PFSN wants to set you up to be a smarter fan to assist you with rooting for your team, playing fantasy football, or betting. Here are the most important stats, trends, notes, and insights for every NFL matchup in Week 17. We all know how time-consuming gathering all the information can be, which is why we’re doing the research for you so you don’t have to.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders
​Dallas Cowboys
Team: The Dallas Cowboys finished their home schedule with a 4-3-1 record. They have only won six of their last 17 home games, following a 16-game home win streak during the 2023 and 2024 regular seasons.
QB: Dak Prescott has completed 30 passes in a game four times, which leads the NFL. The next highest is two games accomplished by seven players.
Offense: Dallas had a PFSN’s Offense Impact (OFFi) score of 80.9 (B-) in Week 16 against the Los Angeles Chargers. It ranked fourth in the league last week, and the Cowboys ranked in the weekly top five for the fourth time.
Defense: The Cowboys have a PFSN’s Defense Impact (DEFi) score of 61.1, which is last in the NFL. Last season, Dallas finished 22nd in DEFi.
Fantasy: Could Jake Ferguson surprise fantasy managers with a useful Week 17? He caught seven passes for 29 yards and two touchdowns in the ultimate PPR scam game back in Week 7. The Washington Commanders allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Washington Commanders
Team: In a Week 7 loss to Dallas, Washington allowed 409.0 total yards. It’s one of seven games in which an opponent has reached at least 400 total yards. It’s the most games by a team in the NFL.
QB: Josh Johnson has played in 48 regular-season games, but he has only started nine times. His team is 1-8 when he starts.
Offense: Deebo Samuel is ranked 31st with 77.4 PFSN’s Wide Receiver Impact (WRi) score with 68 receptions for 629 yards and five touchdowns in his first season with the Commanders. In his last three seasons with the 49ers, his season averages were 55.7 receptions, 731.3 yards, and four touchdowns.
Defense: The Cowboys scored 34 points in the first 38 minutes and 16 seconds in the Week 7 matchup.
​Fantasy: Jacory Croskey-Merritt’s strong Week 15 showing did not earn him increased playing time. With Chris Rodriguez back, JCM went right back to being a pure backup, playing 11 snaps against the Eagles. He is not on the fantasy radar for Week 17.
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
Team: According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Detroit Lions have a 4.9% chance to make the postseason. A win increases the chances to 9.2% while they’re eliminated from playoff contention with a loss or a Green Bay Packers win over the Baltimore Ravens.
QB: Jared Goff ranks eighth in the league with 116.7 yards per game on passes that travel at least 10 yards in the air. The Minnesota Vikings have allowed the second fewest pass yards on balls thrown 10+ yards downfield (87.1 yards per game).
Offense: The Lions registered a PFSN’s Offensive Line Impact (OLi) score of 65.6 (D) in Week 16 against the Steelers. They’re ranked 11th on the season after three straight years in the top eight.
Defense: During the team’s 5-2 start, the Lions allowed 10.1 points per game in the first half. Over the next eight games, they have allowed 14.3 points per game and are 3-5.
Fantasy: Jahmyr Gibbs had never finished with single-digit rushing yards in a game prior to last week’s dismal seven carries for two yards. His second-lowest rushing total of the season? Week 9 against the Vikings, which also happens to be the worst fantasy game of his career.
Minnesota Vikings
Team: The Vikings have committed 22 turnovers in eight losses and only seven in eight wins.
QB: Max Brosmer is in line to start for an injured J.J. McCarthy. In Brosmer’s first career start in Week 13, he registered a PFSN’s Quarterback Impact (QBi) of 60.9 (D-) against the Seattle Seahawks.
Offense: The Vikings have scored 22 points or fewer in ten of their fifteen games, and their record is 2-8. Last season, Minnesota failed to score 23 points or more only four times.
Defense: The Vikings have a season DEFi of 85.3 (B), which ranks sixth in the NFL.
Fantasy: Justin Jefferson’s 85 yards last week were his most since Week 5 and most in a game not quarterbacked by Carson Wentz. The Lions allow the second-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Unfortunately, Max Brosmer is starting.
​Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
Team: The Denver Broncos have clinched a playoff spot. Denver can clinch the AFC West with a win and a Los Angeles Chargers loss.
