Josh Reynolds’ Dynasty Value | Fantasy Outlook, Ranking, and More

Josh Reynolds’ dynasty value is ticking up thanks to a career-high in touchdowns last season -- is free agency a good thing for his stock?

Detroit Lions WR Josh Reynolds’ dynasty value is slightly higher now than it was when he joined the team three seasons ago, and he is looking to parlay the upside he showed in 2023 (15.2 yards per catch with one of every eight receptions resulting in a touchdown) into one more nice contract this summer.

Dynasty fantasy football managers often want to get ahead of free agency, so let’s dive into Reynolds’ profile and see if the numbers suggest that there is a fantasy asset here if given the opportunity to compete for targets on a consistent basis.

Josh Reynolds’ Dynasty Outlook

Fantasy analysts put in as much work as anyone in trying to project roles and skill-set upside, but sometimes, it really is just as simple as listening to what the NFL has told you.

Reynolds entered the league as a fourth-round pick in 2017 after three years at Texas A&M, where his 6’3” frame was more than college kids could handle (17.0 yards per catch with a score once every 5.5 receptions). The professionals, however, haven’t had any issues in slowing him down.

  • Targeted on 15.8% of his routes
  • Seasons with 55+ catches: zero
  • Seasons with 620+ receiving yards: zero
  • Games with 14+ half-PPR points: zero

MORE: Dynasty Fantasy Football Startup Draft Strategies

At this point, with Reynolds entering his age-29 season, it seems safe to assume that the veteran WR isn’t going to be earning targets or consistently producing, regardless of where he lands.

That said, he has shown well in one specific area, and that could be of interest to a few statistically favorable suitors.

Reynolds’ Dynasty Ranking

Where does Reynolds land in the dynasty WR landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Reynolds lands in comparison to other top names at the position.

1) Ja’Marr Chase | CIN
2) Justin Jefferson | MIN
3) Tyreek Hill | MIA
4) CeeDee Lamb | DAL
5) Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET
6) A.J. Brown | PHI
7) Garrett Wilson | NYJ
8) Jaylen Waddle | MIA
9) Chris Olave | NO
10) Tee Higgins | CIN
11) Brandon Aiyuk | SF
12) Puka Nacua | LAR
13) DJ Moore | CHI
14) Nico Collins | HOU
15) Rashee Rice | KC
16) Michael Pittman Jr. | IND
17) Amari Cooper | CLE
18) Cooper Kupp | LAR
19) DeVonta Smith | PHI
20) DK Metcalf | SEA

21) Zay Flowers | BAL
22) Drake London | ATL
23) Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA
24) Davante Adams | LV
25) Mike Evans | TB
26) Tank Dell | HOU
27) Jayden Reed | GB
28) Deebo Samuel | SF
29) Calvin Ridley | JAX
30) Stefon Diggs | BUF
31) Jordan Addison | MIN
32) Keenan Allen | LAC
33) Terry McLaurin | WAS
34) George Pickens | PIT
35) Chris Godwin | TB
36) Josh Downs | IND
37) Gabe Davis | BUF
38) Michael Wilson | ARI
39) Jameson Williams | DET
40) Elijah Moore | CLE

41) Romeo Doubs | GB
42) Jerry Jeudy | DEN
43) Christian Kirk | JAX
44) Diontae Johnson | PIT
45) DeAndre Hopkins | TEN
46) Khalil Shakir | BUF
47) Joshua Palmer | LAC
48) Jahan Dotson | WAS
49) Courtland Sutton | DEN
50) Jakobi Meyers | LV
51) Treylon Burks | TEN
52) Christian Watson | GB
53) K.J. Osborn | MIN
54) Marquise Brown | ARI
55) Mike Williams | LAC
56) Tyler Lockett | SEA
57) Zay Jones | JAX
58) Jonathan Mingo | CAR
59) Quentin Johnston | LAC
60) Jalin Hyatt | NYG

61) Noah Brown | HOU
62) Tutu Atwell | LAR
63) Michael Thomas | NO
64) Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN
65) Kendrick Bourne | NE
66) Adam Thielen | CAR
67) Cedric Tillman | CLE
68) Rashid Shaheed | NO
69) Brandin Cooks | DAL
70) Trey Palmer | TB
71) Darius Slayton | NYG
72) Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG
73) Darnell Mooney | CHI
74) Kadarius Toney | KC
75) Rashod Bateman | BAL
76) John Metchie III | HOU
77) Rondale Moore | ARI
78) Skyy Moore | KC
79) Donovan Peoples-Jones | DET
80) Alec Pierce | IND
81) Mecole Hardman Jr. | KC
82) Allen Lazard | NYJ
83) Tyler Boyd | CIN
84) DJ Chark | CAR
85) Josh Reynolds | DET
86) Odell Beckham Jr. | BAL
87) Michael Gallup | DAL
88) Tyquan Thornton | NE
89) Curtis Samuel | WAS
90) Isaiah Hodgins | NYG

Should You Trade Reynolds in Dynasty?

Are you considering trading Reynolds? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!

While Reynolds has yet to earn opportunities on a consistent basis, a 2.9% career drop rate is encouraging should he see his role expanded.

As long as we are speaking “role”, what could Reynolds’ look like as he hits the open market?

I mentioned his size causing problems at the collegiate level, and while that hasn’t been the case in terms of raw counting numbers in the NFL, look a little closer, and there is a path to him justifying being stashed.

For his career, 78.9% of his touchdown receptions (15 of 19) have come with two feet in the end zone. For reference, 54.4% of touchdown receptions in 2023 were end-zone targets.

Wide receiver touchdown vultures aren’t common, nor are they reliable, but if we are talking about a player to fill out a roster that you are only considering in desperate situations, it’s not a bad skill set to bet on.

Leaders in end-zone targets since 2022:

1. Dallas Cowboys: 102 (no reliable WR2)
2. Seattle Seahawks: 100 (Tyler Lockett decline)
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 98 (Calvin Ridley is a free agent)
4. Green Bay Packers: 96
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 93 (new offensive coordinator)
6. Buffalo Bills: 92
6. Denver Broncos: 92
8. Washington Commanders: 90 (new coaching staff)
9. Los Angeles Chargers: 88 (new coaching staff)
10. Minnesota Vikings: 86 (K.J. Osborn is a free agent, T.J. Hockenson hurt)

Of course, there is no guarantee that any of these teams would extend Reynolds’ role. That said, the sheer fact that there are some teams that challenge the end zone with frequency who could be in the market for a receiver like Reynolds is enough to hold onto him.

MORE: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart

It’s for that reason that I’m holding. Reynolds isn’t going to net you much in the trade market, and thus, you don’t have much to lose by maintaining your position. The annual upside here isn’t interesting to me, but that’s not what you’re rostering him for, right?

You’re chasing a week or two when you’re stuck — if Reynolds lands in an above-average offense that can have him running routes near pay dirt, he’s a fine option to fill that role for you.

With the fantasy football season behind us, why not start preparing for your rookie drafts with our dynasty rookie rankings? Additionally, as you look to improve your team heading into 2024, our dynasty trade calculator can help you find the perfect deal to boost your championship chances.

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