasons have been by at least 13 points.
QB: Shedeur Sanders had the 14th-best QBi (75.9, C) in Week 14 against the Titans. In two of his three starts, his QBi has ranked in the Top 15.
Offense: Cleveland ranks 29th in points scored and 30th in total yards on offense.
Defense: Myles Garrett has 20 sacks and is two and a half sacks behind the single-season record held by Michael Strahan and T.J. Watt. Garrett’s previous career high was 16 in 2021 and 2022.
Fantasy: Shedeur Sanders threw for 364 yards and three scores (not to mention one rush TD) against the Tennessee Titans after totaling 358 yards and two scores in his first two career starts. Nice to see, and he proved himself closer to fantasy relevance than fellow rookie Cam Ward, but he’s still not close to critical in standard-sized leagues.
Chicago Bears
Team: The Chicago Bears lost to the Green Bay Packers by seven points in Week 14, snapping a six-game win streak in one-score games. Overall, the Bears are 6-2 in games decided by eight points or fewer.
QB: Caleb Williams has nine touchdown passes and one interception at home, while throwing ten touchdown passes and five interceptions on the road.
Offense: Chicago’s OFFi score vs the Packers was 74.3 (C). The Bears have the 11th best OFFi (C+) for the season, continue to show significant improvement under Ben Johnson from the last four years when they were rated a D+ or worse grade that ranked 25th or lower in the league.
Defense:Â The Bears’ DEF score of 67.5 (D+) against the Packers was 23rd in the league. The defense is 28th in DEFi this season, down from 13th last season.
Fantasy: Everything in Chicago is split, and until that changes, they are all hard to trust. The RBs split 31 touches as evenly as you can, and seven Bears saw 2-6 targets. Against a good Browns defense, trusting any of them on limited volume is a tough sell, especially if Rome Odunze returns.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
Team: The Baltimore Ravens lost at home to the Pittsburgh Steelers in a critical AFC North game and are now one game behind Pittsburgh for the division lead. Baltimore lost at home to the Cincinnati Bengals on Thanksgiving. The Ravens conclude their season with a home game against the New England Patriots and road games against the Packers and Steelers.
QB: Lamar Jackson threw his first touchdown pass since Week 10. It was also his first game with a pass touchdown and a rush touchdown since Week 1.
Offense: Week 1 against Buffalo, Baltimore had the 4th best OFFi score of the week. It’s the team’s only week in the Top 5, and their overall OFFi rank for the season is 25th. Last season, Baltimore had the second-best offense OFFi and had 13 top-five weekly finishes.
Defense: The Ravens have allowed 33.7 points per game in losses, while holding opponents to 14.9 points per game in wins.
Fantasy: Derrick Henry has cleared 20 PPR points in three of his past five fantasy playoff games (Weeks 15-17) and has run for a TD in each of his four games against the Bengals.
Cincinnati Bengals
Team: The Bengals’ playoff hopes have dwindled following their loss to the Bills. With Pittsburgh and Baltimore facing more rigid schedules to finish the season, Cincinnati needed to win all remaining games to reach 9-8 and potentially claim the AFC North title.
QB: Joe Burrow’s first two interceptions of the season happened on back-to-back passes in the fourth quarter. The two mistakes turned into 14 points that fueled a critical win for the Bills and a devastating loss for the Bengals.
Offense: Cincinnati has four games with a B- or higher in OFFi; they are 1-3 in those games.
Defense: In Week 12 against the Ravens, the Bengals forced five turnovers, and the 14 points allowed is a season best.
Fantasy: Joe Burrow has thrown for 1,081 yards and 11 touchdowns across his last three meetings with the Ravens.
Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans
Arizona Cardinals
Team: The Arizona Cardinals have lost ten of 15 games since starting last season 6-4.
QB: With Kyler Murray out for the season, Jacoby Brissett will be the starter for the remainder of the season. Brissett has 2,459 passing yards and 15 touchdown passes through eight starts. With four games left, Brissett is 639 passing yards and three touchdowns away from his career highs that were set in 15 starts.
