NFL Playoff Chances: Super Bowl Probabilities and Playoff Charts For Each Team
NFL Playoff Qualification Probability
Last Updated: June 26, 2024
07:38 AM ET
Based on 1,00,000 simulations
American Football Conference
|
NORTH
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BAL
|
0-0-0
|
87.2%
|
42.1%
|
34.8%
|
19.0%
|
10.3%
|
18.2%
|
44.3%
|
CIN
|
0-0-0
|
86.9%
|
38.8%
|
29.6%
|
14.8%
|
7.4%
|
17.4%
|
46.1%
|
CLE
|
0-0-0
|
37.8%
|
14.9%
|
6.2%
|
2.3%
|
0.9%
|
1.6%
|
7.4%
|
PIT
|
0-0-0
|
16.3%
|
5.3%
|
1.7%
|
0.5%
|
0.2%
|
0.3%
|
2.2%
|
|
EAST
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BUF
|
0-0-0
|
71.2%
|
34.8%
|
20.7%
|
10.1%
|
5.0%
|
6.9%
|
38.5%
|
MIA
|
0-0-0
|
66.3%
|
29.9%
|
15.7%
|
6.9%
|
3.0%
|
5.3%
|
35.0%
|
NE
|
0-0-0
|
0.6%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.1%
|
NYJ
|
0-0-0
|
56.9%
|
23.7%
|
10.6%
|
4.2%
|
1.7%
|
3.0%
|
26.3%
|
|
WEST
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DEN
|
0-0-0
|
2.1%
|
0.4%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.2%
|
KC
|
0-0-0
|
97.7%
|
38.4%
|
48.4%
|
28.7%
|
16.3%
|
38.7%
|
94.5%
|
LAC
|
0-0-0
|
20.7%
|
6.0%
|
1.7%
|
0.5%
|
0.1%
|
0.4%
|
4.3%
|
LV
|
0-0-0
|
6.5%
|
1.5%
|
0.3%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.1%
|
1.0%
|
|
SOUTH
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOU
|
0-0-0
|
71.3%
|
34.9%
|
19.6%
|
9.2%
|
4.3%
|
6.2%
|
54.9%
|
IND
|
0-0-0
|
32.9%
|
11.6%
|
3.9%
|
1.3%
|
0.4%
|
0.8%
|
18.2%
|
JAX
|
0-0-0
|
41.8%
|
16.8%
|
6.6%
|
2.4%
|
0.9%
|
1.2%
|
25.0%
|
TEN
|
0-0-0
|
3.9%
|
0.9%
|
0.2%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
1.9%
|
National Football Conference
|
WEST
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARI
|
0-0-0
|
6.2%
|
1.6%
|
0.4%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.7%
|
LAR
|
0-0-0
|
59.4%
|
26.1%
|
12.7%
|
5.4%
|
2.2%
|
3.8%
|
16.4%
|
SEA
|
0-0-0
|
19.5%
|
6.3%
|
1.9%
|
0.6%
|
0.2%
|
0.3%
|
2.9%
|
SF
|
0-0-0
|
94.4%
|
43.8%
|
46.2%
|
27.5%
|
15.3%
|
29.3%
|
80.0%
|
|
SOUTH
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ATL
|
0-0-0
|
72.0%
|
29.2%
|
12.5%
|
4.6%
|
1.6%
|
5.2%
|
60.1%
|
CAR
|
0-0-0
|
4.0%
|
0.7%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
2.2%
|
NO
|
0-0-0
|
23.2%
|
6.7%
|
1.7%
|
0.4%
|
0.1%
|
0.3%
|
13.8%
|
TB
|
0-0-0
|
36.9%
|
12.9%
|
4.1%
|
1.3%
|
0.4%
|
0.8%
|
23.9%
|
|
NORTH
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CHI
|
0-0-0
|
40.4%
|
15.4%
|
5.9%
|
2.0%
|
0.7%
|
1.4%
|
9.1%
|
DET
|
0-0-0
|
89.5%
|
44.0%
|
37.7%
|
20.7%
|
11.0%
|
20.4%
|
62.7%
|
GB
|
0-0-0
|
66.6%
|
30.9%
|
17.2%
|
7.9%
|
3.5%
|
5.9%
|
26.5%
|
MIN
|
0-0-0
|
11.0%
|
3.2%
|
0.9%
|
0.2%
|
0.1%
|
0.1%
|
1.8%
|
|
EAST
|
Record
|
Qualify
Playoff |
Win
wildcard |
Win
Divisional |
Win
Conference |
Win
Superbowl |
Top
Conference |
Top
Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DAL
|
0-0-0
|
73.8%
|
34.5%
|
19.3%
|
8.6%
|
3.9%
|
7.0%
|
26.3%
|
NYG
|
0-0-0
|
3.0%
|
0.5%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.3%
|
PHI
|
0-0-0
|
93.6%
|
42.7%
|
39.0%
|
20.7%
|
10.7%
|
25.4%
|
72.6%
|
WAS
|
0-0-0
|
6.5%
|
1.4%
|
0.3%
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.9%
|