According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Broncos enter the game with a 71.0% chance of winning the AFC West and a 44.6% chance of being the one seed in the AFC. A win boosts their odds to 80.3% for the division and a 63.1% chance for the top seed. A loss drops their division chances to 57.8% and top seed odds drop to 12.9%
QB: Bo Nix has had a QBi grade of C or better in his three career starts against the Chiefs.
Offense: In Week 11, the Broncos had a C- OFFi grade against the Chiefs, which was ranked 18th for the week.
Defense: The Broncos’ DEFi score of 76.7 against the Jaguars ranked 11th for the week. It’s the fourth time in the last five games that Denver has finished outside the top ten. They finished in the top three in six of the first ten games.
Fantasy: RJ Harvey and Jaleel McLaughlin combined for 12 carries last week as the Broncos were chasing on the scoreboard. Expect an immense positive game script this week and a ton of volume for both backs against a Chiefs defense that just surrendered 154 rushing yards to Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears.
Kansas City Chiefs
Team: Kansas City Chiefs are 2-6 with a -1.1 point differential per game against teams with a winning record this season. From 2018 to 2024, the Chiefs were 36-14 when facing a team with a winning record, boasting a +4.4 point differential per game across 50 contests.
QB: Chris Oladokun will get the start with Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew out, and this will be the first time since 2011 that the Chiefs started more than two quarterbacks. That season, Matt Cassel, Tyler Palko, and Kyle Orton all started games for Kansas City.
​Offense: Travis Kelce has averaged 5.3 receptions and 52.5 receiving yards per game over the last two seasons. From 2014 to 2023, he averaged 5.7 catches and 71.7 receiving yards per game.
Defense: The Chiefs have three takeaways after halftime this season. Only the Jets have fewer with one.
Fantasy: The Chiefs are starting 2022 seventh-round pick Chris Oladokun at quarterback. They completely rolled over against the Titans last week and are simply going through the motions, playing out a lost season. No Chiefs belong anywhere near fantasy lineups.
​Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
Team: The Houston Texans clinch a playoff spot with a win or an Indianapolis Colts loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Texans enter with a 24.0% chance to win the AFC South. A win bumps it to 39.2% and a loss decreases the chances to 7.2%
QB: C.J. Stroud was sacked 15 times in his first six games and eight times in his last six.
Offense: Houston is tied for 24th in the league with 33 touchdowns this season.
Defense: During their seven-game winning streak, the Texans have had a +9 turnover differential since Week 10. The Texans have 12 takeaways over the last seven games.
Fantasy: With Woody Marks out, Jawhar Jordan led the Texans’ backfield with a 46% snap share and 20 touches. Nick Chubb had just seven. If Marks is out again, Jordan is the guy you want.
Los Angeles Chargers
Team: The Los Angeles Chargers have clinched a playoff spot. According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Chargers enter the game with a 28.1% chance of winning the AFC West and a 7.0% chance of being the one seed in the AFC. A win boosts their odds to 42.0% for the division and a 14.9% chance for the top seed. A loss drops their division chances to 15.5% and top seed odds drop to 0.1%
QB: In a Wild Card game last season, Justin Herbert threw four interceptions against the Texans. He only threw three interceptions during the 2024 regular season.
Offense: Los Angeles is averaging 126.3 rush yards per game, which is seventh in the league. In Jim Harbaugh’s first season, the Chargers averaged 110.7 yards per game.
The San Francisco 49ers averaged 139.3 rush yards per game when Harbaugh was head coach from 2011 to 2014. It was the second-highest in the NFL over the four years.
Defense: The Chargers are 11-1 when they earn a DEFi grade of C- or better. They are 0-3 when receiving a D grade or worse.
Fantasy: Justin Herbert threw for 300 yards and two touchdowns against the Cowboys, while adding a rushing score. It was his best fantasy outing of the season. Prior to last week, Herbert had gone five straight games without reaching 15 fantasy points. The Texans allow the second fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
​Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers
​Baltimore Ravens
Team: The Ravens will be eliminated with a loss or a Pittsburgh Steelers win over the Cleveland Browns. Baltimore’s only path to the playoffs and AFC North title is a win vs the Green Bay Packers, a Steelers loss, and defeating the Steelers in Week 18.
QB: Tyler Huntley registered a QBi grade of C against the Patriots in Week 16. He’s had a C- and C+ in his other two starts for the Ravens this season.
