Green Bay Packers Start-Sit: Week 3 Fantasy Advice for Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs, Matthew Golden, Tucker Kraft, and Others

Fantasy football Week 3: Start-sit advice and analysis for Green Bay Packers stars.

The fantasy football landscape shifts each week, bringing fresh opportunities and unexpected challenges that separate the prepared from the pretenders. Savvy managers know that last week’s performance tells only part of the story, and diving deeper into the underlying metrics reveals the accurate picture.

This week presents some intriguing decisions. Here’s insight about key Green Bay Packers players heading into their matchup with the Cleveland Browns to help you craft a winning lineup.

Jordan Love, QB

This is when you know you’ve been playing fantasy football for a long time.

Instead of enjoying all the good that has come from Jordan Love during Green Bay’s impressive 2-0 start (multiple touchdown passes in both games with the aggression dial turned all the way up), I’m worried about when the shoe is going to drop.

Love threw for multiple scores in five straight games to open last season, but his last game with 230 passing yards came on Thanksgiving, and he managed to throw just five touchdown passes over the final four weeks of the fantasy season.

Some wounds take time to heal.

That said, this does look different. Matthew Golladay hasn’t been productive yet, but the drafting of him was a signal of aggression from this organization and has been executed through two weeks, with Love’s aDOT sitting at 12.5 yards (2023: 8.8 yards).

How the Jayden Reed injury factors into everything requires guesswork from all of us, but it does open up opportunities for their more explosive playmakers, something that could help sustain the stock of Love.

Of course, with talent like that, you run into the variance monster. The aggression side has two coins, and we saw the Browns bottle up the Bengals in Week 1.

Could this be a 30-carry Jacobs game where Love throws 23 passes and leads the Packers to a win, but fantasy managers to a loss? I certainly think that’s in play and that’s why he’s a fringe QB1 for me this week, but worry not, it won’t last long.

The Packers face the Cowboys, Bengals, and Cardinals over their next three games, which I anticipate will be weeks when Love cracks my top-8 at the position (he also gets a birthday game a few weeks later against the Panthers).

Love is going to be more valuable to Green Bay than to fantasy managers, but if his growth patterns stick, there’s no reason he can’t finish this season as a QB1, even if this is an offense that prefers to bloody your nose on the ground.

Josh Jacobs, RB

From elusive rating to versatility, Josh Jacobs’ profile through two weeks doesn’t look as impressive as it did a year ago, but the raw volume (42 carries) is pretty hard to ignore, and the 10-game scoring streak isn’t an accident.

As long as you think Green Bay is as good as they’ve looked through two weeks, Jacobs is a high-floor RB1. He ran for 15 touchdowns a season ago, and if Jordan Love is going to continue threatening defenses down the field (aDOT up 42% from 2024), that might be on the low end of expectations.

Could the Jayden Reed (collarbone) injury open up two to three targets for Jacobs per game over the next two months? He doesn’t need it to return value on your investment, but it gives him a path to top-5 production moving forward.

Dontayvion Wicks, WR

Dontayvion Wicks leads all Packer receivers in receptions through two weeks.

Romeo Doubs has half of the WR end zone targets.

Jayden Reed nearly scored in both games.

Matthew Golden has the type of draft capital that traditionally demands more usage over time.

So yeah, this team is excellent, but the lack of clarity they’ve given us at the receiver position is beyond frustrating.

Reed’s collarbone injury will keep him out for more than a month, which means we’ll have fewer mouths to feed, but don’t confuse “fewer” with “not many”. Tucker Kraft looked like a budding star in the domination of the Commanders on Thursday night and, for good measure, Malik Heath made the play of the night.

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Wicks is deserving of a roster spot, as noted at the top of this section, but he’s ranked outside my flex tier against a Browns defense that can make things difficult for the most talented receiver rooms in the league (see Week 1, Bengals).

Wicks might be the right answer by season’s end as to who the most valuable Packers receiver was, but every week, that’s not something I want to invest in. Not now, at least. Let’s see what this offense looks like sans Reed on Sunday and reevaluate.

Jayden Reed, WR

Fantasy football can be cruel at times.

For a brief moment in time on Thursday night, Jayden Reed’s managers were thrilled. It looked like he hauled in a beautiful 39-yard touchdown on Green Bay’s first drive against Washington, not just a 10.9-point play, but some signal that his three deep targets in the season opener weren’t a fluke.

Those vibes didn’t last long.

He crashed to the ground at the end of the play, and you could see the yellow flag graphic pop up on the broadcast.

Offensive holding, 10-yard penalty, no play.

That hurt us, but Reed was hurting too. He was holding his right shoulder in a way that suggested something was off.

He never returned to the game, and even then, we optimistic Reed managers were convincing ourselves that it was as much the game situation (Green Bay largely controlled things from start to finish) and depth at the position. That the Packers were taking it easy with their presumptive WR1.

Nope.

Matt LaFleur gave us the broken collarbone diagnosis in the post-game news conference, and the current timeline is Halloween-ish.

That’s brutal.

