Week 10 NFL Player Props: Picks and market analysis to strike gold

    Pro Football Network and Against The Spread podcast co-host Jason Sarney identifies his Week 10 NFL prop picks led by Bills rookie Devin Singletary

    The Week 10 NFL player props pick slate comes with substantial momentum from a profitable Week 9, as well as a 2-0 start on Thursday Night Football. Pro Football Network’s Against the Spread has been lights out so far this season, and that is kudos to co-host Ryan Gosling and that 23-14-1 NFL odds record of his. 

    On the player props side of things, there is a current five-unit profit and record of 34-32 thanks to a massive 9-4 record when going Play-of-the-Week, “double-down” style. 

    Looking across the board, especially for the safest Play-of-the-Week player prop play,  several dome-based games should lead to another profitable betting week. 

    Player Props of the Week – A Buffalo Nickel on the Rook

    Singletary to Slash Cleveland 

    Rookie Devin Singletary is just getting started. A pre-season favorite of this piece, the Florida Atlantic product is coming off of 95 rush-yard performance against the Washington Redskins, and he gets rewarded with a third-worst rush defense of the Browns, giving up 141.2 yards on the ground a game. 

    Singletary is a threat within the passing game as well, having his last two weeks seeing four catches for 30 yards in Week 8 and three catches for 45 yards last Sunday. With a score in each of those games, Singletary has cemented himself in fantasy flex spot talk, and this contest can undoubtedly be the one he keeps the game ball for his first career 100-yard rushing game. 

    Play it safe and go with the combined rush and receiving yard figure of 86.5. He could easily eclipse this with his ground yardage alone. 

    Week 10 NFL player props play: Devin Singletary OVER 86.5 rushing plus receiving yards – NFL Odds (-112) (2 units)

    Saint Michael blesses the Falcons

    For my money, both fantasy, green, and even crypto, Michael Thomas is the games best if not most consistent wide receiver. Last week, he welcomed quarterback Drew Brees back with open hands and didn’t drop a beat, or miss a pass. You know what I mean. 

    The pair reunited for an 11 for 11 target-to-reception line, with a score to boot. Thomas is so good, and with no knock at all on Teddy Bridgewater and his 5-0 record, Brees was not a necessity for him. 

    For those fantasy owners who stuck with him, he was still outstanding with never getting less than 13 points if in a half-point per reception league. However, with Brees back, those massive 30 point explosions can lead you into the fantasy playoffs and beyond. 

    With a few weeks still until that joyous time of year, players like Thomas can be pre-holiday season ATMs for that upcoming gift list. 

    The Saints welcome the porous Falcons secondary, which has given up 261.1 yards in the air per game with 19 passing touchdowns allowed. Only a pair of interceptions is also an indication that Brees and Thomas will carve these birds up like its Thanksgiving.

    The yardage over for Thomas and his player props is set at 103.5, and that doesn’t scare me one bit. With NFL odds at -112, FanDuel.com believes this is rather likely.  

    Michael Thomas OVER 103.5 yards – NFL Odds (-112) 1 Unit

    Ingram to carry the Ravens in Cincy

    Baltimore Ravens running back, Mark Ingram, averages 14.25 carries a game, so far in the 2019 NFL season. With a November road game against the winless division-rival Cincinnati Bengals, who own the league’s worst rush defense, expect Ingram to run all day. 

    With his player pros carry over-under set at 13.5, this under yearly-average figure is music to all ears. Any later season NFC North match-up screams ground and pound historically, so expect a healthy dosage of the Ravens runner on Sunday. The Bengals give up 177.6 yards on the ground per game, and there is no need to let Lamar Jackson risk his health when Ingram can handle this one in his sleep. 

    With that said, I am recommending a double-play. 

    Week 10 NFL props play: Mark Ingram OVER 13.5 rush attempts – NFL Odds (-124) 1 unit

    Week 10 NFL props play: Mark Ingram OVER 69.5 rush yards – NFL Odds (-112) 1 unit

    Kirk kicks it into high-gear

    The Arizona Cardinals go cross country to face the league’s worst pass defense in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The second-year receiver, Christian Kirk, is looking to make up for a few weeks of lost time and get better acquainted with rookie quarterback Kyler Murray. This is the perfect week to do so. 

    The Bucs have the odd catch-22 of the worst pass defense yet top rush defense in football. It is a certainly Arizona knows this, so expect the Cardinals to throw often, which means Kirk should have a heavily targeted afternoon. 

    With a very attainable over-under mark of 57.5 receiving yards, this is one of those player props that can hit on one quarter, series, or even play. 

    That adds a bit of spice actually, as another double-play is wise here with Kirk perhaps hitting both in one throw from Murray. 

    Week 10 NFL player props play: Christian Kirk OVER 57.5 receiving yards – NFL Odds – (-112) 1 Unit

    Week 10 NFL player props play: Christian Kirk LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 19.5 yards – NFL Odds – (-102) 1 Unit

    Yea, OK – Why Not…

    Week 10 NFL player props play: Christian Kirk ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER – NFL Odds +170 (1 Unit)

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