Offense: Derrick Henry rushed for 100 yards in consecutive games for the first time this season. He accomplished that feat four times last season. Henry led the NFL last season with a PFSN’s Running Back Impact (RBi) of 92.5 and is eighth this season with a score of 82.5.
Defense: Baltimore is 0-7 when a team scores more than 19 points, 7-1 when allowing 19 or fewer points.
Fantasy: Zay Flowers has posted games of 20.6, 15.8, and 21.2 fantasy points over his last three. The Packers are merely an average matchup for wide receivers. Even if Tyler Huntley starts, Flowers is locked in as a WR2.
Green Bay Packers
Team: Green Bay clinches a postseason berth with a win or a Lions loss against the Vikings. According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Packers enter the game with a 6.9% chance to win the NFC North. A win increases the chances to 12.5% and a loss ends their division title chances.
QB: Malik Willis had his highest game QBi score in Week 16 against the Bears. Willis registered 84.2 (B) after coming in to replace the injured Jordan Love. Willis has had a B- or higher in three of the four qualified games since joining the Packers. He had a D+ or worse in three qualified games with the Titans.
Offense: Green Bay has scored 16 points or fewer in four of its five losses.
Defense: The Packers have ranked 23rd or lower in DEFi three of the last four weeks.
Fantasy: Emanuel Wilson ran for 82 yards on 14 carries against the Bears. Josh Jacobs desperately needs to sit out a game or two to get his knee right. If Wilson starts, he has RB1 upside against a Ravens defense allowing the 13th-most fantasy points per game to running backs.
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers
Seattle Seahawks
Team: The Seattle Seahawks have clinched a playoff spot. According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, Seattle enters the game with a 53.2% chance to win the NFC West and a 46.0% chance to be the top seed in the NFC. A win bumps the odds to win the division to 67.7% and the top seed to 46.0%. A loss drops their NFC West chances to 30.9% and 22.5% for the top seed in the NFC.
QB: Sam Darnold’s QBi score of 69.3 for Week 16 was his second-lowest of this season. Overall, he’s 10th on the season leaderboard.
Offense: Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with 71 Big Plays (defined as rushes of 10+ yards or receptions of 20+ yards). Smith-Njigba has four catches of 50+ yards, three rushes of 10+ yards, and 27 receptions of at least 20 yards.
Defense: The Seahawks had their second-lowest DEFi score of the season with a 72.0, which was 23rd for the week. Seattle has finished in the weekly top six times this season.
Fantasy: Better late than never? Kenneth Walker III was again featured to start the game, and he rewarded you with his first two 40+ yard touches of the season. The Panthers’ run defense was a strength through September, but it hasn’t been since, thus opening the door for another top-15 finish.
Carolina Panthers
Team: The Carolina Panthers can clinch the NFC South with a win and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ loss to the Miami Dolphins. The Panthers visit the Buccaneers in Week 18 and can also clinch with a win in the final game.
QB: Bryce Young has led six-game winning drives this season; he’s tied with Caleb Williams and Box Nix for most in the NFL.
Offense: The Panthers have scored 13 points or fewer in six of 15 games. They are 1-5 in those games.
Defense: Carolina has allowed 69 points in the fourth quarter this season, the fourth-lowest in the NFL. The Panthers are 7-2 in one-score games this season.
Fantasy: Rico Dowdle profiles as the lead back in Carolina and ranks as such, but with Chuba Hubbard getting work in the pass game and inside the 20, this is a backfield best avoided.
​Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona Cardinals
Team: During their seven-game losing streak, the Arizona Cardinals have lost by an average of 14.6 points per game, the worst in the NFL during that span. Earlier in the season, Arizona lost five straight games by a combined 13 points.
QB: Jacoby Brissett has set a career high with 19 touchdowns in 12 games (10 starts). His previous was 18 in 15 starts in 2019.
Offense: The Cardinals have not scored over 27 points in a game. There have been four teams in the last four seasons that have not had a game with more than 27 points in an entire season.
Defense: Arizona is currently at a D+ DEFi grade, and if it finishes at or below that level, it would be the fourth time in six years that it has received a D+ or lower grade.
Fantasy: Trey McBride let you down in a big spot, but he was also the reason you were there. The dud by his lofty standards hurt against the Falcons, but if his downside includes a 27.6% target share and an end zone target, you take it.
