As dynasty fantasy football drafts continue to fire up for the 2021 season, differentiating between the elite players at each position can come down to the slimmest of margins. While factors such as age, production, and the supporting cast all play their part, we are here to help you disentangle all of that and make an informed decision. Here are the top 10 dynasty QB rankings for the 2021 season.
2021 Dynasty QB Rankings | 6-10
Who are the most consistent playmakers at the QB position? There will be two names who stand out as omissions, and yes, they are on purpose. Just missing out on the top 10 dynasty QB rankings for 2021 are Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson.
Both QBs have too many red flags concerning their situation either on the field or off of it. If he stays in Green Bay, Rodgers will not change much, possibly moving up to QB10 if anything. Watson, on the other hand, would be QB3 or QB4. However, we have no idea what the outcome will be, and for now, I cannot rank him with any confidence for the 2021 season.
With this out of the way, let’s dive in and kick things off with the QB10 in my 2021 dynasty QB rankings.
QB10) Justin Fields, Chicago Bears
Kicking off the 2021 dynasty QB rankings is our first rookie of the bunch in Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields. In fantasy, you must target QBs with a rushing upside. Over the last three seasons, it has become even more of a requirement.
Since 2018, 22 of the top 36 QBs rushed for over 200 yards, with 17 of the top 24 in the last two years hitting this mark. In 2018, 11.3% of the top 12 QBs’ fantasy totals came via the rush. In 2019, that jumped to 19.19%, followed by 18.46% last season. The average over the previous two seasons is 71.3 attempts for 393.3 yards and 4 touchdowns.
I bring all of this up because there might be no better dual-threat prospect in the 2020 rookie class than Fields. He showed the ability to make every requisite throw at the next level and be a dangerous rusher while at Ohio State. I have zero questions about his talent, and he could be a top 5 QB in dynasty rankings in two years. The only concern comes to his situation.
The Bears are an organization in flux and have a head coach and general manager on the hot seat. But talent-wise, the Bears have solid players in David Montgomery, Darnell Mooney, Allen Robinson, and Cole Kmet on offense and a solid defense to keep them in games. I believe in Fields’ long-term dynasty value and have him just inside my top 10 QB rankings.
QB9) Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals
If not for his devastating knee injury, Joe Burrow could have pushed Justin Herbert for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. From Day 1, Burrow lived up to the billing. Over 10 starts, he completed 264 passes (65.4%) for 2,688 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. The volume at which the Bengals threw the ball was staggering. In 10 and a half games, Burrow attempted more passes (404) than Lamar Jackson did all season (376).
We all expected them to upgrade their offensive line, but the Bengals said “hold our beer” and selected Burrow’s top receiver from LSU in Ja’Marr Chase instead. From a playmaker standpoint, you have to be excited. Chase, along with Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Joe Mixon, has the potential to be a very competent offense.
It all comes down to whether or not the Bengals can keep Burrow upright. The addition of Riley Reiff will help, but the maturation of Jonah Williams will be pivotal. While not the QB1 of the 2020 class anymore, Burrow is still a top 10 QB in dynasty rankings.
QB8) Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars
Of the 2021 rookie class, Trevor Lawrence does not have the highest ceiling. I believe that is Trey Lance followed by Fields. Nevertheless, Lawrence has the highest floor. That is the crucial part as he is as close to “can’t miss” as it gets.
Lawrence has been anointed since his freshman year at Clemson and has continuously drawn comparisons to Andrew Luck along the way. He ended his career at Clemson with a 34-2 (.944) record as a starter. His two losses came in the College Football Playoffs. In fact, Lawrence did not lose a regular-season game as a starter in either college or high school!
At Clemson, Lawrence completed 758 of 1,138 career passes (66.6%) for 10,098 yards, 90 touchdowns, and 17 interceptions. He also rushed 231 times for 943 rushing yards and 18 rushing touchdowns.
The Jaguars are a team on the rise, and they might be more talented than given credit for heading into 2021. The defense is young and full of budding talent, and on offense, Lawrence has plenty of weapons. D.J. Chark and Marvin Jones will work the perimeter with Laviska Schenault roaming the middle. If none of those options work, he always has his college RB in Travis Etienne waiting.
I know that Burrow has “shown it” already where Lawrence hasn’t yet, but the talent and ceiling of Lawrence can’t be denied. Therefore, Lawrence takes the edge in the head-to-head.
QB7) Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks
How strained is the relationship in Seattle between the team and Russell Wilson? Rumors swirled in the offseason about a potential trade and even went as far as several teams making substantial offers as they believed Seattle would deal him for the right price.
Can you honestly blame the guy? Since 2014, no QB has been sacked more than Wilson — a staggering 275 times. Quite impressively, despite the pressure, Wilson is sixth in yards (23,996) and first in touchdowns (195) over that stretch.
Perhaps the Seahawks have tried to make amends. They dismissed the run-centric Brian Schottenheimer and signed former Rams passing coordinator Shane Waldron to take over the role of OC. Tyler Lockett signed a long-term deal, and they drafted a likely new slot WR in D’Wayne Eskridge out of Western Michigan with their first draft pick (No. 56).
Wilson is about as consistent as they come for fantasy. Since 2013, he has averaged 3,853 passing yards, 35 total touchdowns, and 19.83 points (4 points per TD).
In 2020, Wilson was a top 12 QB in nine of 16 games (56%), the sixth-best of all QBs. Interestingly, seven of those came in the first eight weeks of the season when Seattle “let Russ cook.” From Weeks 1 through 8, he was the QB1 (30.3 ppg), but from Week 9 through 17, that fell to QB11 (17.8 ppg).
I believe the truth lies somewhere in the middle, and every week, Wilson is a QB1 option. He is a consistent, reliable QB who can put up week-winning numbers.
QB6) Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers
We rarely see rookie QBs come out of the gates and light the NFL on fire. From 2010-2020, 33 signal-callers were drafted inside of Round 1. Of those quarterbacks, only five finished as a QB12 or better, and only seven inside the top 18. That’s what makes Herbert’s record-setting season so incredible.
Herbert set rookie records for total touchdowns (36), passing touchdowns (31), completions (396), multi-passing touchdown games (10), games with 300 yards passing (8), and 3-touchdown passing games (6). Furthermore, he was just 38 yards short of Andrew Luck’s rookie record of 4,374 yards passing.
What’s scarier to think about is that Herbert might be in an even better situation in 2021. First off, the Chargers exited free agency as arguably the most improved team of the offseason and carried that momentum into the NFL Draft. The Chargers fortified their offensive line by the additions of Matt Feiler, Oday Aboushi, and Corey Linsley in free agency, then drafted a destroyer of souls in Rashawn Slater at pick No. 13.
The other move that has garnered less attention than it likely deserves is the change in the coaching staff. Anthony Lynn was replaced as head coach by former Rams DC Brandon Staley. Additionally, at offensive coordinator, the Chargers brought in QB guru Joe Lombardi.
Having spent the last five seasons with the Saints, Lombardi will build an offense that directly fits Herbert’s skills. Herbert is surrounded by incredible talent and is a locked-in QB1 in 2021 dynasty rankings.