A Big 12 matchup will take center stage on Friday night as the conference continues to be the most exciting Power Four conference this season. Both No. 24 TCU and Arizona State have had strong starts to the season and appear to be Big 12 Championship contenders.
Our TCU-Arizona State prediction features exclusive PFSN player and team grades, advanced analytical insights, and our data-driven score forecast for Thursday’s exciting matchup.
TCU vs. Arizona State Details
- Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
- Game time: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Mountain America Stadium | Tempe, Ariz.
- Predicted weather at kick: 81°, light rain, 9 mph winds
- How to watch:Â FOX
TCU vs. Arizona State Head-to-Head Record
In 2025, TCU and Arizona State will face off for the third time. The Sun Devils have won the previous two encounters, which occurred in the mid-1970s. The two played back-to-back games in 1974 and 1975, with Arizona State emerging as multiple touchdown winners on both occasions.
That won’t be a surprise to college football historians. Both games occurred during a challenging period in TCU football history, with the Horned Frogs managing just 14 wins in total from 1974 to 1982. This marks the first matchup between these two squads as Big 12 foes.
TCU vs. Arizona State Grades
PFSN College OFFi
- TCU (90.13, A-)
- Arizona State (79.1, C+)
PFSN College DEFi
- TCU (78.9, C+)
- Arizona State (80.8, B-)
PFSN College OLi
- TCU (88.11, B+)
- Arizona State (90.45, A-)
PFSN College QBi
- Josh Hoover, TCU (92.4)
- Sam Leavitt, Arizona State (83.9, B)
PFSN College RBi
- TCU (N/A)
- Raleek Brown, Arizona State (79.62, C+)
PFSN College WRi
- Eric McAlister, TCU (80.82, B-)
- Jordyn Tyson, Arizona State (81.71, B-)
PFSN College TEi
- DJ Rogers, TCU (81.74, B-)
- Chamon Metayer, Arizona State (82.31, B-)
PFSN College EDGEi
- Paul Oyewale, TCU (80.43, B-)
- Clayton Smith, Arizona State (84.94, B)
PFSN College DTi
- Ansel Din-Mbuh, TCU (76.82, C)
- Jacob Rich Kongaika, Arizona State (79.02, C+)
PFSN College LBi
- Namdi Obiazor, TCU (74.15, C)
- Jordan Crook, Arizona State (78.75, C+)
PFSN College CBi
- Jevon McIver Jr., TCU (81.83, B-)
- Keith Abney II, Arizona State (92.79, A-)
PFSN College SAFi
- Bud Clark, TCU (89.14, B+)
- Xavion Alford, Arizona State (88.82
TCU vs. Arizona State Prediction
Arizona State goes into Friday’s matchup as 2.5-point home favorites, with the conference game expected to be a tight and high-scoring affair.
Both offenses have had success in different ways so far in 2025, but the Horned Frogs have been one of the best in the nation. TCU’s 90.13 (A-) PFSN’s College OFFi grade ranked ninth in the country, while Josh Hoover is the second-highest ranked quarterback so far this season with a 92.4 (A-) PFSN’s College QBi grade.
The elite quarterback has TCU averaging 516 total yards per game (14th in the nation) and has shown real poise as the Frogs convert 62.5% of third-down attempts (fifth in the country).
In the receiving game, Eric McAlister has become an exciting option, recording an impressive eight catches for 254 yards and three touchdowns as TCU overcame SMU last weekend.
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It is an area that Sonny Dykes will look to exploit. Arizona State enters the Week 5 matchup ranked a disappointing 104th in the nation, having allowed 955 passing yards through four games. This is despite Keith Abney emerging as one of the premier cornerbacks in the sport with a 92.59 (A-) PFSN’s College CBi grade (ninth in the country).
Conversely, the Sun Devils have relied more on the run in 2025. Kenny Dillingham’s side averages 319 rushing yards per game (24th-ranked). However, they may put more of the offensive balance on the pass against TCU.
The Frogs have held opponents to an average of 3.2 yards per rush in 2025 (33rd in the country) but have conceded an average of 8.4 yards per pass attempt (119th ranked).
Sam Leavitt’s connection with Jordyn Tyson will be crucial to Arizona State’s victory in this game. The Sun Devils receiver is one of the best in the nation and went in the first round of PFSN’s latest 3-Round NFL Mock Draft.
Bookmakers have this game as a coin flip, but TCU will likely feel confident that it can continue its winning streak. Meanwhile, Arizona State will look to reestablish itself as a national force after suffering a defeat on the road at Mississippi State earlier in the season.
Prediction: No. 24 TCU 34, Arizona State 27
