If you think the American Conference has the monopoly on the race for the College Football Playoff, think again. The San Diego State Aztecs travel to the Islands in Week 11 with aspirations of playing in the postseason tournament. Standing in their way is the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors team, which has exceeded external expectations this season.
Our San Diego State vs. Hawaii prediction has the latest game details, the head-to-head history of this matchup, exclusive PFSN team and player grades, and a score forecast for arguably one of the best matchups between Group of Five teams that you’ll see in Week 11.
San Diego State vs. Hawaii Details
- Date:Â Saturday, Nov. 8, 2025
- Game time:Â 11:00 p.m. ET
- Location:Â Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex | Honolulu, HI
- Predicted weather at kick: 79°, Clear
- How to watch:Â MWN App, Scripps Sports, Spectrum Sports Network
San Diego State vs. Hawaii Head-to-Head Record
Anyone looking for parity in this series should look elsewhere, as the Aztecs have dominated the matchup throughout their history. San Diego State has never lost more than two consecutive games to Hawaii and is currently riding a five-game winning streak.
While the first meeting occurred in 1939, the two sides have faced each other only 39 times, with the Aztecs holding a commanding 26-11-2 advantage. The past four matchups have all been decided by one score, and, as our San Diego State vs. Hawaii prediction explains, that trend is expected to continue in Saturday’s matchup.
San Diego State vs. Hawaii Grades
- San Diego State (67.1, D+)
- Hawaii (71.1, C-)
- San Diego State (88.5, B+)
- Hawaii (75.6, C)
- San Diego State (71.5, C-)
- Hawaii (74.3, C)
- Jayden Denegal (69.9, D+)
- Micah Alejado (81.1, B-)
- Lucky Sutton (77.5, C+)
- Landon Sims (74.7, C)
- Jordan Napier (81.5, B-)
- Jackson Harris (77, C+)
- Jackson Ford (72.3, C-)
- Devon Tauefa (N/A)
- Trey White (76, C)
- Jackie Johnson III (69.9, D+)
- Krishna Clay (68.4, D+)
- De’Jon Benton (84.4, B)
- Owen Chambliss (77.5, C+)
- Jamih Otis (66.7, D)
- Chris Johnson (89.5, B+)
- Elijah Palmer (75, C)
- Dwayne McDougle (81.3, B-)
- Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen (80.5, B-)
San Diego State vs. Hawaii Prediction
Sean Lewis knows how to coach, which is why he’s linked to multiple job openings. His Aztecs are off to a 7-1 start, but in their way is a Hawaii team more than capable of upsetting them. They sit at the top of the Mountain West, and their playoff hopes are still alive as well.
The biggest matchup of the weekend will be the Rainbow Warriors’ passing attack (seventh in passing offense) against the Aztecs’ pass defense (ninth). One of them must give this weekend, and the winner of that battle determines the outcome.
Hawaii quarterback Micah Alejado doesn’t possess the desired frame at the next level, but he operates Timmy Chang’s offense well. Multiple options at wide receiver give him options, and make the offense one of the toughest to stop in the conference.
If Hawaii finds rhythm offensively, they’ll win. It’s just tough to do that against the Aztecs, who move the ball efficiently and keep opposing offenses in check.
Prediction:Â San Diego State 28, Hawaii 21
