In a 2021 class of highly valued quarterbacks, Florida’s Kyle Trask‘s dynasty value is a bit more uncertain. With only a few seasons of production to go off of, opinions vary on his skill set and outlook for both the NFL and fantasy football.
Kyle Trask dynasty value for 2021
The 2021 dynasty class is very top-loaded with talent. Between the quarterbacks and wide receivers, there are several potential superstars in the making. One of the big questions is figuring out where Kyle Trask fits in this group and what his dynasty value is moving forward.
Looking at the quarterback position, Trask is QB8 in my current rankings. While his 2020 season vaulted his dynasty value and draft stock, there are still questions surrounding his talent. With that being said, it did not stop the Tampa Bay Buccaneers from selecting home at pick No. 64. In terms of fits, this makes complete sense. Trask is a ways away from being able to start in the NFL, and so long as he is on the Tom Brady is wearing the same jersey, he will get all the time he needs. Even though he was selected ahead of both Kellan Mond and Davis Mills, I prefer their talents and would take them ahead of Trask in dynasty rookie drafts.
At 6’5″, 240 pounds, Trask has plenty of size to hold up as a durable quarterback in the NFL. The questions come down to his arm and mobility. Trask has one of the weakest arms of this class and is a relative status in the pocket. When you scout his film, all that stands out is how reliant he was on Kyle Pitts rather than any above-average traits. One thing I will say about his draft capital is that it more a product of the Buccaneers having the luxury of being the defending Super Bowl Champions that returned all 22 starters. Rather than drafting for needs, that can add depth and take a risk. That is what the Trask selection is rather than massive confidence in his ability to take over the reins.
Kyle Trask was not on the radar before 2020 for dynasty or the NFL
Unlike other QBs in this class, Kyle Trask was not a highly sought-after prospect. Trask was a little-used backup who hadn’t started a game since his freshman year of high school.
Due to an injury to Feleipe Franks, Trask saw his first tangible stretch of action. Before 2019, Trask played in just three games since joining the program in 2016. Once he took over the job, Trask never gave it up.
He had an outstanding 2019 season. While playing in 12 games, he threw 25 touchdowns and 2,941 passing yards while completing 237 of his 354 attempts. Due to Trask’s performance, Franks transferred from the program, leaving Trask as the starter for the 2020 season.
Trask took a massive step forward in 2020 for the Gators
Where Kyle Trask was good in 2019, he was sensational in 2020. This past season Trask completed 301 passes, the second-most in the FBS to Alabama’s Mac Jones, who played in one extra game. Trask was also accurate, completing 68.9% of his passes. In the end, he threw for 4,283 yards, 43 touchdowns, and just eight interceptions.
He led the nation in total touchdowns and touchdown passes while ranking second in passing yards. Trask finished second nationally in passing yards per game (356.9). All of this culminated into an 8-4 record, a berth in the Cotton Bowl, and Kyle Trask finishing fourth in the 2020 Heisman voting.
There are questions on how his game will translate
Sure, the 2020 numbers are fantastic, and Kyle Trask moved considerably up the draft board with his newfound value for both the NFL and dynasty. However, numbers aren’t everything.
While on the positive side, he has the prototypical size we like to see for the future. Also, his accuracy on short and intermediate routes is spot on. First off, he is by no stretch of the imagination a mobile quarterback. He rushed for a measly 50 yards on 64 attempts. Yes, sacks count against rush yards in the NCAA, but the point remains the same.
Can he scramble and get a short third-down conversion? Sure, but no one is running a spy against him. The lack of a rushing floor is an enormous impact on Kyle Trask’s dynasty value. We see time and time again how vital a rushing upside is for fantasy success.
The second thing is his arm strength. He doesn’t have anything close to elite arm strength, and that will have an impact on his NFL Draft stock. The lack of arm talent can cause him ball placement issues. Furthermore, it allows defensive backs to get back into the play. There are questions if he can repeatedly hit the far-hash-to-sideline throw that is a must for an NFL QB.
Where should you draft Trask in dynasty rookie mock drafts?
If he is on schedule, his accuracy shines. If he has to improvise outside the playbook, he runs into issues.
In 1QB formats, Kyle Trask is a likely fourth-round selection at best but in a 12-team league, could go undrafted. Going off the board as the QB8, there are so many other players who could make an impact from Day 1 on the board. He shouldn’t even be the first player off of his own team drafted. Trask should go well behind both Kyle Pitts and Kadarius Toney.
If you are in Superflex formats, Kyle Trask carries a higher dynasty value based on position scarcity. Where someone like Mac Jones is a late first-round/early second-round pick, Trask is a late mid third-round selection at the absolute earliest.
Trask has his work cut out for him for sure.
The only QBs since 2010 selected as the QB6 or later to have a top-12 fantasy finish as a rookie were Dak Prescott in 2016 (QB6) and Russell Wilson in 2012 (QB10) — that’s two out of 76 qualified quarterbacks. Only five in total, in fact, had top-32 finishes in their rookie season.
Because of the history and questions surrounding Kyle Trask, his dynasty value is the lowest of the main quarterbacks.
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