Offense: The Cardinals scored 20.6 points per game in five Kyler Murray starts, and 22.4 points per game in Jacoby Brissett’s eight starts.
Defense:Â The Los Angeles Rams scored 45 points in Week 14 to become the third Cardinals opponent in the last five games to score over 40.
Fantasy: Jacoby Brissett has been a revelation, but this matchup is pretty clearly one to avoid. Houston has recently made Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen look ordinary. Stream the position this week, Brissett isn’t worth the risk.
Houston Texans
Team: The Houston Texans have a +68 point differential in the fourth quarter, which is best in the NFL. If you remove the 26-0 fourth quarter Houston had against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 10, Houston would still be second in point differential in the fourth quarter.
QB: C.J. Stroud has ten touchdown passes and three interceptions in the last seven games; the Texans are 5-2 in that stretch. Stroud started the season with two touchdown passes and three interceptions in the first three games of the season. The TD/INT ratio over the last seven games is more in line with his rookie season, when he had 23 touchdowns and five interceptions.
Offense: The Texans started 0-3 and committed five turnovers. In the last 10 games, Houston has won 8 and has committed five turnovers.
Defense: The Texans are the only team with two players with 10 sacks or more: Danielle Hunter (11) and Will Anderson (10.5)
Fantasy: Woody Marks established himself as the lead man in this backfield prior to Nick Chubb getting dinged up, but this offensive line is prohibitive, and without a 20-yard rush in a month, the ceiling is low despite the plus-volume.
New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
Team: The New York Jets have lost ten games in each of the last six seasons and nine of the previous ten seasons.
QB: If Brady Cook starts on Sunday, it will be the fourth time in five seasons that the Jets have had at least three starting quarterbacks. Cook would be the 11th different quarterback to start.
Offense: New York scored ten points twice in the last three games. The Jets have scored 11 points or fewer in five games.
Defense: The Jets are the first team to have no interceptions through 13 games since the 1931 Chicago Bears.
Fantasy: Breece Hall is the only piece that is even moderately interesting here, and the volume alone makes him a PPR RB2, but he’s been capped at 4.1 yards per carry for five straight weeks. Without big play potential or scoring equity, his value sits below his talent.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: After Week 11, the Jaguars were two games behind the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC South. Jacksonville ended Week 14 with a one-game lead over Indianapolis and Houston in the division.
QB: Trevor Lawrence had the best OFFi score of Week 14 (84.3, B) against the Colts. He has thrown seven touchdown passes in the last three games. He had 11 in the first ten games.
Offense: Jacksonville has won five of the last six games and averaged 30.3 points per game. The only loss occurred in Week 10, when the Jaguars surrendered a 19-point lead in the fourth quarter against the Texans.
Defense: Josh Hines-Allen had half a sack in the first seven games. He has 6.5 sacks in the last six games.
Fantasy: Trevor Lawrence is on the streaming radar this weekend. Jakobi Meyers has earned volume every week since joining the team, and Brian Thomas offered enough in the way of spike plays last week to give Lawrence optionality.
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
Team: The Los Angeles Chargers are in good shape to secure a Wild Card spot. The Chargers hold a one-game lead over the struggling Colts, who currently rank eighth in the AFC. After Indianapolis, Los Angeles has at least a three-game lead. After the Chiefs, Los Angeles finishes with the Dallas Cowboys, Houston Texans, and Denver Broncos.
QB: Justin Herbert recorded his 19th career game-winning drive against the Eagles in Week 14. Only Patrick Mahomes, who has 20 game-winning drives, has more since 2020 when Herbert joined the league.
Offense: the Chargers’ OFFi has been down over the last four weeks. They had three games graded at a D+ level or worse, including a D- against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 14.
