Week 9 NFL props: Picks and market analysis

    Pro Football Network and Against The Spread podcast co-host Jason Sarney identifies his Week 9 NFL prop picks led by Houston's DeAndre Hopkins

    The second half of the 2019 NFL season is here, and the Week 9 NFL props pick slate has a slew of winnable bets. As a group, Pro Football Network’s gambling division and Against the Spread specifically can claim a first half in the profit side of the ledger. 

    With a unit of two of profit in pro bets specifically in from this series, it’s time to double-down and earn higher margins with more plays on the board.  

    The NFL betting plays profitability on props so far from this series’ author is a up respectable, although not world-beating 2.25 units. 

    This series has been consistent with five plays a week, but it’s now time to kick it up a notch. We are going for a double-dose for Week 9 as there are too many prop plays not to throw a unit or two on. 

    Against The Spread Player Prop of the Week – Trifecta Time!

    Here’s Hoping for Hopkins

    We start of the Week 9 NFL props slate with breakfast and betting once again. London is calling, and so is my FanDuel account. The Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars head trans-Atlantic for an early AM potential shootout. 

    DeAndre Hopkins is getting warm, and “Nuk” is ready to explode. The Jaguars are now without Jalen Ramsey, and that means a lot more ease for Hopkins now facing a secondary giving up five receptions to lead receivers almost weekly. 

    With Hopkins heading into this matchup sans nemesis in the new Los Angeles Rams corner, the All-Pro wide receiver should have a floor fantasy day higher than most players ceilings. 

    There is a holy trifecta leading off the Week 9 prop bets, and an easy receptions total of over 6.5 can be had by the opening drive of the second half. With odds at -152 for that, you will have to tolerate that hefty vig, but it is a near certainty Hopkins can hit closer to 10 catches than five. 

    Of course, mixing these reception hopes should be blended and parlayed with his yardage output of over 85.5 receiving yards. He has hit that yardage mark three of the last four games and went over the century mark in his previous two. 

    There is a touchdown in that span, but just three total on the season, so I expect Hopkins to find Euros in the endzone for us Yankees back stateside. 

    At +100 for an anytime touchdown score, it’s all-in time on DeAndre Sunday morning. 

    We’ll do this POTW a tad different with a double-unit yearly record of 8-2. Let’s take the double-play on that +100 anytime touchdown for Hopkins and make it official. 

    You may as well throw a unit on the receptions total as well as the yardage. The line should be a safe bet at 8 catches for 110 yards and a score, or two. 

    Week 9 NFL props PLAY OF THE WEEK: DeAndre Hopkins ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN (+100) 2 Units  

    DeAndre Hopkins OVER 6.5 receptions (-152) 2 Units

    DeAndre Hopkins OVER 85.5 receiving yards (-120) 1 unit

    Mack to Attack Yellow and Black

    The Indianapolis Colts are down T.Y. Hilton, so Jacoby Brissett would be wise to hand-off to running back Marlon Mack two dozen times. This is a back who has only had one game in which he carried the ball less than 16 times.  This sort of output against the Pittsburgh Steelers should lead to his over 72.2 yards in no time, as Mack is averaging a solid 4.3 yards per carry. 

    If he can carry the ball 17 times over more at that exact average, 73 yards should be a comfortable number to hope for against a middle of the pack Steelers rush-defense. Keeping into account being a man down in Hilton, as the main vertical threat, Mack should be called upon throughout the game to grind this one home. 

    Week 9 NFL props play: Marlon Mack OVER 72.5 rushing yards (-112) 1 unit

    Samuels to Shine with Conner Curbed

    When it comes to betting on player props, banged-up starters can mean a terrific opportunity to cash-in on a normally untapped Sunday resource. Pittsburgh Steelers running back Jaylen Samuels looks to be in line for a full workload thanks to James Conner being doubtful to play as well as Benny Snell already being ruled out. 

    Playoff participating fantasy owners from last season surely remember Samuels as he could have helped or hurt owners in semi-finals and championship games alike. 

    The good times should roll again against a solid, although not dominating Colts’ defense, and Samuels being a dual-threat option, can hurt them in multiple ways. 

    The play here is taking advantage of yardage in two forms, the rush and reception. Through those two components together and we are aiming for a total of 90.5 yards from scrimmage. 

    With Mason Rudolph at quarterback and attention on JuJu Smith-Schuster, the check-down could be the Steelers’ best friend, similar to bettors. It is an east take considering he could rack off 50-plus yards in both areas. 

    Week 9 NFL player props play: Jaylen Samuels OVER 90.5 rushing plus receiving yards (-108) (1 unit)

    Catches for Cohen for coin

    With the Chicago Bears heading to Philadelphia for a matchup against the stout Eagles front-seven, look for Mitchell Trubisky to utilize Tarik Cohen out of the backfield in the check-down game. 

    Sure, fellow back David Montgomery is coming off of his best game as a pro, but a repeat is not a safe bet this week. Cohen could get the lion’s share of touches, with the majority coming via reception. 

    At a props line set at over 3.5 receptions with odds a more than favorable +152, that unit play can pay-out like time and a half for you over-time eligible employees. 

    Week 9 NFL player props play: Tarik Cohen OVER 3.5 receptions (+152) 1 Unit

    Additional Week 9 NFL Props

    Jordan Howard: OVER 14.5 carries (-102) 1 Unit

    Marvin Jones: OVER 63.5 receiving yards (-108) 1 Unit

    Darren Waller: OVER 58.5 receiving yards (-112) 1 Unit

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