PFSN College Football Playoff Meter (FPM) simulates the remaining CFB schedule 100,000 times to calculate the outcome of every FBS team in the 2026-27 season. The college FPM uses our proprietary metrics to give every team a points spread against the average opponent, which is then used to fuel our simulation engine.
Our FPM produces data points on each team's expected number of wins and losses, their chances of making the conference championship game, winning the conference, qualifying for the playoffs, and winning the National Championship.
Team↕ | Conference↕ | Record↕ | Power
Rank↑ | Points
Spread↕ | Projected
Wins↕ | Projected
Losses↕ | Conference
Championship
Game%↕ | Win
Conference%↕ | Make CFB
Playoff%↕ | At Large
Bid%↕ | Make
NC%↕ | National
Champion%↕ | Win
Out%↕ | 6+ Wins%↕ | Strength of
Schedule↕ | Offense
Impact
Score↕ | Defense
Impact
Score↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 1 | 23.75(1) | 8.29(5) | 3.71(132) | 38.5(12) | 21.4(11) | 67.8(3) | 46.4(4) | 15.2(2) | 7.9(2) | 1.1(5) | 96.6(5) | 11.25(51) | 84.6(13) | 86.5(11) | ||
| Independent | 0-0 | 2 | 23.5(2) | 8.64(2) | 3.36(135) | - | - | 82.9(1) | 82.9(1) | 18.7(1) | 8.7(1) | 1.5(3) | 97.2(4) | 12.42(32) | 88.5(8) | 87.7(8) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 3 | 23.25(3) | 7.75(15) | 4.25(122) | 28.2(27) | 16.8(21) | 68(2) | 51.2(2) | 14.9(3) | 7.6(3) | 0.5(10) | 91.6(16) | 11.42(48) | 90.9(3) | 95.1(4) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 4 | 23(4) | 8.08(8) | 3.92(129) | 32.4(16) | 17.3(18) | 62.9(5) | 45.6(5) | 13.2(5) | 7.5(4) | 0.7(9) | 94.8(8) | 10.69(56) | 93.5(1) | 97.9(1) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 5 | 22.75(5) | 7.39(28) | 4.61(109) | 32.3(17) | 19.1(13) | 66.9(4) | 47.8(3) | 14.8(4) | 7(5) | 0.3(20) | 88.4(27) | 12.81(27) | 79.9(37) | 85.4(17) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 6 | 22.5(6) | 8.56(3) | 3.44(134) | 47.2(7) | 26.7(5) | 38.1(12) | 11.4(19) | 7.6(10) | 5(7) | 1.2(4) | 98(2) | 9.60(61) | 80.4(33) | 95.8(2) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 7 | 22.25(7) | 8.47(4) | 3.53(133) | 45.7(9) | 26.4(7) | 30(16) | 3.6(25) | 5.7(14) | 2.9(14) | 1.7(2) | 97.3(3) | - | - | - | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 8 | 22(8) | 7.61(18) | 4.39(119) | 30(21) | 17.6(17) | 57(6) | 39.4(7) | 10.3(6) | 5.9(6) | 0.4(16) | 90.8(19) | 11.94(38) | 82.2(27) | 88.7(6) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 9 | 21.75(9) | 7.82(14) | 4.18(123) | 24.9(32) | 13(30) | 50.3(8) | 37.3(9) | 9.1(7) | 4.9(8) | 0.2(30) | 93.2(13) | 13.21(20) | 90.4(4) | 76.3(59) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 10 | 21.5(10) | 7.54(22) | 4.47(115) | 27.1(28) | 12.6(31) | 50.9(7) | 38.3(8) | 8.4(8) | 4.8(9) | 0.5(10) | 89.5(23) | 12.50(31) | 83.5(21) | 83.3(28) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 11 | 21.25(11) | 7.42(25) | 4.58(111) | 19.6(38) | 9.4(39) | 44.8(10) | 35.4(10) | 7.4(11) | 4(10) | 0.3(20) | 88.3(28) | - | - | - | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 12 | 21(12) | 7.58(19) | 4.42(118) | 31.6(19) | 17(19) | 29.7(17) | 12.7(18) | 7.7(9) | 3.7(11) | 0.5(10) | 92(15) | 12.81(27) | 82.7(25) | 86.1(14) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 13 | 20.75(13) | 7.26(34) | 4.75(102) | 17.9(44) | 8(43) | 49(9) | 41.0(6) | 7.4(11) | 3.5(12) | 0.4(16) | 86(35) | 14.13(12) | 76.7(58) | 95.8(3) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 14 | 20.5(14) | 8.25(6) | 3.75(131) | 34.7(15) | 19.1(13) | 20.2(23) | 1.1(29) | 3.8(17) | 1.2(21) | 1(7) | 