Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for ABN Amro Open 2026

Here is a detailed preview of the second-round match between Alex de Minaur and Stan Wawrinka at the 2026 ABN Amro Open.

Top seed Alex de Minaur will face former major champion Stan Wawrinka in the second round of the 2026 ABN Amro Open. De Minaur won his first-round match against returning Arthur Fils, 7-6 (3), 6-2. Wawrinka, on the other hand, won his first-round match against Thijs Boogard, 6-3, 6-4, against the local favorite.

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Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka Match Details

Date: Feb. 12, 2026

Tournament: ABN Amro Open 2026

Round: Second Round (Round of 16)

Venue: Rotterdam Ahoy, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Surface: Indoor hard

Category: ATP 500

Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, RDS, Sky Sports

De Minaur vs Wawrinka Head-to-Head

The head-to-head is 1-0 in favor of De Minaur, as the Australian won their only match, 6-3, 6-0, in Monte Carlo in 2024.

De Minaur has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2026 so far, with a strong showing at the United Cup, where he had wins over Jakub Menšík and Hubert Hurkacz. He also made a quarterfinal run at the Australian Open, which included wins over Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik before losing to Carlos Alcaraz.

Wawrinka is showing an excellent level of tennis in what is expected to be his final year on tour. The Swiss player led his team to a runner-up finish at the United Cup and then won his first two rounds at the Australian Open. That stretch included a five-set victory over an opponent 20 years younger than him in a four-and-a-half-hour match. His most recent event was in Montpellier, where he lost to Felix Auger-Aliassime in the second round.

De Minaur vs Wawrinka Prediction

De Minaur won 76% of his first-serve points in the match against Fils, but what stood out was his 80% win rate behind his second serve as well. He was broken once while converting three of five break-point opportunities.

Wawrinka, meanwhile, dropped only three points behind his first serve in the first round and had a 56% win rate behind his second serve. He saved all three break points he faced while converting two of six break-point opportunities.

More: After Daniil Medvedev’s Outburst Over Balls, Alex de Minaur and Arthur Fils Make Honest Admission in Rotterdam

For Wawrinka, it will be difficult to maintain such a high first-serve percentage against a quality returner like De Minaur. The Australian will look to engage in longer rallies to wear Wawrinka down, whereas the Swiss needs to continue playing aggressive tennis to shorten points. Given De Minaur’s speed and the fact that he has finished runner-up at this event the past two years, the top seed should be able to win the upcoming match.

Pick: De Minaur to win in straight sets

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