Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for Monte-Carlo Masters 2026

Carlos Alcaraz faces Alexander Bublik in the Monte-Carlo quarterfinals, putting his title defense on the line in their first meeting.

Top seed Carlos Alcaraz will face 8th-seeded Alexander Bublik in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Monte-Carlo Masters. After receiving a bye in the first round, Alcaraz began his title defense with a 6-1, 6-3 win over Sebastian Baez in the second round, followed by a 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 win over Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the third round. Bublik, on the other hand, got a first-round bye as well, beginning his campaign with a 6-4, 6-4 win over Gaël Monfils in the second round, after which he won 6-2, 7-5 against 11th-seeded Jiří Lehečka.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik: Match Details

Date: April 10, 2026

Tournament: 2026 Monte-Carlo Masters

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: Monte Carlo Country Club, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France

Surface: Outdoor clay

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN

Alcaraz vs Bublik Head-to-Head

The head-to-head is currently 0-0, as this will be the first meeting between the two players on the ATP Tour.

Alcaraz has won 19 of his 21 matches in 2026 so far, including his first 16, during which he won the Australian Open and the Qatar Open. His first loss came at the hands of Daniil Medvedev, who won against him in the semifinal at Indian Wells. Following that, the Spaniard had an early exit at the Miami Open as well, losing to Sebastian Korda in the third round in a close three-set battle.

Bublik has a 15-6 win-loss record this season, starting the year with a title in Hong Kong, where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final. He had a semifinal finish on the indoor hard courts of Rotterdam, where he lost to Félix Auger-Aliassime. He had a decent fourth-round run at the Australian Open as well, before being beaten by the home favorite Alex de Minaur in straight sets.

Alcaraz vs Bublik Prediction

Alcaraz has won 72% of the first serve points and 50% of the second serve points in his two matches at Monte-Carlo so far. The top seed has saved 4 of the 7 break points he has faced, while converting 10 of the 22 break point opportunities he created in those two matches.

Bublik, on the other hand, has better serve stats than Alcaraz, having won 79% of first-serve points and 64% of second-serve points. He has been broken only once in two matches and has converted 6 of the 14 break-point opportunities he has created.

More: Carlos Alcaraz Promises Tommy Paul an Invite to Custom Catamaran in Unique ‘Deal’

Alcaraz is the defending champion, having beaten the likes of Daniel Altmaier, Arthur Fils, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and Lorenzo Musetti to secure the title last year. On the other hand, this is Bublik’s best result in Monte-Carlo, with the Kazakh having won a solitary match in previous editions.

The PFSN Simulator has given Alcaraz an 87% win probability, which is understandable given that he is the top seed and defending champion. Bublik might be able to push him with his serve, but given the clay-court prowess of the Spaniard, he should be able to get through to the semifinals.

Pick: Alcaraz to win in three sets

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