95.8(6) | 8.21(68) | 78.7(45) | 84.3(22) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 15 | 20.25(15) | 7.45(24) | 4.55(113) | 17.5(45) | 9.3(40) | 39.2(11) | 29.9(11) | 7.1(13) | 3.5(12) | 0.3(20) | 90.1(22) | 15.06(6) | 76.1(63) | 84.6(20) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 16 | 20(16) | 7.14(38) | 4.86(99) | 17.4(46) | 8.2(42) | 35.6(13) | 27.4(13) | 4.7(16) | 2(18) | 0.2(30) | 85(38) | 12.56(30) | 82.1(28) | 81.6(32) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 17 | 19.75(17) | 7.38(29) | 4.62(108) | 14.8(53) | 6.3(51) | 34.3(15) | 28.0(12) | 5.1(15) | 2.5(15) | 0(53) | 86.4(34) | 13.31(19) | 81.7(29) | 84.9(18) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 18 | 19.5(18) | 7.73(16) | 4.27(121) | 29.5(24) | 14.5(23) | 21.7(21) | 7.2(21) | 3.8(17) | 1.6(20) | 0.5(10) | 91.3(17) | 13.19(21) | 76.3(61) | 79.6(38) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 19 | 19.25(19) | 7.56(21) | 4.44(116) | 14.8(53) | 5.9(53) | 29.4(18) | 23.5(14) | 3.1(21) | 1.7(19) | 0.3(20) | 90.7(20) | 11.52(45) | 89.8(6) | 84.0(24) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 20 | 19(20) | 7.34(31) | 4.66(106) | 18(43) | 7.8(44) | 14.1(25) | 6.3(23) | 2.8(22) | 0.8(22) | 0.2(30) | 87.7(30) | 11.92(39) | 89.3(7) | 84.8(19) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 21 | 18.75(21) | 7.07(40) | 4.93(97) | 10.9(64) | 4.3(68) | 26.3(20) | 22.0(15) | 3.8(17) | 2.5(15) | 0.2(30) | 82.8(41) | 11.25(51) | 87.1(9) | 73.2(75) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 22 | 18.5(22) | 7.1(39) | 4.9(98) | 9.3(70) | 4.7(63) | 9(33) | 4.3(24) | 1(31) | 0.7(26) | 0.2(30) | 84.7(39) | 10.92(55) | 79.7(38) | 83.6(26) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 23 | 18.25(23) | 7.26(34) | 4.74(103) | 12.5(56) | 5.8(54) | 20.4(22) | 14.6(17) | 3.5(20) | 2.1(17) | 0.2(30) | 86.7(32) | 11.73(42) | 92.1(2) | 77.2(54) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 24 | 18(24) | 7.96(9) | 4.05(128) | 24.1(33) | 11.3(33) | 11.6(30) | 0.3(43) | 1.9(25) | 0.8(22) | 1(7) | 94.1(9) | 14.81(8) | 75.1(69) | 71.2(89) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 25 | 17.75(25) | 7.93(10) | 4.07(127) | 20.4(36) | 10.5(35) | 12.4(28) | 1.9(27) | 1.3(28) | 0.8(22) | 0.2(30) | 94(10) | 9.44(62) | 77.8(51) | 80.4(36) | ||
| Sun Belt | 0-0 | 25 | 17.75(25) | 9.08(1) | 2.92(136) | 68.4(2) | 54.9(1) | 34.6(14) | 0.0(45) | 2.5(23) | 0.8(22) | 2.6(1) | 98.8(1) | 3.10(103) | 75.7(65) | 86.9(10) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 25 | 17.75(25) | 7.42(25) | 4.58(111) | 18.4(41) | 9.8(38) | 10.3(31) | 0.5(34) | 1.2(29) | 0.2(35) | 0.3(20) | 89(26) | 11.83(40) | 78.0(50) | 86.1(13) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 28 | 17.5(28) | 7.03(41) | 4.97(96) | 10.8(65) | 5.6(55) | 8.1(34) | 2.5(26) | 0.7(35) | 0.1(40) | 0.3(20) | 83.2(40) | 11.10(54) | 83.2(23) | 72.4(79) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 28 | 17.5(28) | 6.97(42) | 5.03(94) | 8.9(73) | 4.7(63) | 19.4(24) | 14.7(16) | 2.1(24) | 0.6(28) | 0(53) | 80.2(48) | 12.19(36) | 80.4(34) | 87.2(9) | ||
