Ninth-seeded Daniil Medvedev will take on 18th-seeded Francisco Cerúndolo in the third round of the 2026 Miami Open. Medvedev got a bye in the first round, then started with a hard-fought 6-7 (10), 6-3, 6-1 win over Rei Sakamoto in the second round. Cerúndolo had an opening-round bye as well and started his campaign with a 6-4, 6-2 win over Thiago Agustin Tirante in the second round.
Match Details: Daniil Medvedev vs. Francisco Cerúndolo at the 2026 Miami Open
Date: March 23, 2026
Tournament: 2026 Miami Open
Round: Third round (Round of 32)
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, U.S.
Surface: Outdoor hard
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN
Medvedev vs. Cerúndolo Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head is 0-0, as neither player has faced the other on the Tour.
Medvedev has been on a dream run of form in 2026, winning 19 of 23 matches this season so far and capturing two titles in Brisbane and Dubai. He had a great runner-up finish at Indian Wells, which included wins over the likes of Alex Michelsen, Jack Draper, and Carlos Alcaraz to reach the final, where he had a close loss to Jannik Sinner.
Cerúndolo had his best moments of the season on the South American clay swing, winning the title in Buenos Aires and having a semifinal finish at the Chile Open. His best hard-court result of the year was the fourth-round run he had at the Australian Open, where he lost to Alexander Zverev. He did not have a great outing at Indian Wells, losing to Jack Draper in the third round.
Medvedev vs. Cerúndolo Match Prediction
Medvedev had a slow start against Sakamoto in the previous round, but that was more down to Sakamoto’s exceptional serving. However, as the match went on, Medvedev figured out a way to break his opponent’s serve, which saw the Russian player win 75% of the total points in the third set.
Cerúndolo did not have a great serving day in his previous round, losing his serve twice. However, the Argentine exerted his dominance, securing five service breaks. He won 50% of the return points, converting 5 of 7 break-point opportunities.
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Medvedev has been a great hard-court player throughout his career, winning 21 of his 23 titles on the surface. On the other hand, Cerúndolo has been known more for his clay-court exploits, with the Argentine’s six of seven career finals coming on the dirt.
The track record in Miami favors Medvedev as well, as he won the title in 2023, whereas Cerúndolo reached the semifinals in 2022 and had a quarterfinal run last year. The PFSN Simulator has given Medvedev a 71% win probability, which is on par with the Russian’s ability on hard courts.
Pick: Medvedev to win in straight sets.