Cincinnati Bengals
Team: Cincinnati Bengals has scored at least 30 points in a game seven times, but is only 4-3 in those games. Six other teams have scored 30 points seven or eight times, and those teams are 41-4-1 when scoring 30.
QB: Joe Burrow posted a QBi score of 85.9 (B) against the Dolphins in Week 16. It was his highest QBi score since Week 5 of last season.
Offense: Ja’Marr Chase has the fourth-most receiving yards (6,681) by a player in his first five seasons. He is 104 yards from moving into second behind Justin Jefferson, who has the most with 7,432 yards. Chase’s 505 career receptions are the third most for a player in his first five seasons. Amon-Ra St. Brown, who is also in his fifth year, leads with 528 receptions, and Michael Thomas had 510.
Defense: The Bengals have forced six turnovers in their ten losses. They have 14 takeaways in five wins.
Fantasy: Chase Brown had two TD receptions and a rushing score in the third quarter, making good on all of the upside you drafted with optimism back in August. He’s the first player to score three times in a third quarter since Marcus Robinson did it for the Ravens in Week 12 of 2003.​
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: The Steelers can clinch the AFC North with a win or a Ravens loss to the Packers. If Pittsburgh doesn’t clinch this week, they will host Baltimore for a win-or-go-home game in Week 18.
QB: Aaron Rodgers has delivered the last three games for the Steelers as they try to win the AFC North. Rodgers has completed 71.6% of his passes and has thrown for 258.0 pass yards per game. In the first 11 games, he had a 65.2 completion percentage with 189.6 pass yards per game.
Offense: Jaylen Warren’s 143 rush yards and two touchdowns account for 17.3% of his rush yards on the season and a third of his 2025 touchdowns.
Defense: The Steelers held the Browns to 65 rush yards in Week 6. Pittsburgh has held opponents to under 100 rush yards in seven games this season.
Fantasy: The Steelers had three 45-yard TDs against the Lions; they had two such scores through the first 15 weeks. If you started Kenneth Gainwell or Jaylen Warren, you’re profitable, but both carry risk, even coming off of huge games.
Cleveland Browns
Team: According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Browns enter the game with a 15.1% chance of getting the first overall pick in the draft. A loss increases the chances to 24.9% while a win knocks them out of contention for the top pick.
QB: Shedeur Sanders has a 56.6 (F) QBi this season, which is 44th out of 46 qualified quarterbacks.
Offense: The Browns scored 20 points against the Buffalo Bills in Week 16, which is tied for the fourth-most points they scored this season. OFFi
Defense: Myles Garrett has 22.0 sacks on the season, a half a sack behind the single-season record held by Michael Strahan and T.J. Watt.
Fantasy: Harold Fannin caught a TD on Sunday and ran in one from the doorstep in a spot where he was used as their fullback. This offense is a work in progress, but Fannin appears to be a Tier 2 option at the thinnest position in our game: invest with confidence.
​Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: The Jaguars have clinched a playoff spot. Jacksonville can clinch the AFC South with a win and a Texans loss to the Chargers.
​According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Jaguars have a 75.9% chance to win the division and a 16.6% chance to claim the top seed in the AFC. The odds of winning the division increase to 90.5% with a win and decrease to 53.5% with a loss. A win would increase the chances of being the top seed in the AFC to 27.2% and a loss would drop the chances to 0.2%.
QB: Trevor Lawrence posted a QBi score of 80.9 (B-) against the Broncos in Week 16. It’s his third straight week of B- or better.
Offense: The Jaguars have won six games by double digits this season. It’s tied for second most in the league. Jacksonville won one game by double digits last season and had a combined 11 in 2022 and 2023.
Defense: Jacksonville has held opponents to 10 points or fewer four times this season. That’s second in the league behind the Los Angeles Rams’ five games.
Fantasy: During this six-game win streak, Jakobi Meyers has earned a 25.1% target share and is averaging a red zone touch per game.
Indianapolis Colts
Team: According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Colts’ chances to make the playoffs would move from 3.7% to 9.3% with a win. Indianapolis will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss or a Texans win over the Chargers.
QB: Philip Rivers had the 13th-best QBi (77.6, C+) against the 49ers in Week 16. He had a 73.5 in his first start against the Seahawks.
