One of the second-round matches at the 2026 Miami Open will feature an intriguing clash between former world No. 3 Stefanos Tsitsipas and the sixth-seeded Alex de Minaur. While De Minaur got a bye in the opening round in Miami, Tsitsipas won 6-1, 7-6 (4) against British qualifier Arthur Fery to open his campaign.
2026 Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex de Minaur Match Details
Date: March 20, 2026
Tournament: Miami Open 2026
Round: Second Round (Round of 64)
Venue: Miami Gardens, Florida, USA
Surface: Outdoor hard
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN, TVA
Tsitsipas vs. De Minaur Head-to-Head Record
Tsitsipas has a dominant head-to-head record against De Minaur, winning 11 of the 12 matches they have played, with the only win for De Minaur coming at the 2024 Mexican Open. The last time they played was at the 2024 Italian Open, where the Greek won 6-1, 6-2.
Tsitsipas has a 10-6 win-loss record in 2026, with the Greek player not advancing past the second round at five of the six events he has played so far. His best outing was at the Qatar Open, where he won consecutive matches against Moez Echargui and Daniil Medvedev before losing to Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinals.
De Minaur, on the other hand, has won 12 of his 16 matches, with one of his losses coming against Carlos Alcaraz at the Australian Open quarterfinals. The Australian won the title in Rotterdam, defeating Félix Auger-Aliassime in the final. However, his last two outings have not been great, as he lost to Patrick Kypson in the first round in Acapulco and then went down to Cameron Norrie in the third round at Indian Wells.
Miami Open Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex de Minaur
Tsitsipas’ serve has been firing on all cylinders this year, with the Greek winning 90% of his service games and saving 64% of the 44 break points he has faced. His return numbers could use some improvement: he has won 15% of return games while converting 28% of his 87 break-point opportunities.
De Minaur has won 87% of his service games, saving 70% of the break points he has faced so far. He has won 26% of his return games, with a 44% break-point conversion rate.
The PFSN Simulator has assigned De Minaur a high 73% win probability, which is slightly surprising given the lopsided head-to-head record. Tsitsipas’ form has nosedived big-time since last year, with his hard-court results going off a cliff.
However, on a fast court like Miami, the Greek might have a chance because of his serve. Yet, the Australian player has been effective on his second serve, and, coupled with Tsitsipas’ poor break-point conversion, the No. 6 seed should be able to get it done.
Pick: De Minaur to win in three sets
