Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula will collide for the third time this year in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Miami Open. Both players are in sublime form at the moment, and we could be in for another closely contested match between them on Wednesday.
Match Details for Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina
Date: March 25, 2026
Tournament: Miami Open 2026
Round: Quarterfinals
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida
Surface: Outdoor hard
Category: WTA 1000
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN
Head-to-Head History Between Pegula and Rybakina
Pegula and Rybakina have faced each other on eight previous occasions, with the latter holding the head-to-head lead at 5-3. The 2026 Australian Open champion has come out on top in each of their last three meetings and has handed Pegula three of her last four losses on the WTA Tour.
While Rybakina has had the upper hand over Pegula of late, the American remains in excellent form at the moment and will be keen to gain a measure of revenge against her opponent on Wednesday.
The American has looked unstoppable so far in Miami, defeating Francesca Jones via retirement and Leylah Fernandez and Jaqueline Cristian in straight sets. Her overall record in 2026 stands at 19-3, and she has reached the quarterfinal stage at each of her last nine tournaments.
Rybakina has also dominated proceedings in Miami and claimed a 6-2, 6-2 win over the in-form Talia Gibson in the last round. After narrowly losing in the Indian Wells final to Aryna Sabalenka, Rybakina appears determined to go one better at the second leg of the Sunshine Double.
Miami Open Match Prediction: Pegula vs. Rybakina
When these two players met at Indian Wells, Rybakina’s powerful serve was the difference, helping her come out on top. The 26-year-old is the WTA Tour leader for aces this year with 161, and if she maintains her strong serve level on Wednesday, Pegula may find it very difficult to stop her.
The conditions in Miami clearly suit Pegula, as she has made the quarterfinals here in each of the last five seasons. As last year’s beaten finalist, the American will be keen to make another deep run this time around.
There aren’t many flaws in Pegula’s game; her straightforward approach and consistency are her two biggest weapons.
MORE: Jessica Pegula Embraces ‘Crazy Stacked’ Miami Draw as Elena Rybakina, Aryna Sabalenka Loom
Like Rybakina, Pegula has been excellent on her serve in Miami, winning more than 80% of her first-serve points in each of the first three rounds. But the key for her will be to win the big points and prevent her opponent from dominating proceedings on her serve. Make sure to use the PFSN Tennis Simulator to predict all matches at the 2026 Miami Open.
Pick: Rybakina in three sets.