Offense: Jonathan Taylor posted an RBi score of 74.8 (C) against the 49ers in Week 16. It’s the fifth straight week he’s graded at a C level or lower and finished 18th or lower in the weekly leaders.
Defense: The Colts have allowed 23 points or fewer in seven games; five of the teams have losing records. When Indianapolis has allowed 24 or more points eight times, six of the teams have winning records.
Fantasy: Alec Pierce had the big game on Monday night, but still just four targets in a low-risk offensive structure. Don’t confuse production with projection: he’s still in a rough spot to return value.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
​Team: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers would be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss and a Panthers win over the Seahawks. According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, a win would give the Buccaneers a 50.0% chance of making the playoffs, and a loss would drop the odds to 24.8%. The Buccaneers host the Panthers in Week 18
QB: Baker Mayfield has a season QBi score of 71.5 (C-), 31st in the NFL. Mayfield finished in the top 12 the last two seasons.
Offense: The Buccaneers have scored 72 points in the fourth quarter this season, it is the second-lowest in the NFL. Tampa Bay has the sixth-worst point differential (-37) in the fourth quarter.
Defense: The Buccaneers are 1-6 since their bye week, and in four of the six losses, they were tied or leading in the fourth quarter.
Fantasy: Bakery Mayfield has failed to throw multiple TD passes in five of his past six games. He’s gone from MVP candidate to fringe fantasy starter, a nice reminder of how important it is to manage your roster with time.
Miami Dolphins
Team: After starting 11-4 in the 2023 season, the Miami Dolphins are 14-21 (including playoffs).
QB: In his first career start, Quinn Ewers record as QBi score of 74.7 (C), which was 20th in the NFL last week.
Offense: De’Von Achane has 1,726 yards from scrimmage this season. He’s had 115.1 yards from scrimmage per game. If he hits his average in the final two games, he’ll join Ricky Williams as the only players to reach 2,000 in franchise history.
Defense: The 45 points the Bengals scored against the Dolphins were the fourth most Miami has given up in a game in the last ten seasons.
Fantasy: De’Von Achane had yet another splash play on a day where the Dolphins’ offense largely struggled. He has accumulated over 1,700 total yards, along with 12 scores. He’s in the 1.01 discussion this summer if you think this offense trends anywhere close to league average.
​New England Patriots at New York Jets
New England Patriots
Team: The New England Patriots have clinched a playoff spot. New England can clinch the AFC East with a win and a Buffalo loss. The Patriots need any combination of wins and Bills losses that add up to two to claim the AFC East.
According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Patriots enter the game wth a 26.2% chance to be the top seed in the AFC. A win increases the chances to 40.1% while the chances decrease to 1.9% with a loss.
QB: Drake Maye has finished in the top ten weekly leaders in nine of 15 games this season. He had three top ten finishes in ten games as a rookie.
Offense: Stefon Diggs had nine catches for 138 yards against Baltimore last week. He had a combined eight receptions for 72 yards in the previous three games.
Defense: New England allowed 35 points to the Bills in Week 15 and 24 to the Ravens in Week 16. It stopped a streak of 11 straight games of allowing 23 points or fewer.
Fantasy: Drake Maye connected on another bomb on Sunday night, bringing his average length of touchdown pass up to 19.5 yards this season (career: 18.9)
New York Jets
Team: Since the start of the 2016 season, the New York Jets have lost 114 games, the most in the NFL, while their stadium-mates, the New York Giants, have lost 109 games, the second-most in that span.
QB: Brady Cook registered a QBi of 64.7 (D) in his first career start last week vs the Saints. It ranked 33rd on the weekly leaderboard.
Offense: The Jets have seven games with at least two turnovers.
Defense: The Jets have zero interceptions this season. The only takeaways are four recovered fumbles. Ashtyn Davis had the last two Jets interceptions in Week 18 last season.
Fantasy: Breece Hall hasn’t had a 15-yard carry since early November. He’s a volume play only at this point, but his value could return to the RB1 range in 2026 if he’s wearing a different colored jersey.​
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans
New Orleans Saints
Team: The New Orleans Saints have a three-game winning streak. It’s only the third time the Saints have won three straight games in the same season since Drew Brees retired after the 2020 season.
QB: After two straight weeks ranking in the top seven, Tyler Shough had the 25th-ranked score in Week 16 with a 73.3 against the Jets.
