Jannik Sinner will face Daniil Medvedev in the men’s singles final of the 2026 BNP Paribas Open. The Italian has been in imperious form at Indian Wells, but on Sunday, he faces the player who handed Carlos Alcaraz his first defeat of 2026 in the semifinals.
Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev Match Details
Date: March 15, 2026
Tournament: BNP Paribas Open 2026
Round: Final
Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
Surface: Outdoor hard
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN, TVA
Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head
Sinner narrowly leads the head-to-head, having come out on top in eight of their previous 15 matches. The World No. 2 is on a three-match winning streak against Medvedev and will look to keep that run going on Sunday.
The last time these two players met was during the round-robin stage of the 2024 ATP Finals, when Sinner won 6-3, 6-4. Their last meeting in a final came at the 2024 Australian Open, where Sinner came from two sets down to win the title.
Jannik Sinner’s Form at Indian Wells
Sinner has not dropped a set at Indian Wells and looks to be in great shape as he searches for his first title of 2026. He cruised to a 6-2, 6-4 win over Alexander Zverev in the semifinals and has his sights set on a maiden title at Indian Wells.
Daniil Medvedev’s Path to the Final
Medvedev has an impressive record at Indian Wells, making the final three times and the semifinal once in the last four years. He is also searching for his first title in Southern California and has enjoyed an excellent start to the season.
The 30-year-old has already won two titles on the ATP Tour this year and goes into the final with a win-loss record of 18-3 in 2026. He defeated Alcaraz in straight sets in the semifinals, handing the Spaniard his first defeat of the year.
Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev Prediction
This match is a tough one to call, with both players in excellent form at the moment. After a difficult 2025, Medvedev is finally hitting his stride again and has beaten the reigning Indian Wells champion and Australian Open champion en route to the final.
The conditions at Indian Wells certainly suit Medvedev, and his defensive style could frustrate Sinner, as it has other top players in recent matches.
On the other hand, Sinner appears to have found his rhythm again after a rather slow start to the season by his high standards.
If Sinner can manage to control rallies and get into his natural rhythm, the match could end quickly. But if Medvedev can extend the rallies and get the Italian out of his comfort zone by winning the big points early, he could continue his dominant streak and win a second ATP Tour title on the bounce.
Prediction: Sinner to win in three sets.
