NFL Win-Loss Predictions 2025: All 272 Games, Playoffs, Final Standings, 2026 Draft Order, and More

The 2025 NFL schedule release was the final piece of the puzzle towards projecting the upcoming season. While we already knew all 17 opponents for each franchise, we can see how the season could evolve based on tough stretches, bye weeks, and the timing of certain matchups.

With the NFL schedule in place, let’s take a look at how PFSN’s Football Playoff Meter (FPM) projects the 2025 season. After that, we’ll fire up PFSN’s Playoff Predictor and see what happens in a single simulation of the 2025 season.

NFL FPM Projections for the 2025 Season

Taken from CSN’s Football Playoff Meter, the NFL version of FPM projects the 2025 season unfolding like this in each conference based on the early preseason projections.

Projected AFC Standings

Per usual, the Big Three of the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, and Kansas City Chiefs have the top-three win and playoff projections in the AFC. However, the Chiefs project to face a much more difficult path to winning the division in the deep AFC West compared to the Bills and Ravens.

The highest AFC win projection for a non-playoff team from 2024 belongs to the Cincinnati Bengals. Most metrics projected the Bengals favorably due to their high-powered offense and the fact that the majority of their losses came in tight games in 2024.

On the flip side, the weakest division in the league looks like the AFC South, as no team has a projected winning record or more than a 40% chance to reach the playoffs.

Projected NFC Standings

In the NFC, the top of the conference looks extremely tight. Seven teams are projected with between 9.8 and 11 wins, as a razor-thin margin separates the top team (Detroit Lions) from the seventh team (Arizona Cardinals).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers check in with the second-highest projected win total behind the Lions, but the highest playoff odds at over 87%, thanks to the weakness of the NFC South.

Overall, the NFC looks like the far superior conference entering the season. Twelve of the 16 teams project to have at least eight wins, a total that only seven teams clear in the AFC.

The NFC went 48-33 (.593) in head-to-head matchups against the AFC last year, including the Philadelphia Eagles’ win in the Super Bowl.

NFL Win-Loss Predictions: Every Game, Final Standings, Draft Order

Based on a simulation of PFSN’s Playoff Predictor, here’s how the final standings ended up for each division.

NFC East

It’s a repeat of last year, with the Eagles winning the division and the Commanders finishing second. With 10 of their 11 offensive starters from last season returning, our simulation has Philadelphia leading the NFL with 25.2 points per game.

On the downside, Brian Daboll and Joe Schoen probably aren’t surviving another losing season in New York. Meanwhile, the Cowboys finished last at 6-11 in this simulation. Dallas hasn’t had back-to-back losing seasons since the Dave Campo era, when they went 5-11 in three straight seasons from 2000-02.

NFC West

The Rams won the division with a 10-7 record last season, and our simulation sees them repeating as NFC West champs with one more win. The San Francisco 49ers also bounce back with a 10-win season, but the problem for Kyle Shanahan and Co. is the depth of the NFC. Even with a double-digit win season, the Niners ended up missing the playoffs in our simulation.

Cardinals fans will likely be disappointed to see a fourth straight losing season and regression from last year’s 8-9 finish. Meanwhile, even though the Seahawks still see themselves as contenders, our projections aren’t optimistic on Seattle’s chances of a fourth straight winning season.

NFC North

The NFC North had the best top three of any division in 2024. If this simulation is any indication, the toughest division in football is about to kick it up another notch, with all four teams finishing above .500.

The Bears finally cash in on their offseason hype in this simulation, winning the division at 12-5. Chicago clinched the North with a Week 18 nailbiter over the Lions, beating Detroit 16-15 to win its first division title since 2018. The Packers finished third in our simulation for the second straight season, but made the playoffs at 11-6.

NFC South

Our projections have been fairly optimistic on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but this simulation actually has the Atlanta Falcons winning the division at 11-6. Michael Penix Jr. had a breakout season as a first-year starter in our simulation, leading the Falcons to the third-highest scoring offense behind only the Eagles and Bills.