Offense: The 29 points scored against the Jets were the most the team has scored since Week 11 last season.
Defense: Since Week 10, the New Orleans Saints have allowed 15.8 points per game, which is second-best in that span.
Fantasy: Touchdowns have been tough to come by, but Tyler Shough has cleared 270 passing yards in consecutive starts, adds value with his legs, and heavily features his undisputed WR1: his stock in our game is higher today than it was entering the season, even if the wins haven’t been there for New Orleans.
Tennessee Titans
Team: The Tennessee Titans’ win over the Chiefs in Week 16 eliminated their chances of gaining the first overall pick.
QB: Cam Ward’s 79.0 (C+) QBi score was the best of the season. He has six touchdowns and one interception over the last three games; the Titans have won two of them.
Offense: The Titans have scored 81 points in the last three games. It’s the most the Titans have scored in a three-game stretch since the end of the 2021 season.
Defense: Tennessee held the Chiefs to nine points in Week 16. It’s the first time the Titans held an opponent to under 10 points for the first time since Week 4 in 2023.
Fantasy: Tyjae Spears got extended work thanks to the game script and again proved capable of putting up numbers. He has one more season on his rookie deal: I’m not expecting heavy Week 17 usage, but he’ll be an interesting player to look at for 2026.
​New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders
New York Giants
Team: According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the New York Giants enter the game with a 48.1% chance of getting the first pick in the draft. A loss boosts the number to 84.4% while a win drops it to 15.5%.
QB: Jaxson Dart has a QBi score averaging D over the last three games, including two of his lowest marks this season.
Offense: The Giants’ OFFi score is 68.6 (D+), ranked 26th, which is an improvement from their 31st-place finish each of the last two seasons.
Defense: During their nine-game losing streak, the Giants have allowed 29.8 points per game, the NFL’s fifth-highest mark since Week 7.
Fantasy: The G-Men had 15 rush attempts before their first official pass attempt on Sunday; they are a banged-up team that is just trying to get Jaxson Dart to the offseason in one piece. He’ll be an asset in 2026, but he’s tough to rely on down the stretch of this lost season.
Las Vegas Raiders
Team: According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, the Las Vegas Raiders’ chances to draft first overall will move from a 34.6% chance to 65.9% with a loss. If the Raiders win, they will not have a shot at the number one pick.
QB: The Raiders quarterbacks have been sacked 39 times over the last nine games. It’s the most in the NFL since Week 7, with the next highest being the Jets with 33 sacks allowed.
Offense: During their nine-game losing streak, the Raiders have struggled significantly, scoring an NFL-low 12.7 points per game. In comparison, the next lowest is the Saints at 16.0 points per game. Notably, the Raiders have been shut out 31-0 by both the Chiefs and Eagles during this streak.
Defense: The Raiders have a DEFi score of 67.7 (D+) for the season. Consequently, this would be the seventh time in nine seasons that the Raiders finished with a DEFI grade of D+ or worse.
Fantasy: Ashton Jeanty has cleared 8.5 PPR points as a pass catcher alone in four of his past six games. We saw the spike carry potential on Sunday, but the ability for a rookie to be this involved in the pass game speaks of his long-term upside.​
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: The Philadelphia Eagles have clinched the NFC East.
QB: Jalen Hurts has five touchdowns on eight rushes (62.5%) when the ball is one yard or closer to the end zone. He scored 28 rushing touchdowns on 36 attempts (77.8%) in this situation from 2022 to 2024.
Offense: Saquon Barkley had 1,838 rush yards with 13 rush touchdowns through 16 games last season. This season, he has 1,072 rush yards and seven touchdowns in 16 games.
Defense: Since Week 10, the Eagles have led the league with 14.9 points allowed per game. The Eagles are only 4-3 in that span.
Fantasy: Saquon Barkley doesn’t have a catch in three of four games, but with 20+ carries AND a rushing score in three straight, he’s producing down the stretch the way we had hoped for all season.
Buffalo Bills
Team: The Bills have clinched a playoff spot. To win the AFC East, Buffalo needs to win its last two games and have New England lose at least one of its remaining games. If the Bills lose one game, the Patriots need to lose their last two games for Buffalo to win the division.
QB: Josh Allen had his worst QBi score (68.0, D+) of the season against the Browns in Week 16. It was his lowest score since Week 10 in 2023.
