Early NFL Week 14 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread: Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts vs. Dak Prescott, and More

The NFL betting lines for next week are up, so it's time to give our initial picks. Here are our early NFL Week 14 predictions and picks against the spread.

As is weekly tradition, once the NFL betting lines come out for next week, I give my initial NFL picks for every game. So, without further ado, here are my early NFL Week 14 predictions and picks against the spread.

NFL Week 14 Predictions and Picks

All odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

  • Spread
    Steelers -6
  • Moneyline
    Patriots +220, Steelers -270
  • Total
    30.5

Are we sure this total should even be this high? The Patriots have held their opponent to 10 points or less three games in a row, and they have lost each of those games. They have scored one touchdown in those games and face a Steelers offense that fell back to reality on Sunday. As long as this stays above 30, I’ll take the Under on a very low total.

Pick: Under 30.5

Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds

  • Spread
    Ravens -7.5
  • Moneyline
    Rams +265, Ravens -330
  • Total
    43.5

The Rams are rolling right now, but I’m not sure how well they match up with this Ravens defense on the road, which rested after coming off a bye.

MORE: PFN’s FREE NFL Playoff Predictor

I’m afraid of taking the points with the hook, but I’ll fade the Rams offense here and take the Under — I’m also still not sure how the Ravens’ passing game will look without Mark Andrews.

Pick: Under 44.5

Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints Odds

  • Spread
    Saints -5.5
  • Moneyline
    Panthers +198, Saints -240
  • Total
    38

This is a matchup of two of the worst teams against the spread in the NFL, and while you think that somebody has to cover here, keep in mind that Saints -3 pushed the last time they played.

Derek Carr left the game with an injury and didn’t return, but are we sure New Orleans is any worse with Jameis Winston? Even still, I don’t like taking Dennis Allen and the Saints giving this many points, even if it’s against a really bad Panthers team.

Pick: Panthers +5.5

Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds

  • Spread
    Colts -1.5
  • Moneyline
    Colts -142, Bengals +120
  • Total
    41.5

Gardner Minshew had a really solid day throwing the football, going for 312 yards and two touchdowns against a weak Titans pass defense. Fortunately for him, he gets to face another defense that struggles to defend the pass in the Bengals. Jake Browning was really impressive on Monday Night Football, and with the talent around him offensively, I’m not expecting too much of a regression after one week.

Pick: Over 41.5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns Odds

  • Spread
    Browns -1.5
  • Moneyline
    Jaguars +112, Browns -132
  • Total
    33.5

This line moved 4.5 points after Trevor Lawrence’s injury on Monday Night Football, indicating the oddsmakers don’t expect him to play this week.

The Browns defense has been a much better unit at home than on the road this season, and against a backup quarterback on a short week, I think that trend continues. I liked the Browns before Lawrence’s injury and I still like them as short home favorites.

Pick: Browns -1.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds

  • Spread
    Falcons -2.5
  • Moneyline
    Buccaneers +116, Falcons -136
  • Total
    39.5

The Falcons appear to be in the driver’s seat to win the NFC South, and they’ll be rewarded by hosting the Cowboys or Eagles in the Wild Card round — fun!

MORE: Top 10 Sports Betting Strategies

The Buccaneers are 2-4 on the road this season and 0-4 in their last four games away from Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, the Falcons have been considerably better at home (4-2) and are undefeated both straight up and versus the spread against their division rivals. I’m going to ride that trend here, as I’m not any more of a believer in the Buccaneers after they beat Carolina by three points.

Pick: Falcons -2.5

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Odds

  • Spread
    Lions -3.5
  • Moneyline
    Lions -168, Bears +142
  • Total
    44.5

We saw the Bears play the Lions really tough in Detroit just a couple of weeks ago. Despite the big disparity in records, this is a matchup of two defenses going in opposite directions, with the Bears defense being much improved, and the Lions have allowed 26+ points four weeks in a row. I like the Bears getting points here coming off their bye week.

Pick: Bears +3.5

Houston Texans vs. New York Jets Odds

  • Spread
    Texans -6
  • Moneyline
    Texans -255, Jets +210
  • Total
    35.5

Hard not to take Unders in Jets games for the rest of the season. I like it especially here, considering C.J. Stroud has been a much better quarterback at home than on the road this season, and he will be facing a tough Jets defense at MetLife Stadium.

