Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for ATP Finals 2025

Jannik Sinner will face Alex De Minaur in the semifinal of the 2025 ATP Finals. Here's everything you need to know about the match.

Jannik Sinner will take on Alex De Minaur in the semifinal of the 2025 ATP Finals. Having lost out on the race for the year-end No. 1 ranking to Carlos Alcaraz, Sinner will look to end his season on a high with a title in Turin. The Italian has yet to drop a set at the ATP Finals, winning against the likes of Felix Auger-Aliassime, Alexander Zverev, and Ben Shelton in straight sets.

Meanwhile, De Minaur did not have a great start to his campaign in Turin, losing against Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti, losing a close three-setter against the Italian. However, the Australian did not lose hope, putting together a strong performance against Taylor Fritz in his last group match, winning 7-6 (3), 6-3 against the American. With other results in the group going in his favor, De Minaur qualified for the semifinal.

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Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Match Details

Date: November 15, 2025

Tournament: ATP Finals 2025

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy

Category: ATP Finals

Surface: Indoor hardcourt

Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports

Sinner vs De Minaur Head-to-Head

In one of the most one-sided rivalries currently on the ATP Tour, Sinner has a 12-0 head-to-head record against De Minaur. Such has been the Italian’s dominance over the Australian that the latter has won only two sets against the Italian in 12 matches. In their last match, it was once again a dominant 6-3, 6-4 win for the Italian at the Vienna Open this year.

Sinner vs De Minaur Prediction

Sinner has a 56-6 win-loss record this year, with a 90.3 win percentage this year. The Italian has excelled against Top-10 opposition as well, having a 17-4 win-loss record against the top players, with all four losses coming at the hands of Alcaraz.

More: Jannik Sinner Makes It Clear He Isn’t ‘Super Happy’ About Carlos Alcaraz’s Year-End No. 1 but Acknowledges the Rival

On the other hand, De Minaur has a similar number of wins for the season as Sinner, but the Australian has had 22 losses, with a 70.8 win rate for the year. Against the Top 10 players, he has had a poor record, winning 2 of the 12 matches against high-quality opposition this year.

Meanwhile, Sinner is having a great streak on indoor courts, currently on a 29-match win streak on the surface, dating back to 2023. He has won all his matches on the surface this year, winning two titles, and is the defending champion in Turin. Meanwhile, De Minaur has had good results indoors this year, with a 12-5 win-loss record on the surface, having had a runner-up finish in Rotterdam earlier this year.

With Sinner’s streak and his record against De Minaur, the Italian is the overwhelming favorite to win the upcoming match.

Pick– Sinner to win in straight sets

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