Defense: Los Angeles had the 5th-best DEFi score in Week 14 against the Eagles. For the fifth time in seven games, the Chargers have had a top-five weekly finish.
Fantasy: Omarion Hampton split backfield duties with Kimani Vidal in his return to action, but it was clear that he’s destined to be the bellcow. The rookie held a 6-3 in first-quarter snaps, and that’s about the rate you can expect moving forward.
Kansas City Chiefs
Team: The Kansas City Chiefs lost to the Chargers in Week 1 in a game played in Brazil. An AFC West opponent has not swept the Chiefs since the Broncos won both matches in 2024, Andy Reid’s second year in Kansas City.
QB: Patrick Mahomes’ QBi score of 65.4 (D) against the Texans was the lowest of his career.
Offense: The Chiefs had an OFFi score of 65.3 (D) last week against the Texans. It was the second-lowest score in a game started by Patrick Mahomes. It was slightly better than a 65.2 against the Broncos in Week 8 of the 2023 season.
Defense: The Chiefs’ DEFi season score of 79.4 (C+) is the team’s second-best score since 2018. In 2023, Kansas City had a DEFI score of 86.1 (B)
Fantasy: Patrick Mahomes hasn’t thrown for 260 yards OR multiple touchdowns in three straight meetings with the Chargers (Week 1: 6.6 yards per pass with just one TD pass).
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
Team: The Bills need to win against the Patriots to keep their hope of winning the AFC East for the sixth straight season. New England will clinch if it beats Buffalo.
QB: Josh Allen 83.3 B against Bengals. It was second in the league for Week 14 and his fourth Top 5 weekly finish.
Offense: Josh Allen has 39 rush touchdowns in the last three seasons. It’s tied with Jahmyr Gibbs for most in the NFL in that span, one ahead of Derrick Henry and two ahead of Jalen Hurts.
Defense: Despite having two critical fourth-quarter interceptions, the Bills’ overall DEFi was 62.4 (D-), their worst score of the season. The team’s worst grade of the season was a 65.5 (D) against the Ravens in Week 1, another high-scoring game in Buffalo.
Fantasy: In his last three complete games against the Patriots (excluding the early departure in Week 18 last season with nothing to play for), Josh Allen has dropped back 107 times and thrown only three touchdown passes.
New England Patriots
Team: The Patriots’ 10-game win streak is the third-longest single-season streak by a team that won four or fewer games the prior year. The 1999 Colts and 2016 Cowboys had 11-game win streaks.
QB: Drake Maye had his fourth-lowest QBi score (75.7, C) of the season against the Bills in Week 5. Maye’s highest QBi score (82.2, B-) of his rookie season was against Buffalo in Week 16.
Offense: One area on the Patriots that has not shown significant improvement udnwerl Mike Vrabel is the offensive line. New England’s PFSN Offensive Line Impact (OLi) grade is D (24th in NFL), a click uptick from being 26th in 2023 and last in 2024.
Defense: The Patriots had a DEFi score of 79.3 (C+) against the New York Giants in Week 13, which ranked 8th, marking the third time this season they had achieved an 8th or better weekly finish. They had one such finish last season.
Fantasy: Hunter Henry is coming on strong and sits atop the streaming tier at the position. Coming out of the bye, he’s earned 6+ targets with a 20+ yard reception in three straight games.
Washington Commanders at New York Giants
Washington Commanders
Team: The Washington Commanders have been outscored by 15.6 points per game during the current eight-game losing streak.
QB: Only one of Jayden Daniels’ seven games has graded at a B- level or better. Last season, he had seven out of 17 regular-season games at a B- or better level.
Offense: Washington posted a 62.9(D-) OFFi score in Week 14, which was the second lowest of the week.
Defense: Washington’s DEFi is 63.7 (D), which is the second-lowest among teams for which Dan Quinn was head coach or defensive coordinator. The lowest was the 2018 Falcons, which had a 62.0 (D-).
