The Big 12 title game delivers the high-end rematch fans wanted, pitting two of the league’s top contenders against each other with hardware and bragging rights on the line. BYU enters with payback on its mind after dropping the earlier meeting to Texas Tech, fully aware that flipping the result will demand a sharper, more complete performance in all three phases.
The BYU vs. Texas Tech prediction digs into how PFSN’s grading system frames this showdown, spotlighting key positional matchups, overall team strengths and vulnerabilities, and the recent head-to-head history between these programs. It also lays out how different game scripts could unfold and what factors are most likely to swing momentum, all without naming a specific winner or final score.
BYU vs. Texas Tech Details
- Date: Saturday, Dec. 6, 2025
- Game time: 12 p.m. ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium | Arlington, TX.
- Predicted weather at kick: 52°, Clear
- How to watch: ABC, ESPN App, Fubo, Sling TV, YouTube TV
BYU vs. Texas Tech Head-to-Head Record
Because these programs spent most of their histories in different conferences, they have met only three times on the field. Texas Tech holds a 2-1 edge in the all-time series, including a recent 29-7 victory that further tilted the balance toward the Red Raiders.
BYU faces a significant challenge if it intends to flip the script in the rematch.
The earlier contest this season was largely dictated by Texas Tech, and even though the final margin was not overwhelming, the Cougars did not find the end zone until the fourth quarter, underscoring how thoroughly the Red Raiders controlled the flow of the game.
BYU vs. Texas Tech Grades
- BYU (83.6, B)
- Texas Tech (83, B)
- BYU (87.3, B+)
- Texas Tech (95.8, A)
- BYU (84.1, B)
- Texas Tech (82.7, B-)
- Bear Bachmeier (88.1, B+)
- Behren Morton (82.5, B-)
- LJ Martin (93.9, A)
- Cameron Dickey (82.4, B-)
- Parker Kingston (82.2, B-)
- Caleb Douglas (76.9, C)
- Carsen Ryan (83.3, B)
- Terrance Carter Jr. (82.6, B-)
- Logan Lutui (69.1, D+)
- David Bailey (92.6, A-)
- John Taumoepeau (76.6, C)
- AJ Holmes Jr. (83.3, B)
- Jack Kelly (77, C)
- Jacob Rodriguez (84.8, B)
- Evan Johnson (89.6, B+)
- Brice Polock (91.5, A-)
- Faletau Satuala (84.1, B)
- Cole Wisniewski (80.1, B-)
BYU vs. Texas Tech Prediction
Texas Tech already beat BYU 29-7 in Lubbock. Now it’s a rematch for the Big 12 title, and the first championship game appearance for both programs. We ran this one 50,000 times in PFSN’s FREE College Football Playoff Predictor — the Red Raiders won 63.6% of them.
Texas Tech is on a mission to make a national championship run, and there aren’t many teams standing in their way so far. The Red Raiders run a balanced offense and shut down teams with their disruptive defense. So how does BYU get revenge?
MORE: Try PFSN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
It starts with Bear Bachmeier. The freshman quarterback has to play the game of his life, including being more efficient as a passer. His offensive line needs to thwart the pass rush of Texas Tech’s elite defensive line to give him more time. More balance for the Cougars’ offense gives them a fighting chance.
The other component is the Cougars’ defense slowing down Behren Morton and the Texas Tech offense. They limited the Red Raiders to field goals at times in the previous matchup, and they’ll need to do it again this time, too. The question remains if that will be enough.
BYU needs this to be a low-scoring game. They have to dictate the pace and find ways to confuse the Red Raiders in order to have a chance at pulling off an upset. If not, we’ll see a similar result.
Prediction: Texas Tech 31, BYU 10