Bengals vs. Jaguars Predictions and Expert Picks: Will Trevor Lawrence and Calvin Ridley Continue Their Hot Streak?

Will Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars stay hot? Check out our Bengals vs. Jaguars predictions and favorite bets for Monday Night Football.

Unfortunately, this Bengals vs. Jaguars game won’t be the quarterback matchup we were expecting a couple of weeks ago. With Jake Browning under center instead of Joe Burrow, Jacksonville has been a heavy home favorite since the Bengals vs. Jaguars odds were posted last week.

Trevor Lawrence and the Jags are coming off a pivotal 24-21 win over the Texans and are now in the driver’s seat for the AFC South. Will they continue rolling tonight? Let’s dive into the Bengals vs. Jaguars predictions.

Bengals vs. Jaguars Betting Lines

The Jaguars entered Week 13 as the hottest team in the NFL against the spread, with a 7-1 ATS record over their last eight games. According to Evan Abrams at The Action Network, this is the most the Jaguars have been favored by in a regular-season game since Week 11 of 2009. Only six times in franchise history have they been giving as many points as they are tonight.

All odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Spread
    Jaguars -10
  • Moneyline
    Bengals +390, Jaguars -520
  • Total

Bengals vs. Jaguars Predictions

Blewis: Since the Jaguars scored just three points against the 49ers, they have 58 points and 834 yards of offense combined in their last two games. There is enough talent on this offense and evidence from last season to believe that this could be for real.

While Burrow’s injuries have been the biggest reason for the Bengals’ disappointing season, it has overshadowed how bad their defense has been, as they’re 31st in yards allowed per game, 27th in DVOA, 26th in EPA, and 30th in success rate. This unit has played a huge part in their recent postseason success, but this season, it has been one of the worst in the NFL.

MORE: NFL MVP Odds Update: Dak Prescott and Brock Purdy New Betting Favorites, Tua Tagovailoa a Sleeper Candidate?

I expect the Jaguars offense to continue rolling this week in this matchup, and I’m going to isolate their team total just because I don’t have complete confidence in the Bengals putting up enough points. Although in limited action, Jake Browning has a pressure-to-sack ratio of 31.8%, according to Pro Football Focus — that’s only better than Tim Boyle and Clayton Tune of quarterbacks who have started and played an entire game this season.

Pick: Jaguars over 23.5 (-120 at DraftKings)

Katz: This is an awfully low number for a guy who has caught at least four passes in every game this season. Evan Engram’s targeting has been very consistent. This week, I expect him to be featured against a Bengals defense that really struggles against the tight end.

The Bengals allowing 70 receiving yards per game to the position, the second-most in the league. Engram averages 47 receiving yards per game. So, this line is lower than his season average, and the opponent is as favorable as it gets.

Not only do I like Engram over this number, I think a ladder up to 80 yards is a worthwhile move.

Pick: Evan Engram over 42.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Katz: Last week, we had one of the easiest cashes all season on Joe Mixon under 87.5 rush + receiving yards. The line is obviously much lower this week, but it’s not low enough. Books are not reacting quickly enough to how damaging Browning is for this entire offense.

Mixon carried the ball eight times for 16 yards last week. He caught two passes for 44 yards, which salvaged his day but still got him nowhere near last week’s line or what this week’s is.

MORE: Early NFL Week 14 Predictions and Expert Picks Against the Spread

Things are not about to get much easier against a Jaguars run defense that surrenders 59 rushing yards per game and 3.6 yards per carry to running backs.

I’m expecting another performance like last week. Mixon should touch the ball more, resulting in a better final number on the ground, but I don’t expect 44 yards through the air. Another 60-yard outing seems reasonable.

Pick: Joe Mixon under 72.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Soppe: Since October, pass catchers you considered for your fantasy lineups have had some success against the Bengals. Here’s a look at the yardage totals for those players:

  • Week 4 (TEN): Hopkins (63 receiving yards)
  • Week 5 (ARI): Brown (61)
  • Week 6 (SEA): Lockett (94), Metcalf (69)
  • Week 8 (SF): Kittle (149), Aiyuk (109)
  • Week 9 (BUF): Diggs (86), Kincaid (81)
  • Week 10 (HOU): Brown (172), Schultz (71), Dell (56)
  • Week 11 (BAL): Beckham (116), Flowers (43)
  • Week 12 (PIT): Freiermuth (120), Pickens (58), Johnson (50)

Excluded from this sample are Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Gabe Davis. Like JSN as much as you’d like now, but he wasn’t on your starting roster radar back in Week 6 (only two teams on a bye). Davis offers fantasy intrigue, but he’s not the type you lock into your lineup. So that’s the sample we have.

Overall, we are looking at 16 players averaging 87.4 receiving yards per game when facing the Bengals. In total, 14 of those 16 players cleared 55 receiving yards, with a player producing north of 85 yards in five straight games.

Pick: Calvin Ridley over 56.5 receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Our Betting Lines page has the freshest lines and promos to get BANG for your buck. PFN’s FREE Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator are also available for your betting process! New to sports betting? Check out our guide on How to Bet on the NFL. Visit our Sports Betting Legal Tracker on how to bet legally in the U.S.

Listen to the PFN Betting Podcast

Listen to the PFN Betting Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Betting Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms. Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review!

Join the Conversation!

Related Articles