Fantasy: If this passing game can get on track, we know who it’s going through. Deebo Samuel and Terry McLaurin combined to earn a 60% target share: neither is safe, but at least the roles are consistent.
New York Giants
Team: The Giants have led in the fourth quarter in four of the games during their current seven-game losing streak. New York lost 10 straight games last year during a 3-14 season.
QB: Jaxson Dart had his worst PFSN Quarterback Impact score (67.0, D+) against the New England Patriots in Week 13. Dart had a QBi that ranked in the top ten in the league for the week in four of his eight starts.
Offense: In Week 1 against the Commanders, Russell Wilson was the Giants’ leading rusher with 44 yards on eight attempts.
Defense: New York has forced two takeaways during the seven-game losing streak, which is tied for the fewest in the NFL during that span.
Fantasy: The Jaxson Dart dynamic is a moving piece, but we did see Wan’Dale Robinson earn one-third of the targets in Week 13’s loss to the Patriots as he continues to establish himself as the WR1 in this offense moving forward.
Las Vegas Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles
Las Vegas Raiders
Team: The Las Vegas Raiders have not scored at least 30 points in a game since defeating the Chargers 63-21 in Week 15 of 2023.
QB: Geno Smith posted an OBi score of 71.1 (C-) against the Broncos in Week 14. He ranks 31st on the season, worth a D+ grade.
Offense: The Raiders have rushed for under 100 yards in nine of the 11 games this season. Las Vegas ran for 106 yards in one of the two other yards. The Raiders rushed for 240 yards against the Bears in Week 4. First-round pick Ashton Jeanty has averaged 51.2 rush yards per game.
Defense: Maxx Crosby has a PFSN EDGE Impact score (EDGEi) of 97.4 (A+). It’s second on the season behind Myles Garrett and the 6th-best score in the NFL since 2019. Crosby has four of the top 11 scores in that span.
Fantasy: Over the past three weeks, Ashton Jeanty is averaging 0.72 inches per carry before first contact with one of his 42 attempts gaining 10+ yards. We’ve graduated from funny to sad with this profile: he’s in a battle to salvage his value weekly as a pass catcher, and that’s far from stable in this Geno Smith-led offense.
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: The Eagles have averaged 16.2 points in the last five games after averaging 26.0 points per game in the first eight games.
QB: Jalen Hurts had five turnovers vs the Chargers and posted a QBI score of 68.4, which was his worst score since posting a 67.1 in the 2023 Wild Card game.
Offense: The Eagles have 11 turnovers in four losses and only two in the eight wins. The turnover margin in wins is +8, and in losses, it is -5.
Defense: Philadelphia posted its best DEFi score of the season against the Chargers in Week 14. Overall, in the season, the Eagles are 8th in the league
Fantasy: Dallas Goedert was heavily involved in Monday night’s loss with eight receptions, but be careful in assuming that role is here to stay. Prior to the big game, he failed to clear six targets in six straight. He’s playable, but the range of outcomes is as wide as it’s ever been.
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos
Green Bay Packers
Team: The Packers have four wins against teams that currently have a winning record (Lions twice, Steelers, Bears). Excluding the losses to Green Bay, 49-59 is the overall record of the teams the Packers have defeated.
QB: Jordan Love posted a QBi rating of 82.1 (B-) against the Bears, which was good enough to rank 4th on the week. It was Love’s fifth Top 5 weekly finish in 2025. Overall, on the season, he has the 2nd-best QBi.
Offense: Green Bay is 4-3-1 in one-score games. The Packers scored a total of 30 points in their three losses, with two of the games being played at home.
Defense: The Packers have allowed a league-best 16 points in the first quarter. The 49ers are second with 38 points allowed.
Fantasy: Jayden Reed returned last week and slotted into his usual role in three-receiver sets. Although he played less than half the snaps, Reed tied for the team lead with four targets. With Reed back, Romeo Doubs was completely phased out of the offense, failing to catch a single pass. He can be dropped in all fantasy leagues.
