No storyline is bigger for the Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders game on Monday Night Football than the Davante Adams revenge game. Since they traded him to Las Vegas before last season, this will be Adams’ first game against his old team.
So far this season, it has been business as usual for Adams despite the Raiders being 1-3. Through four weeks, he is averaging 99.3 receiving yards per game, and has gotten into the end zone three times. He will be matched up against his former teammate in star Packers CB Jaire Alexander, who is returning from a 2-game absence tonight.
Aside from Adams, there are a couple of other players tonight who may be due for a big performance. After leading the league in rushing yards last season, Josh Jacobs has struggled mightily on the ground this season, but is he due for a bounce-back game? Meanwhile, Christian Watson should be more involved in the offense tonight after returning from injury last week.
But which player prop should you be targeting tonight? Let’s take a look at the odds as well as my favorite Packers vs. Raiders player prop bets.
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Top Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Bets To Target
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
Jordan Love Player Props
- Passing Yards: 235.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Pass Completions: 20.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Pass Attempts: 32.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
We still don’t know how good, if at all, Jordan Love is, but we do know that he is a gunslinger who likes to take deep shots downfield. So far this season, Love’s aDOT of 10.3 is the highest of all starting quarterbacks.
After a poor performance against the Detroit Lions last week, this could be a good buy-low spot for Love. Although Maxx Crosby could be a handful for this Packers OL, Love will be facing a Raiders defense that is 30th in EPA/play against the pass so far this season. Having a healthy set of playmakers for the second week in a row, combined with 11 days of rest, should help too.
Player Prop Bet: Jordan Love over 235.5 passing yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Christian Watson Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 43.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Longest Reception: 20.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +170
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1100
Watson is the perfect type of wide receiver for Love, and he should be healthier for this one after playing limited snaps in Week 4, considering the 11 days of rest. Love leads all starting QBs in aDOT so far this season, and Watson’s specialty is being a deep-threat WR. Tonight, Watson gets to go against a Raiders pass defense that has allowed a reception of at least 40 yards three weeks in a row.
Watson’s line for his longest completion tonight is 19.5 — he hit this last week on just two targets. Let’s bank on him hitting it again with more opportunity.
Player Prop Bet: Christian Watson longest reception over 19.5 yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Romeo Doubs Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 46.5
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
- Longest Reception: 19.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +220
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1300
I have taken three overs for Packers players already, so there has to be an odd man out eventually. And after nine catches for 95 yards last week, it’s going to be Romeo Doubs?
Doubs led the Packers in targets by a hefty margin last week. But a lot of those came in garbage time, as the Packers trailed 27-3 at halftime. This should be a closer game, and with his props priced up following the best game of his career, it’s a good sell-high option.
Player Prop Bet: Romeo Doubs under 47.5 receiving yards (-113 at FanDuel)
AJ Dillon Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 48.5 (Over +114/Under -145)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -105
- First Touchdown Scorer: +600
Katz: I will not sit here and pretend like the Las Vegas Raiders have a good run defense. They do not. But let’s not pretend like AJ Dillon is a particularly good running back. He’s averaging 2.7 yards per carry and has looked slow and completely devoid of any burst. The best comparison we have for a soft matchup is Week 1, when Dillon faced a terrible Bears run defense and turned 13 carries into 19 yards.
Jones being out just gives us an inflated line. I don’t expect the Packers to lean on Dillon because his performance will dictate otherwise. Given that this is a late addition, combined with the awesome Sunday I had, I am keeping it small, but I do like this play.
Player Prop Bet: AJ Dillon under 48.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Jimmy Garoppolo Player Props
- Passing Yards: 239.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
- Pass Completions: 21.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Pass Attempts: 32.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
I think Adams could get in the end zone a couple of times tonight against his former team, and Jimmy Garoppolo (barring injury) will be the one throwing him the football.
Throwing for at least two TD passes might seem like a tall order from Jimmy G, but he has accomplished this in two out of three games this season. The one start in which he didn’t was against the Buffalo Bills, who have a much better defense than the one he will be facing tonight.
Player Prop Bet: Jimmy Garoppolo over 1.5 pass touchdowns (-105 at DraftKings)
Josh Jacobs Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 73.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -145
- First Touchdown Scorer: +475
So far, 2023 has not been kind to Jacobs after leading the league in rushing last season. Teams have been loading the box against the Raiders, and, as a result, Jacobs is averaging just 2.7 yards per carry and 1.4 yards before contact.
What might be the most surprising is that Jacobs’ longest run of the season is just 10 yards. He appeared “due” last week with a matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers’ defense, but he was held to just 58 yards on 17 carries.
Except for the one blowout loss to the Bills, volume has not been an issue for Jacobs all season. Unfortunately, at the moment there are no rushing attempts props out for Jacobs, so I’ll lean toward the over on his rushing yards.
Player Prop Bet: Lean Josh Jacobs over 73.5 rushing yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Davante Adams Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 78.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 6.5 (Over +100/Under -130)
- Longest Reception: 24.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -120
- First Touchdown Scorer: +550
Is taking Davante Adams to score a touchdown against his former team almost too obvious? Maybe, but I don’t want to overthink it here, and the numbers back it up. Out of all wide receivers with at least 20 targets this season, Adams is second in red zone target share behind Garrett Wilson. This is a team that tries to get their best player the ball in the red zone, so why wouldn’t that be the case in his revenge game?
Player Prop Bet: Davante Adams anytime touchdown scorer (-120 at DraftKings)