| American | 0-0 | 30 | 17.25(30) | 8.18(7) | 3.82(130) | 56.3(3) | 34.8(3) | 27.7(19) | 0.0(45) | 1.5(27) | 0.5(30) | 1.1(5) | 95.7(7) | 5.88(72) | 75.9(64) | 72.4(80) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 31 | 17(31) | 7.52(23) | 4.48(114) | 16.8(50) | 6.4(50) | 6.7(36) | 0.3(41) | 0.9(32) | 0.6(28) | 0.3(20) | 89.1(25) | 11.73(42) | 82.7(26) | 89.9(5) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 31 | 17(31) | 7.19(36) | 4.81(101) | 14.9(52) | 6.2(52) | 7(35) | 0.8(30) | 0.9(32) | 0.3(33) | 0.2(30) | 85.7(36) | 10.38(59) | 84.1(17) | 73.5(74) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 31 | 17(31) | 7.18(37) | 4.82(100) | 12.1(59) | 5.4(56) | 13.9(26) | 8.5(20) | 1.6(26) | 0.7(26) | 0.1(41) | 85.3(37) | 12.27(34) | 80.6(32) | 86.2(12) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 34 | 16.75(34) | 7.36(30) | 4.64(107) | 11.4(61) | 5.1(58) | 12.2(29) | 7.1(22) | 1.1(30) | 0.5(30) | 0.2(30) | 89.2(24) | 13.52(17) | 85.6(11) | 74.5(69) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 34 | 16.75(34) | 7.64(17) | 4.36(120) | 17.3(47) | 10.3(36) | 10.3(31) | 0.0(45) | 0.8(34) | 0.2(35) | 0.4(16) | 91.1(18) | 9.27(63) | 73.3(81) | 76.8(56) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 36 | 16(36) | 6.93(45) | 5.07(92) | 8(75) | 2.8(74) | 4.5(40) | 1.7(28) | 0.6(37) | 0.2(35) | 0(53) | 81.8(43) | 12.92(24) | 82.9(24) | 78.8(42) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 37 | 15.25(37) | 6.83(50) | 5.17(87) | 10.6(66) | 4.8(61) | 4.8(39) | 0.0(45) | 0.4(39) | 0.2(35) | 0.1(41) | 80.3(47) | 11.46(47) | 84.4(16) | 70.5(96) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 38 | 15(38) | 6.87(48) | 5.13(89) | 8(75) | 3.9(71) | 4.4(41) | 0.5(33) | 0.3(40) | 0.2(35) | 0(53) | 79.3(49) | 11.77(41) | 79.3(39) | 79.3(39) | ||
| American | 0-0 | 39 | 13.5(39) | 7.91(11) | 4.1(125) | 46.8(8) | 24.5(10) | 12.8(27) | 0.0(45) | 0.5(38) | 0.4(32) | 0.5(10) | 93.2(13) | 2.65(110) | 83.5(22) | 71.3(88) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 40 | 13.25(40) | 6.32(64) | 5.68(73) | 7(79) | 2.2(80) | 2.5(43) | 0.3(41) | 0.7(35) | 0.3(33) | 0.1(41) | 67(66) | 11.58(44) | 77.0(54) | 77.4(51) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 41 | 12.5(41) | 6.4(61) | 5.61(76) | 3.8(91) | 1.3(93) | 1.3(51) | 0.0(45) | 0(53) | 0(47) | 0(53) | 71.3(59) | 8.90(66) | 73.5(80) | 85.7(15) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 42 | 12.25(42) | 6.5(58) | 5.5(79) | 4.6(86) | 1.6(86) | 2.3(45) | 0.7(32) | 0.2(42) | 0.1(40) | 0.1(41) | 73(58) | 12.83(26) | 84.5(14) | 80.8(35) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 43 | 11.75(43) | 5.62(88) | 6.38(49) | 2(107) | 0.8(102) | 1.5(49) | 0.7(31) | 0.2(42) | 0.1(40) | 0(53) | 51.2(90) | 14.38(10) | 80.1(36) | 83.6(27) | ||
| ACC | 0-0 | 43 | 11.75(43) | 6.61(55) | 5.39(82) | 6.7(80) | 2(83) | 2(46) | 0.0(45) | 0(53) | 0(47) | 0(53) | 74.5(55) | 13.88(14) | 83.9(19) | 76.2(61) | ||
| Big 12 | 0-0 | 45 | 11.5(45) | 6(73) | 6.01(64) | 2.7(98) | 1.1(96) | 1.1(53) | 0.0(45) | 0.1(47) | 0(47) | 0(53) | 62.2(73) | 13.15(22) | 78.8(44) | 71.3(87) | ||
| Big Ten | 0-0 | 45 | 11.5(45) | 6.17(68) | 5.83(69) | 2.9(95) | 1.4(90) | 1.7(47) | 0.3(37) | 0.2(42) | 0.1(40) | 0(53) | 66.9(67) | 11.27(50) | 73.6(79) | 78.3(47) | ||
| American | 0-0 | 45 | 11.5(45) | 7.91(11) | 4.09(126) | 29.9(22) | 13.6(29) | 5.6(38) | 0.0(45) | 0(53) | 0(47) | 0.5(10) | 93.6(12) | - | - | - | ||
| American | 0-0 | 48 | 11.25(48) | 7.84(13) | 4.16(124) | 28.7(25) | 14.2(26) | 6.6(37) | 0.0(45) | 0.3(40) | 0(47) | 0.4(16) | 93.7(11) | 5.09(82) | 84.4(15) | 70.1(97) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 49 | 11(49) | 5.41(101) | 6.59(37) | 1.5(114) | 0.4(120) | 0.8(58) | 0.4(36) | 0(53) | 0(47) | 0(53) | 46.2(102) | 11.19(53) | 85.0(12) | 82.9(30) | ||
| SEC | 0-0 | 49 | 11(49) | 5.68(86) | 6.32(50) | 2.2(103) | 0.7(103) | 1(54) | 0.3(37) | 0.2(42) | 0.1(40) | 0(53) | 55(82) | 16.02(2) | 77.7(52) | 84.3(21) |
Showing 1 to 50 of 136 results
Last updated: 5/2/2026, 8:45 PM