We’re onto Week 12 for the 2025 NFL season. With Week 11 now in the rearview mirror, teams like the Los Angeles Rams, Denver Broncos, and Buffalo Bills come away as victors from matchups against fellow playoff contenders, solidifying them as some of the hottest teams in the league.
These games, among others, led to movement in our PFSN power rankings this week compared to last. Here’s how the NFL is shaping up entering Week 12, according to our metrics system.
32) Tennessee Titans
- Last Week’s Ranking: 32
- Playoff Odds: 0.00%
On Sunday, the Tennessee Titans became the first team to guarantee themselves a record below .500 in the NFL this season. Their 16-13 loss to the Texans brings their record down to 1-9 and marks their fifth consecutive loss.
Not much can be said about the Titans’ 2025 that hasn’t already been said in these power rankings. Their offense has been a major issue all season, and it won’t help that Calvin Ridley suffered a season-ending injury on Sunday.
31) Cincinnati Bengals
- Last Week’s Ranking: 31
- Playoff Odds: 6.60%
The question going into Week 11 was whether the Cincinnati Bengals could stack a few wins before Joe Burrow’s return from injury, giving them a little more leeway as they pushed for a potential playoff run. Those goals took a big hit on Sunday, as they dropped to the Steelers in a 34-12 blowout.
🚨PICK 6 ALERT🚨
Steelers Defense picks off Joe Flacco!! (+1400)pic.twitter.com/wRWzslW5Pa
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) November 16, 2025
This was a game the Bengals needed to win to keep their fleeting playoff hopes alive. While they’re not mathematically eliminated yet, their next four games are against the Patriots, Bills, and two Ravens matchups with a healthy Lamar Jackson.
30) New Orleans Saints
- Last Week’s Ranking: 30
- Playoff Odds: 0.40%
The New Orleans Saints had their bye in Week 11, keeping them at 2-8 for the 2025 NFL season. Their win last week against the Panthers serves as hope that they can stack up some wins in what’s clearly a rebuilding season.
29) Las Vegas Raiders
- Last Week’s Ranking: 28
- Playoff Odds: 1.90%
It was a brutal outing from top to bottom for the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday night. They gave up 33 points to the Cowboys in a loss, and they also only scored 16 points against a Dallas defense that’s been notoriously bad all season.
There’s not much positive to take away from the Raiders’ Week 11 matchup. First-round pick Ashton Jeanty only got six carries for seven yards. Geno Smith threw yet another interception, bringing him up to 13 picks in ten games. With their team now at 2-8, Las Vegas fans may want to start getting to know the 2026 NFL Draft class.
28) Cleveland Browns
- Last Week’s Ranking: 29
- Playoff Odds: 1.20%
The Cleveland Browns gave the Ravens a lot more fight than many people likely expected, especially considering they got down to their third starting quarterback for the 2025 NFL season. Shedeur Sanders took over for the injured Dillon Gabriel, but regardless of the QB switch, the defense gave up the lead in their 23-16 loss.
Cleveland’s defense fared a lot better than most NFL defenses against Lamar Jackson, limiting him to under 200 passing yards with no passing touchdowns and two interceptions. That said, a combined 115 passing yards from Gabriel and Sanders saw the Browns’ offense unable to capitalize.
27) New York Jets
- Last Week’s Ranking: 27
- Playoff Odds: 0.60%
Hardly anybody expected the New York Jets to march into Foxborough and upset the Patriots on Thursday night. It came as no surprise, then, that the Jets’ two-game winning streak came to an end at the hands of New England.
Among the NFL’s bottom-feeders, the Jets have one of the strongest resumes, considering they’ve lost five of their eight defeats by one possession. Their 2-8 record indicates that a finish above .500, let alone a playoff appearance, is a pipe dream.
26) New York Giants
- Last Week’s Ranking: 26
- Playoff Odds: 0.10%
Whether it’s been Brian Daboll or new interim head coach Mike Kafka, the New York Giants have remained competitive in a handful of games against some of the NFL’s better teams. That said, they haven’t been able to finish the job, and that trend continued on Sunday with their 27-20 loss to the Packers.
In their current five-game losing streak, the Giants have lost three of those games by one possession against teams currently on track to make the postseason. Jaxson Dart has looked the part at quarterback when healthy, though, which is the most important thing to take away from this year.
25) Arizona Cardinals
- Last Week’s Ranking: 23
- Playoff Odds: 2.90%
With seven losses in their last eight weeks, the Arizona Cardinals look like a lost cause for the remainder of 2025. Their blowout loss to the 49ers dropped them to 3-7, putting them even further behind in a loaded NFC West.