Pick: Under 35.5

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds

  • Spread
    49ers -10.5
  • Moneyline
    Seahawks +420, 49ers -560
  • Total
    45

The 49ers look unbeatable right now, and that’s because when they’re at full strength offensively, they very well might be. I’ve been cashing on their team total Overs for a while now since Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams have returned to the lineup (undefeated when they’re active), and I’m not stopping any time soon. There’s no line for the 49ers team total at the moment, so I’ll just go with the game Over.

Pick: Over 46.5

Minnesota Vikings vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds

  • Spread
    Vikings -3
  • Moneyline
    Vikings -156, Raiders +132
  • Total
    40.5

With both teams coming off bye weeks, I don’t really have a good feel for this game. I do know that Josh Dobbs has fallen back to Earth after a really nice start to his Vikings career, so it seems a bit odd to see the Raiders as a home underdog in this one. We last saw the Raiders lose by 14 points, but that was against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Before that, they were 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU under Antonio Pierce.

Pick: Raiders +3

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds

  • Spread
    Chargers -3
  • Moneyline
    Broncos +124, Chargers -146
  • Total
    45

The Broncos’ turnover luck finally ran out on Sunday, as Russell Wilson threw three interceptions, including a pick in the end zone when they were down five with nine seconds remaining. I don’t have any faith in the Broncos offense that had just 282 yards against the Texans; meanwhile, the Chargers have struggled to move the ball in recent weeks as well. As long as turnovers aren’t too big of a factor here, I like the Under.

Pick: Under 45

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

  • Spread
    Chiefs -2.5
  • Moneyline
    Bills +118, Chiefs -138
  • Total
    47.5

The average fan might be surprised to see the Chiefs giving only 2.5 points against the 6-6 Bills, but Buffalo is far better than its record indicates, and going into Week 13, they even had a higher point differential than Kansas City.

MORE: NFL Against the Spread Standings

I’m still a believer in this Bills team until they’re officially out of the playoff race, and this Chiefs team might be the worst of the Patrick Mahomes era. I wouldn’t be totally surprised by an upset here, with Buffalo being a really desperate team at the moment.

Pick: Bills +2.5

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

  • Spread
    Cowboys -3
  • Moneyline
    Eagles +148, Cowboys -174
  • Total
    51

The Eagles should be getting Dallas Goedert back for this one, and the talented tight end has been greatly missed during his three-game absence. Overs have hit in four of the Eagles’ previous five games, and I don’t see that trend coming to an end against Dak Prescott, who is the hottest quarterback in the NFL right now and has dominated this matchup recently.

This is the one total of the week above 50 points, but I’m still taking the Over.

Pick: Over 51

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins Odds

  • Spread
    Dolphins -13
  • Moneyline
    Titans +560, Dolphins -800
  • Total
    46.5

This sets up as another really easy matchup for Miami — another really weak pass defense to take advantage of. Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill should continue to feast on this Titans secondary that just gave up over 300 passing yards to Minshew. Still, the high spread has me worried about a potential backdoor cover, so I’ll go with the over.

Pick: Over 46.5

Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Odds

  • Spread
    Packers -6.5
  • Moneyline
    Packers -295, Giants +240
  • Total
    37.5

The Giants have four wins this season, but they have come against the Josh Dobbs-led Cardinals, Commanders (twice), and the Patriots. Tommy DeVito is a really fun story and has made a disastrous season much more enjoyable for Giants fans in recent weeks, but I like the Packers to care of business here and handedly.

Pick: Packers -6.5

Our Betting Lines page has the freshest lines and promos to get BANG for your buck. PFN’s FREE Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator are also available for your betting process! New to sports betting? Check out our guide on How to Bet on the NFL. Visit our Sports Betting Legal Tracker on how to bet legally in the U.S.

Listen to the PFN Betting Podcast

Listen to the PFN Betting Podcast! Click the embedded player below to listen, or you can find the PFN Betting Podcast on iTunes, Spotify, and all major podcast platforms. Be sure to subscribe and leave us a five-star review!

Join the Conversation!

Related Articles