Denver Broncos
Team: The Denver Broncos have won ten games in a row, eight of which were by one possession. In Week 14, a Raiders field goal as time expired in the fourth quarter cut the lead to seven, making it a one-possession game.
QB: Bo Nix had 15 touchdowns and five interceptions in his first eight games. He has four touchdowns and four interceptions in his last five games.
Offense: The Broncos registered an OFFi score of 80.3 (B-) against the Raiders in Week 14. It’s their fourth-highest score of the season.
Defense: Denver is 6-1 when scoring under 24 points. The six wins lead the league. Eighteen teams have scored 23 or fewer points at least seven times, and the 49ers are the only team with a winning record (4-3).
Fantasy: RJ Harvey had his heaviest usage as a receiver last week, hauling in all six of his targets for 25 yards. He’s now caught at least three passes in three straight games and has fully taken over the RB1 role.
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams
Detroit Lions
Team: After the Rams game, the Detroit Lions play the Steelers in Week 16 in the final home game of the regular season. They finish with games in Minnesota and Chicago.
QB: Including playoffs, Jared Goff has three touchdown passes and three interceptions against the Rams. He has a QBi grade of C- or better in all three games.
Offense: Jahmyr Gibbs recorded a PFSN Running Back Impact score (RBi) of 80.2 (B-) against the Cowboys in Week 14. It’s the sixth time he has finished in the top eight weekly grades, and he is fourth overall in RBi on the season.
Defense: The Lions are 5-0 when forcing at least two turnovers; they are 3-5 when having fewer than two.
Fantasy: David Montgomery is averaging 12.4 PPG in Lions wins against 8.9 PPG in losses. The Lions are touchdown underdogs in L.A. this week.
Los Angeles Rams
Team: The Rams have a league-best +53 point differential in the first quarter.
QB: Including playoffs, Matthew Stafford has six touchdown passes and one interception against the Lions. He has a QBi grade of C or better in all three games.
Offense: The Rams posted a 91.8 (A-) OFFi score against the Cardinals in Week 14. If the third straight week the Rams had the top OFFi in the league, Los Angeles has the Best OFFi overall in the NFL
Defense: The Rams lead the NFL with five games holding their opponents to 10 points or fewer.
Fantasy: Matthew Stafford has thrown multiple touchdown passes in seven consecutive games. The Lions allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks and are a massive pass funnel.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
Team: The Carolina Panthers have the highest win percentage in one-score games this season. The Panthers are 6-1 in one-score games, and their last six wins were by a combined 22 points.
QB: In his last game, Bryce Young posted the highest QBi score of his career with an 82.9 (B-). He had the best score in the NFL in Week 13.
Offense: Carolina has alternated wins and losses since Week 7. The Panthers have scored 25 points in their last three losses.
Defense: In their last game, the Panthers faced the Rams and had the worst DEFi in the league for Week 13. Carolina’s overall DEFi is ranked 27th in the NFL.
Fantasy: Elite RB1 Rico Dowdle is gone, and he’s never coming back. Dowdle is now a game script-dependent back who relies on touchdowns to produce. Before the Panthers’ Week 14 bye, Chuba Hubbard out-snapped Dowdle 38-27. This is now a true timeshare with neither back anything more than a Flex play.
New Orleans Saints
Team: The New Orleans Saints have an NFL-worst -73 point differential in the first quarter. The next lowest is the Dallas Cowboys at -60.
QB: Tyler Shough posted his best QBi 80.4 (B-) of the season in the upset win over the Buccaneers. It was the fifth best in Week 14 and his second B- in six games.
Offense: The Saints are the only team in the NFL not to score at least 27 points in a game.
Defense: New Orleans posted a DEFi score of 79.8 (C+) against the Buccaneers in Week 14. It is the seventh time in the last nine games that the Saints graded at a C+ level or better
Fantasy: Devaughn Vele has now led the Saints in receiving in back-to-back games. He’s seen a total of 20 targets over his last three and is the clear WR2 opposite Chris Olave. Unfortunately, the Panthers have actually been great against wide receivers, allowing the third fewest fantasy points per game to the position.
Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts
Team: After Seattle, the Colts head home for two home games against the 49ers and Jaguars before finishing at the Texans in Week 18.
QB: Philip Rivers posted a QBi score of 78.0 (C+) and had a season rank of 18 in his last season in 2020. The season was his 11th-best QBi score of 15 seasons.
Offense: Jonathan Taylor had his lowest RBi score, 69.0 (D+), of the season against the Jaguars in Week 14. It was the ninth-lowest score of his career. Taylor is still ranked number one in RBi for the season.
Defense: Indianapolis had its second-worst DEFi score (69.2, D+) of the season against the Jaguars in Week 14. The Colts posted a score of 64.3 (D) against the Broncos in Week 2.
Fantasy: Since posting 49.6 fantasy points in Week 10 prior to the Colts’ Week 11 bye, Jonathan Taylor is averaging 11.7 PPG. The Colts’ implied team total this week is 13.5 points. JT averages 12.4 PPG in losses. After seemingly taking control of the Seahawks’ backfield, Ken Walker has fallen behind.
Seattle Seahawks
Team: After the Colts game, the Seahawks will host the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday night of Week 15. Currently, the two teams are tied for first in the NFC West, and the Rams won the first meeting between them. A Week 15 loss would give the Rams the head-to-head tiebreaker and make it hard for Seattle to win the division.
QB: Sam Darnold posted a 78.8 (C+) QBi score in Week 14 against the Falcons. It was a bounce-back from the 69.9 he posted in Week 13 against the Vikings.
Offense: Seattle has averaged 32.3 points per game over their last six games. They have a record of 5-1 in that stretch, with their only loss coming against the Rams in a tight 21-19 game.
Defense: The Seahawks posted a DEFI score of 85.2 (B) against the Falcons in Week 14. It was the sixth-best score of the week and the ninth time Seattle had a top-ten weekly finish.
Fantasy: Zach Charbonnet has been in fantasy production the past two weeks. The Colts are a pass funnel defense. Both Seahawks RBs are likely touchdown-dependent, but the only one likely to score is Charbonnet.
Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers
Tennessee Titans
Team: The Titans are looking to win back-to-back games for the first time since Week 10 and 11 in 2022.
QB: Cam Ward has seven games in which he has completed less than 60% of his passes. For quarterbacks with at least 20 pass attempts, Ward is tied with Trevor Lawrence for second, and Caleb Williams has the most with nine.
Offense: Tennessee’s 31 points against Cleveland in Week 14 are tied for the second-most the team has scored since 2022. Last season in Week 12, the Titans scored 32 against the Texans.
Defense: The Titans posted a DEFi score of 78.7 in Week 14 against the Browns. It’s the highest score the team has had since Week 1 against the Broncos.
Fantasy: Tony Pollard exploded for 161 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries last week against an elite Browns run defense. Prior to last week, Pollard hadn’t exceeded 8.1 fantasy points since Week 7. The Titans are unlikely to see a neutral or positive game script against the 49ers.
San Francisco 49ers
Team: The San Francisco 49ers finish with three games that have at least eight wins. The 49ers will visit the Colts in Week 16 before wrapping up with home games against the Bears and Seahawks.
QB: Brock Purdy’s QBi score of 86.8 (B) is ranked fourth overall on the season. He has finished with a top-six weekly score in his last two games.
Offense: Christian McCaffrey is averaging 3.6 yards per rushing attempt, which is a career low. He’s averaging 9.5 yards per reception, which is second-best in his career.
Defense: San Francisco has posted back-to-back weeks with a B DEFi grade. It’s the highest grades of the season; however, the 49ers still rank 24th for the season.