After picking up the win against the Cowboys two weeks ago, the Cardinals have since been blown out by divisional rivals in consecutive matchups. The question isn’t whether Arizona will make the playoffs, but whether they’ll retain Jonathan Gannon as their head coach beyond this season.
24) Washington Commanders
- Last Week’s Ranking: 22
- Playoff Odds: 1.40%
The Washington Commanders are now in the midst of a six-game losing streak, falling to the Dolphins in Madrid to kick off Sunday’s NFL slate in a 16-13 nail-biter.
Between Jayden Daniels’ injury issues and their miserable losing streak, it’s been a difficult season for the Commanders. Our analytics model favors them a little more than most of the league’s bottom-feeders, but this has been a season to forget.
23) Miami Dolphins
- Last Week’s Ranking: 24
- Playoff Odds: 1.50%
Don’t look now, but the Miami Dolphins have won three of their last four games. They continued their newfound winning ways on Sunday, defeating the Commanders 16-13 in Madrid. The win saw them improve to 4-7 after a brutal 1-6 start.
Is it likely the Dolphins turn their season around and sneak into a Wild Card appearance? Not really. But they’ve found a way to squeeze away with wins throughout November. Don’t be surprised if they stack up a couple more wins before the year ends, even if it’s almost too little too late.
22) Dallas Cowboys
- Last Week’s Ranking: 21
- Playoff Odds: 10.50%
Thanks in part to a 21-point outburst in the second quarter, the Dallas Cowboys picked up a resounding 33-16 victory against the Raiders on Monday night. The win brings them up to 4-5-1 for the year.
Most notable from the Cowboys’ win, perhaps, was the strong play of Quinnen Williams in his first game with the team. He exploded for 1.5 sacks, giving them a valuable pass-rushing threat up the middle to help neutralize Las Vegas’ passing attack.
21) Atlanta Falcons
- Last Week’s Ranking: 20
- Playoff Odds: 8.00%
Coming out of Week 11, the Atlanta Falcons have now lost five games in a row. Their last three games have all been one-possession matchups, with their latest loss a 30-27 defeat on Sunday at the hands of the Panthers in overtime.
The Falcons rank higher than one might expect for their 3-7 record because our analytical models favor their tight matchups against talented teams like the Colts, Patriots, and Buccaneers. That said, close losses won’t be enough to get them to the postseason.
20) Carolina Panthers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 25
- Playoff Odds: 24.20%
The Carolina Panthers remain one of the most unpredictable teams in the NFL. After seven consecutive starts with fewer than 200 passing yards in every one of his games, Bryce Young exploded for 448 passing yards and three touchdowns in their 30-27 overtime win over the Falcons.
🚨PICK 6 ALERT🚨
Steelers Defense picks off Joe Flacco!! (+1400)pic.twitter.com/wRWzslW5Pa
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) November 16, 2025
It’s clear the Panthers are an inconsistent team right now, but the fact that they have these highs is a step in the right direction for the organization. They don’t look the part of a true playoff team, but they’re still firmly in the race in the NFC.
19) Minnesota Vikings
- Last Week’s Ranking: 18
- Playoff Odds: 22.40%
Sunday saw the Minnesota Vikings’ playoff hopes take a significant hit, as they regained the lead from the Bears in the fourth quarter, only to surrender a last-second field goal and ultimately lose, dropping the Vikings to 4-6 in the 2025 NFL season.
The passing attack remains a significant concern for the Vikings, as J.J. McCarthy’s growing pains have cost them on a few occasions since his return from injury. That’s to be expected from a quarterback in his first few games as an NFL starter, but it might mean Minnesota fails to make the playoffs this year after going 14-3 last year.
18) Houston Texans
- Last Week’s Ranking: 17
- Playoff Odds: 25.50%
It wasn’t pretty, but the Houston Texans came away with the 16-13 victory over the Titans on Sunday to improve to 5-5 for the 2025 NFL season. Davis Mills filled in for the injured C.J. Stroud, throwing for 274 yards and a touchdown.
The Texans have won consecutive games with their backup quarterback starting, which speaks to the rest of the team’s ability to step up in recent weeks. They’ve won three of their last four games, keeping them firmly in the AFC playoff race.
17) Baltimore Ravens
- Last Week’s Ranking: 13
- Playoff Odds: 41.40%
It might not have been as pretty as they had hoped, but the Baltimore Ravens picked up their fourth win in a row on Sunday, defeating the Browns 23-16 in a matchup that came down to the wire. The win improved the Ravens to 5-5 on the year.
After their disastrous 1-5 start, Baltimore has started clicking now that Lamar Jackson is back and healthy. They still trail the Steelers by one game for first place in the AFC North, but they have significantly cut the deficit in recent weeks.