Offense: Buffalo’s wide receivers have 1,843 receiving yards this season, which is 24th in the league.
Defense: Greg Rousseau had 3.5 sacks in the last two games after having three sacks in the first 15 games.
Fantasy: Josh Allen threw just 19 passes against the Browns, and Josh Palmer led the team in routes run. They are clearly trying to get a WR rotation that they feel good about, and without that clarity, we can’t count on any of their pass catchers.
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears
Team: The Chicago Bears have clinched a playoff spot. The Bears can clinch the NFC North with a win or a Packers loss to the Ravens.
According to the PFSN Playoff Predictor, Chicago starts the week with a 19.8% chance to secure the NFC’s top seed. A win boosts their chances to 39.9%, while a loss eliminates their hopes for the No. 1 spot.
QB: Caleb Williams has achieved a QBi grade of C- or better in every game this season, compared to last season, when he had eight games with a D+ or worse.
Offense: This season, Caleb Williams has not been sacked in three games and was sacked only once in five other games. In contrast, last season, he was sacked at least once in every game, never having a game without a sack, and in only one game was he sacked just once.
Defense: The Bears have a +15 turnover differential in the second half. Chicago has 19 turnovers after halftime. 20 teams have fewer than 19 total takeaways all season.
Fantasy: DJ Moore’s 5-97-1 stat line against the Packers included the walkoff 46-yard TD, but be careful. The Bears were without two starting wideouts, and he has had games with under 50 receiving yards. If featured, he can produce, but keep an eye on the injury report.
San Francisco 49ers
Team: The San Francisco 49ers have clinched a playoff spot. If the 49ers win their final two games, they will win the NFC West and be the top seed in the NFC.
QB: Brock Purdy registered a QBi score of 85.6 (B) in Week 16 against the Colts. The performance helped Purdy pass Josh Allen for the top spot in the QBi season rankings.
Offense: The 49ers have scored 85 points and have not punted in the last two games. In 18 drives, they scored nine touchdowns, made five field goals, had two turnovers, a missed field goal, and a kneel-down to end a game.
Defense: The 49ers have nine takeaways during the current five-game win streak.
Fantasy: Jauan Jennings has scored in four straight, and Brock Purdy has consecutive games looking like the uber-efficient QB we know him to be. Jennings is a nice play in all formats, and that status doesn’t hinge on the health of Ricky Pearsall.
Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons
​Los Angeles Rams
Team: The Los Angeles Rams have clinched a playoff spot. A win would increase the Rams’ division chances from 19.3% to 30.5% and chances to be the NFC’s top seed from 11.5% to 18%. A loss takes Los Angeles out of contention for the division and top seed.
QB: Matthew Stafford has thrown at least two touchdowns in 13 of 15 games this season. That’s the second most through 15 games in NFL history (12 times). There have been four times a quarterback has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 14 of 15 games.
Offense: Puka Nacua has 420 receiving yards over the last three games. The 420 yards would rank 52nd on the season leaderboard for wide receivers. Nacua led the NFL in Week 16 with a 94.8 WRi (A) against the Rams.
Defense: The Rams have allowed 30.0 points per game over the last four games. During their six-game winning streak, Los Angeles allowed 12.0 points per game (best in the NFL during that span).
Fantasy: With no Davante Adams, Puka Nacua became the first wide receiver this season to crest 200 yards receiving in a single game. He saw 16 targets. Second on the team? Konata Mumphield with eight.
Atlanta Falcons
Team: The Falcons have been eliminated from playoff contention even though they are two games behind the Panthers in the NFC South. Four of the team’s last five losses have been by six points or less.
QB: Kirk Cousins QBi’s score of 79.6 (C+) against the Cardinals was the eighth-best in the NFL for the week. It was the second straight week Cousins had the eighth-best score in the NFL.
Offense: Bijan Robinson has 2,026 yards from scrimmage and is 150 yards away from the franchise record set by William Andrews in 1983.
Defense: Atlanta has allowed the eighth-most points after halftime, leading to the team having the fourth-worst point differential in the second half.
Fantasy: The Rams remain an elite run defense by the numbers, but they’ve recently allowed strong rushing performances by the Seahawks’ backs and Panthers’ backs. Bijan Robinson is averaging 135 yards from scrimmage per game.