Green Bay does have its bye during that stretch (Week 5), so that’s a positive, but for a team with Super Bowl aspirations, it’s hard to imagine them being very aggressive with Reed’s return to play, not to mention his return to peak performance.

Obviously, you IR him if you can, and I think you hold him at the end of your bench if you can’t. He’s part of a WR committee in Green Bay, and that’s annoying, but his early-season usage patterns suggest some skill growth, and there are targets begging to be earned in this offense.

The end-of-season schedule for the Packers is brutal, as they face the Broncos and Ravens during the fantasy playoffs, but the version of Reed that we’ve seen for one game and one drive this season would still be a flex option in those spots.

For those keeping track at home, Matthew Golden and Romeo Doubs tied for the WR lead in routes run for Green Bay after Reed left the game on Thursday night.

Matthew Golden | GB (at CLE)

I can’t say this with 100% certainty, but I don’t remember a rookie receiver having as many carries as catches through two weeks as I been about Matthew Golden.

The raw numbers are … well, underwhelming. Despite running a route on 63.2% of Love dropbacks this season (third on the team, second among receivers), Golden has two catches for 16 yards.

But hear me out.

He had a 33-yard end zone target on fourth down during Green Bay’s first drive on Thursday night, and while a good play from the defender broke it up, we are talking about taking a high-impact shot to a rookie in an effort to set the tone for the game.

You have my attention.

Love has been more aggressive through two weeks than we’ve seen at any point in his career, and that was apparent with another bomb directed Golden’s way later in the first half.

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Incomplete.

The production hasn’t been there, but the shot plays have been, and with them handing him the rock twice against the Commanders, they clearly want the 23rd overall pick to be a factor sooner than later.

The urgency received a bump post-game when we got confirmation that Reed had broken his collarbone and could miss up to two months. By no means does that make Golden a must-start, but if the Packers want him to be involved and the depth chart is now cooperating, this is the time to acquire the speed demon at a reasonable price (17.0 yards per catch last season at Texas).

Packer routes run following the Reed injury:

  • Tucker Kraft: 26
  • Romeo Doubs: 22
  • Golden: 22
  • Dontayvion Wicks: 19
  • Malik Heath: 7

The trade pitch is easy: two catches in two games and a bye coming up. The odds of you playing Golden in the short term aren’t great, so if you’re dealing with a 0-2 team, you can lean into their desperation.

Do it quickly. The Browns are a tough matchup this week, but after that, they get the Cowboys, Bengals, and Cardinals, with the Week 5 bye thrown in for good measure. Golden might never be a player you’re flexing with high levels of confidence because I’m not sure what the ceiling is when it comes to targets per game, but an upside player in a good offensive environment with an elite pedigree?

That profile has a way of being useful over the course of a long season.

Romeo Doubs, WR

Romeo Doubs leads the Green Bay receivers in route share (he’s run a route on 75.4% of Jordan Love dropbacks through two weeks), and while he’s not yet at 100 yards for the season, he’s made impactful plays in both of their victories.

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In Week 1 against the Lions, he had a pair of 20+ yard grabs (including a 48-yarder), and on Thursday night, he scored his first touchdown of the season, a play where the Packers cleared out his side and bet on him to win on a slant route inside the five-yard line.

We saw glimpses of his potential in 2022 (eight touchdowns), showing that his Nevada numbers (TD on 11.6% of his collegiate receptions) weren’t just the product of lower-level competition, and it’s very clear that the Packers trust him.

But should you?

First half stat lines, Week 2:

  • Tucker Kraft: 3 catches for 89 yards
  • Malik Heath: 1 catch for 37 yards
  • Dontayvion Wicks: 3 catches for 33 yards
  • Doubs: 3 catches for 28 yards, TD
  • Chris Brooks: 3 catches for 27 yards

The Jayden Reed injury (out 6-8 weeks with a broken collarbone) opens up usage, and Doubs has as good a shot as anyone to pick up the slack. That said, we are still in the part of the schedule where all 32 teams are in action, and while the Browns franchise might be in disarray, their defense can still hang.

Doubs ranks outside of my flex range for this week, but if he can earn targets at a reasonable rate, I could see that changing when the Packers travel to Dallas next Sunday night.

Tucker Kraft, TE

Well, that was impressive!

Tucker Kraft stole the show on Thursday night, posting the first 100-yard game of his career and looking the part of a difference maker throughout Green Bay’s win over Washington.

High praise, but is he wrong?

Kraft leads this team in routes, has moved the chains on 75% of his catches, and has a 33.3% red zone target share through two weeks.

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Yes, of course, we are only two weeks in, but with Jayden Reed (collarbone) potentially out for the next two months, what is standing in the way of Kraft posting top-5 numbers at the position?

Jordan Love is playing with as much confidence as he has at any point in his career, and Kraft is his most reliable pass catcher. You can overthink the target distribution all you want, I’m not. Kraft is a top-5 player at the position for the remainder of the season for me, and that means you get elite value in selecting him around pick number 100 this summer.

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