Tampa Bay is still going to the playoffs for the sixth straight season, earning the No. 7 seed with a 10-7 record. The Panthers and Saints were not nearly as fortunate. Carolina finished with its eighth straight losing season, while the 2-15 Saints bottomed out without Derek Carr and matched the Titans for the worst record in the simulation.

AFC East

Another year, another Bills AFC East title. Buffalo cruised to its sixth straight division title in this simulation, finishing with the best record in the entire NFL at 14-3. The Bills began the season 5-0 and didn’t look back, recording wins over the Ravens, Chiefs, Eagles, and Bengals.

No other AFC East team made the playoffs. The 9-8 Dolphins lost out to the Bengals due to the head-to-head tiebreaker, as Cincinnati notched a critical three-point win at Miami in Week 16 to earn the last Wild Card spot. The Patriots and Jets improved from dismal 2024 seasons, though both were out of the playoff picture at 7-10.

AFC West

The Chiefs have won nine straight division titles, the second-longest streak in NFL history behind the Patriots’ 11-year run from 2009-19. But according to this simulation, Kansas City’s reign of terror over the AFC West is finally over.

Don’t bury Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid too quickly, as the Chiefs still made the playoffs at 10-7. But that was good for only third in the brutal AFC West, with the Broncos beating the Chargers in Week 18 to clinch the division at 12-5. The Raiders finished last at 6-11, with a 1-5 division record dooming Pete Carroll’s crew.

AFC North

Despite a brutal opening schedule, the Ravens are repeating as AFC North champions in this simulation. Baltimore finished 12-5 thanks to a perfect 6-0 division record. The Ravens and Eagles were the only teams to go unbeaten in the division in this simulation.

The Bengals finished 9-8 for the second straight season, but made the playoffs as the final Wild Card this time. The Steelers’ streak of non-losing seasons came to a crashing halt, but note that this simulation doesn’t yet include Aaron Rodgers as their quarterback. Meanwhile, the Browns went 3-14, which would be their second straight season with that record.

AFC South

After a wildly disappointing 2024 season, could the Jaguars be in line for a bounce back? Our simulation had the Jags taking the division with a 10-7 record, with half of those wins coming against division foes.

Houston finished 9-8 but failed to make the playoffs in a three-way tie with the Bengals and Dolphins. The Colts’ frustrating mediocrity continued at 7-10, which would likely spell the end for Anthony Richardson and Shane Steichen in Indianapolis.

And the first year of the Cam Ward experience did not go great for the Titans, who somehow regressed from 2024 and finished 2-15.

NFL Playoff Bracket

With the eight divisions playing out in that fashion, here’s how the 14-team playoff bracket looked.

The Bills getting the top seed in the AFC is fairly predictable, though it actually hasn’t happened since 1993. The Bears have plenty of preseason hype after an active free agency and draft, but Chicago leaping from 5-12 to the top seed in a brutal NFC would qualify as one of the biggest surprises in recent memory.

Bengals-Ravens and Chiefs-Broncos would be highly entertaining division matchups in the Wild Card round, with Kansas City needing to make its way on the road to return to the Super Bowl. Meanwhile, the NFC Wild Card would feature a second Rams-Lions matchup in three years, this time in Los Angeles.

2026 NFL Draft Order

The 2025 NFL Draft ended less than a month ago, but that doesn’t mean it’s too early to look ahead to the 2026 draft in Pittsburgh. Here’s how PFSN’s Playoff Predictor simulated the first-round order for next April.

The Titans are back on the clock with the No. 1 overall pick. This could open up a situation similar to 2016, when Tennessee landed the No. 1 pick but traded it because the franchise had just drafted Marcus Mariota No. 2 overall the prior year. That allowed the Rams to trade up and draft Jared Goff.

Meanwhile, the 2-15 Saints probably didn’t enjoy the Tyler Shough experience if that’s how the season went. That could open up New Orleans to draft a first-round QB for the first time since picking Archie Manning in 1971…perhaps breaking the streak with his grandson Arch Manning.