16) Chicago Bears
- Last Week’s Ranking: 16
- Playoff Odds: 53.70%
If you’re a Chicago Bears fan, you’ve experienced some absolute roller coasters for games in the last three weeks. They’ve won each week in that stretch, though each game has been close and gone back and forth. This time, the Bears picked up the 19-17 win over the Vikings off a last-second field goal by Cairo Santos.
A weak strength of schedule to this point means the Bears still have a modest ranking in PFSN’s analytical model, and their last few wins have come by the skin of their teeth. That said, they’re still winners of seven of their previous eight games, which speaks to the team’s resilience and ability to step up in the clutch.
15) Los Angeles Chargers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 9
- Playoff Odds: 85.90%
It’s been a good season for the Los Angeles Chargers, but Sunday was a matchup they’d like to forget. They headed into Jacksonville and got devoured by the Jaguars, losing 35-6 in the most significant deficit they’ve faced in a game all year.
The Chargers are still 7-4, and they project as a Wild Card team in the AFC with their current record. Our model favors their chances of returning to the postseason, but the blowout against Jacksonville certainly hurts their playoff outlook if they do.
14) San Francisco 49ers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 15
- Playoff Odds: 88.70%
In a week where most of the NFC’s playoff-contending teams picked up wins, the San Francisco 49ers managed to keep themselves competitive in the Wild Card race with their blowout victory over the Cardinals.
After the Cardinals punted after gaining just one first down, the 49ers find the end zone once more.
Brock Purdy finds George Kittle in the end zone, as the #AZCardinals defense got exposed.
PAT got blocked, but SF leads 13-0 with 9:51 left in the 1st. pic.twitter.com/cynv7lmsAc
— Colin McMahon (@ColinMcMahon31) November 16, 2025
Brock Purdy is now back under center for the 49ers, and he more than made up for lost time with his performance on Sunday. Their defense could still use some improvement, but don’t count out San Francisco as a playoff contender; they’re now 4-1 in divisional play, arguably the toughest in the NFL.
13) Jacksonville Jaguars
- Last Week’s Ranking: 19
- Playoff Odds: 43.20%
Perhaps the most surprising result of Week 11 across the NFL was the Jacksonville Jaguars’ win over the Chargers on Sunday. It was surprising not so much that the Jaguars won, but the manner in which they won: a 35-6 blowout.
A win bumps the Jaguars up to 6-4, keeping them in position for a Wild Card spot if the season ended today. Jacksonville has been inconsistent in 2025, but that’s a significant improvement over last season. At the very least, they’ve shown they can beat anybody if they’re all on the same page.
12) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 12
- Playoff Odds: 87.60%
Good news: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers got their offense rolling in a significant way against the Bills on Sunday. Bad news: their defense got beaten down the field regularly in coverage, and they came away with a 44-32 loss against Buffalo.
With a 6-4 record, the Buccaneers are now only half a game up on the Panthers for first place in the NFC South. Tampa Bay’s significantly higher ranking reflects its most challenging schedule thus far and the higher quality of its victories. Their schedule for the rest of the year is much easier, which could help them pull away even further.
11) Pittsburgh Steelers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 14
- Playoff Odds: 61.80%
The AFC North figures to be one of the most competitive first-place races in the NFL, seeing as though the Pittsburgh Steelers have been at risk of blowing the lead with the Ravens’ recent ascent. The Steelers came out of Week 11 as winners, though, as their assertive 34-12 victory over the Bengals bumped them up to 6-4.
As the Steelers push for their first divisional crown since 2020, every win counts. Not only was it helpful to pick up the win over Cincinnati, but also the manner in which they did so: even after Aaron Rodgers exited due to injury, their offense continued to operate efficiently.
10) New England Patriots
- Last Week’s Ranking: 11
- Playoff Odds: 97.30%
With their 27-14 victory over the Jets on Thursday night, the New England Patriots won their eighth game in a row to improve to 9-2 for the 2025 NFL season. The win keeps them firmly in first place in the AFC East, giving them their first campaign above the .500 mark since 2021.
It’s practically a foregone conclusion at this stage that the Patriots will make the playoffs. As long as Drake Maye keeps making plays and their defense keeps shutting teams down, they’ll be in good shape.
9) Green Bay Packers
- Last Week’s Ranking: 10
- Playoff Odds: 58.30%
It may have been a little close for comfort, but the Green Bay Packers marched into MetLife Stadium to pick up the 27-20 win over the Giants. The win brings their record up to 6-3-1 this season, giving them a key victory in both the tight NFC North divisional race and the Wild Card race as a whole.
The Packers avoided a three-game losing streak on Sunday, which is undoubtedly a sigh of relief for the players, coaching staff, and the fanbase. Their one-score win over a middling Giants team doesn’t move the needle a lot in PFSN’s power ranking model, but more importantly, it keeps them in a favorable spot for the playoff hunt.
