Alexandra Eala will begin her campaign at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open with a second-round clash against Dayana Yastremska. While the No. 31Â Eala received a bye in the first round as the Filipino player was seeded, Yastremska opened with a 6-3, 6-2 win over Zhang Shuai.
Alexandra Eala vs Dayana Yastremska Match Details
Date: March 6, 2026
Tournament: BNP Paribas Open 2026
Round: Second round (Round of 64)
Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, USA
Surface: Outdoor hard
Category:Â WTAÂ 1000
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN, TVA
Eala vs Yastremska Head-to-Head
The head-to-head is 1-0 in Eala’s favor, as she beat Yastremska 6-1, 6-2 at the Eastbourne Championships last year.
Eala’s best result this season came at the ASB Classic, where she reached the semifinal, losing to Wang Xinyu. The Filipino player also made quarterfinal runs at the Abu Dhabi Open and Dubai Tennis Championships. In Abu Dhabi, she beat Zeynep Sönmez and Aliaksandra Sasnovich before losing to Ekaterina Alexandrova.
In Dubai, she defeated Hailey Baptiste, Jasmine Paolini, and Sorana Cîrstea before falling to Coco Gauff in the last eight.
In the seven events Yastremska has played before Indian Wells this year, the Ukrainian has had four first-round exits, including at the Australian Open. She also exited in the second round at the Abu Dhabi Open and Qatar Open.
Her best result came at the Brisbane International, where she reached the third round after wins over Talia Gibson and Leylah Fernandez, losing to Jessica Pegula in a tight three-set battle.
Eala vs Yastremska Prediction
Eala has won 63.7% of her service games and 39.3% of her return games in the 2026 season so far. She has played well under pressure, saving 50.5% of the break points she has faced while converting 39% of her break points.
Yastremska, meanwhile, has weaker serving numbers compared to Eala, winning only 53% of her service games. She also trails the 31st seed in return games, with a win rate of 31.1%. She has saved 47.6% of the break points she has faced and has a 47.2% break-point conversion rate, one metric where she leads Eala.
Eala does not have a powerful serve that can dictate rallies, but she has the speed and rally tolerance to outrun her opponents. Yastremska hits a heavy ball and will look to end rallies on her terms. Eala has enjoyed massive crowd support wherever she has played, and that will not be any different at Indian Wells. Given her current form, she is the favorite to win the upcoming match, according to PFSN’s Tennis Simulator, which gives her a 55% win probability.

Pick: Eala to win in straight sets