Fantasy: Since returning from injury, Brock Purdy has yet to throw for more than 200 yards and yet to reach 20 fantasy points in a game. The Titans are bottom 10 against the run. Expect another low-volume day for the 49ers quarterback.
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota Vikings
Team: After playing the Dallas Cowboys, the Minnesota Vikings will visit the New York Giants. In the final two games, the Vikings will host the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers, where they could play the role of spoiler against their NFC North rivals.
QB: J.J. McCarthy had his best QBi (78.7, C+) of the season against the Commanders in Week 14. His previous best was 71.5 (C-) in Week 9 against Liosmn.
Offense: Minnesota scored 31 points against Washington in Week 14. The team scored 42 points in the previous five games, including getting shut out in Week 13.
Defense: The Vikings had the best DEFi score of Week 14, posting a 89.9 (B+) against the Commanders. It’s their second-best score of the season behind a 90.2 (A-) in Week 3 against the Bengals.
Fantasy: Justin Jefferson caught two passes for 11 yards against a Commanders defense allowing the fifth most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. No team allows more fantasy points per game to WRs than the Cowboys. Does it even matter?
Dallas Cowboys
Team: The Cowboys’ last three games are at home against the Chargers in Week 16 and on the road against the Giants and Commanders to finish the season. The Eagles conclude their season with games against the Raiders, Bills, and two matchups against the Commanders. Dallas is a game and a half behind the Eagles and likely needs to win out and have Philadelphia lose or tie two games to win the NFC East.
QB: Dak Prescott ranked 15th last week in QBi, snapping a streak of three straight top 5 weekly finishes.
Offense: Dallas has scored a league high 152 points in the second quarter this season. The next highest is the Seahawks with 130 points. The 152 points in the second quarter are the highest point total in any quarter by a team in the NFL.
Defense: For the second straight season, the Cowboys have matched the most games allowing an opponent to score at least 40 points three times. Dallas has allowed 40+ points in three games five times in franchise history.
Fantasy: The Vikings are coming off their best performance of the season in a 31-0 win over the Commanders. The Cowboys need to rebound to keep their playoff hopes alive. Dak Prescott has hit 20+ fantasy points in four straight games. The Vikings allow the third fewest PPG to quarterbacks.
Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers
Miami Dolphins
Team: The Miami Dolphins have won two road games by at least 24 points. It’s the third time in Miami franchise history that the team has won multiple road games by at least 24 points in the same season (1975, 1992).
QB: Tua Tagovailoa has tied his career high with 14 interceptions, which is tied with Geno Smith for most in the NFL.
Offense: De’Von Achane is the 12th player in NFL history to score at least 11 touchdowns in each of his first three seasons.
Defense: Miami has allowed 15.2 points per game in the last six games (5-1). During the 1-6 start, the Dolphins’ opponents were scoring 29.3 points per game.
Fantasy: After De’Von Achane left the game, it was not Ollie Gordon, but Jaylen Wright who took over the lead-back role. Wright out-snapped Gordon 34-16 and out-carried him 24-5. If Achane can’t go, Wright is the Dolphins RB you want.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: The Steelers are 0-5 when they have multiple turnovers and 7-1 when committing one or no turnovers.
QB: Aaron Rodgers’ 34 pass attempts against the Ravens matched the 3rd most this season. He also passed for a season-high 284 yards; his previous best this season was 249 in Week 7.
Offense: The Ravens held the Steelers to 34 rush yards in Week 14. It was the fewest rushing yards in a regular-season game by the Steelers since 2020. Baltimore held Pittsburgh to 29 rush yards in the playoffs last season.
Defense: T.J. Watt is sixth in the NFL with an EDGEi score for the season (87.6, B+). He has had a B+ or better in every season since 2019.
Fantasy: DK Metcalf is coming off his best game of the season, catching seven passes for 148 yards on 12 targets. All of those numbers were season highs. He still has just two games with 20+ fantasy points all season and has crested double-digit fantasy points in three of his last eight.