Sixth seed Alex de Minaur will take on 10th seed Alexander Bublik in the fourth round of the Australian Open. While Bublik will be aiming to reach the quarterfinal in Melbourne for the first time, De Minaur will look to replicate his quarterfinal run from last year and keep alive the chances of an Australian man winning the Australian Open for the first time since
Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur Match Details
Date: Jan. 24, 2026
Tournament: Australian Open 2026
Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)
Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
Surface: Outdoor Hard
Category:Â Grand Slam
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, RDS, Sky Sports
Bublik vs. De Minaur Head-to-Head
After five meetings, De Minaur has a 3-2 lead in the head-to-head against Bublik. The last time they met, it was the Kazakh who won 6-7 (5), 6-4, 7-5 at the Paris Masters last year.
Bublik has an unbeaten record this year so far, having won four matches to win the Hong Kong Open before coming to Melbourne. The 10th seed began his campaign at the Australian Open with a 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 win over Jenson Brooksby in the first round, followed by a 7-5, 6-4, 7-5 win over Marton Fucsovics in the second round. In the third round, he played Tomas Martin Etcheverry, winning 7-6(4), 7-6(5), 6-4.
De Minaur had a decent campaign at the United Cup, winning two out of three singles matches. He began his home Major with a 6-2, 6-2, 6-3 win over lucky loser Mackenzie McDonald in the first round, followed by a 6-7(5), 6-2, 6-2, 6-1 win over Hamad Medjedovic in the second round. In the third round, he played 29th-seeded Frances Tiafoe, winning 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 against the American.
Bublik vs De Minaur Prediction
Bublik’s serving stats are excellent in Melbourne so far, having won 80 percent of his first serve points and saving 10 of the 13 break points he has conceded on his own serve. In return games, he has secured 10 service breaks across three matches at a conversion rate of 36 percent.
De Minaur has served equally well at the Australian Open as well, winning 79 percent of the first serve points while saving 6 of the 9 break points he has faced on his serve. On return, the Australian has won 18 service breaks in his three matches at a conversion rate of 41 percent.
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The match has the potential to be a five-set thriller, with Bublik’s chances depending on immaculate serving. For De Minaur, he needs to alter his return positions to get a better look at the Bublik serve during return games. Long rallies will give the advantage to De Minaur as he has the superior speed and ball-retrieval skills.
Given the fact that De Minaur will have a raucous crowd behind him, the Australian is the favorite going into the match, as seen on the PFSN Simulator, which has put the Australian’s winning chances at 60 percent.
Pick- De Minaur to win in five sets