8) Kansas City Chiefs
- Last Week’s Ranking: 3
- Playoff Odds: 59.60%
The Kansas City Chiefs dropped their second game in a row on Sunday, fighting tooth and nail with the Broncos but coming up just three points short. The 22-19 loss drops Kansas City to just 5-5 for the 2025 NFL season.
PFSN’s analytical model strongly favors the Chiefs in these power rankings, given their strength of schedule and the closeness of their losses. However, in the six games they’ve played against NFL teams currently projected to make the playoffs, they’ve gone just 1-5. They remain outside of the playoff race right now.
7) Detroit Lions
- Last Week’s Ranking: 4
- Playoff Odds: 59.60%
Having only scored nine points in their loss to the Eagles on Sunday night, the Detroit Lions’ offense looked uncharacteristically dull in Week 11. Their loss dropped their record down to 6-4, and they now trail both the Bears and Packers within the competitive NFC North.
Though they’re in third place within their division, the Lions are viewed favorably by PFSN’s analytics model, particularly for their high quality of losses and dominant play in their victories. It’s clear Detroit is one of the most talented teams in the NFL, but they’ll have to start winning more games against teams above .500 to make noise in the playoffs.
6) Indianapolis Colts
- Last Week’s Ranking: 6
- Playoff Odds: 95.50%
The Indianapolis Colts had their bye in Week 11 and sit at 8-2 following it. Winners of five of their last six games, they’ll look to keep up their winning ways as they prepare for the remainder of the year.
5) Buffalo Bills
- Last Week’s Ranking: 8
- Playoff Odds: 84.10%
The Buffalo Bills came away with a key victory in Week 11, defeating the Buccaneers 44-32 to win their third game in the last three weeks. Josh Allen was dynamic in the victory, scoring six total touchdowns (three passing, three rushing) and throwing for 317 yards on Sunday.
In particular, Buffalo’s ability to get production from just about any of its offensive weapons on any given day is valuable. The likes of Tyrell Shavers, James Cook, and Ty Johnson all caught receiving touchdowns and finished with over 60 receiving yards.
4) Philadelphia Eagles
- Last Week’s Ranking: 5
- Playoff Odds: 93.60%
Their matchup against the Lions on Sunday night was anything but a barnburner, but a win is a win when you’re in the NFL. The Philadelphia Eagles picked up an important one with their 16-9 win over Detroit, improving their record to 8-2 for the season.
At this point in the season, the Eagles are far enough ahead of the rest of the NFC East that they project as the likely divisional champions. Now, they’ll be pushing for the No. 1 overall seed in the conference, granting them a first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the postseason.
3) Denver Broncos
- Last Week’s Ranking: 7
- Playoff Odds: 94.80%
The Denver Broncos’ seven-game winning streak going into Week 11, and their matchup against a perennial Super Bowl contender in the Chiefs was of significant interest on Sunday. Like their last matchup, it came down to a last-second field goal. Unlike their previous matchup, though, the Broncos hit a field goal to win.
Hey @TheoAshNFL , @getnickwright,
I’m guessing this wasn’t a good throw either?
Or that the Broncos being 9-2 is still just a fluke?
Or Bo Nix outplaying Patrick Mahomes was also just a fluke?pic.twitter.com/PuEIp7F5j1
— Ryan Knows Ball (@RyanKnowsBall) November 17, 2025
Now sitting at 9-2, Denver is undoubtedly one of the best teams in the NFL. Some wondered, going into their matchup against Kansas City, whether they were a serious contender. Still, I would be surprised if anybody doubted the Broncos’ credibility as a Super Bowl threat anymore.
2) Seattle Seahawks
- Last Week’s Ranking: 7
- Playoff Odds: 95.30%
It was a hard-fought battle from start to finish, and it looked for a moment like the Seattle Seahawks could come back to pick up the victory over the Rams on Sunday. In the end, though, a missed 61-yard field goal at the last possible second saw the Seahawks fall 21-19.
In a team-oriented league like the NFL, no game can be entirely won or lost by one player. That said, one can only wonder if Seattle would’ve stood a better chance to beat the Rams if Sam Darnold hadn’t thrown four interceptions on Sunday.
1) Los Angeles Rams
- Last Week’s Ranking: 1
- Playoff Odds: 94.20%
In a divisional battle between two of the NFL’s best teams, the Los Angeles Rams came out on top on Sunday. They narrowly defeated the Seahawks 21-19, improving their record to 8-2 for the 2025 NFL season.
The Seahawks made the Rams battle for every single yard and point they could pick up, and Matthew Stafford was held to just 130 passing yards in the matchup. But the four interceptions that Los Angeles’ defense picked up held Seattle down, and that proved to be the deciding factor in the victory.