Same game parlays are the new wave in sports betting. Not only do they offer you a much greater upside than a straight bet, but your same game parlay legs can be correlated to your expected game script for a particular matchup.
For example, if you like one team to win, that most likely means they’ll be running the ball late in the game to protect their lead, while the opposing team in this scenario is relying on their passing game as they’re playing from behind.
Same game parlays have also become really popular because of the promos offered by the sportsbooks. Every week, promos such as “no sweats,” in which you get your money back up to $10 if your bet loses, and profit boosts are being offered to bettors, incentivizing them to place same game parlay bets.
With 12 games today sandwiched between the London game and Sunday Night Football, here are our favorite same game parlays for the 1 p.m. and 4 p.m. slates.
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NFL Week 4 Same Game Parlays
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Odds
Dolphins +120, Bills -142
Bearman: As noted in a few columns, I expect scoring out of both the Dolphins and the Bills on Sunday. The Dolphins’ team total is 26.5. While they aren’t scoring 10 TDs again, I would expect them to get 27 points, especially when you consider they got 31 in the playoff game with a third-string QB.
I am also taking a WR on each side in this one. Stefon Diggs (75+ yards) got there in two of the three games last year and had 11 targets for 60 yards in the other.
Per PFN’s Adam Beasley, in four regular-season games against the Bills (Waddle 50+ yards) has 17 catches for 293 yards and a touchdown. His 17.2 yards per catch average against the Bills in his career is the second-highest against any team he has faced at least twice.
My final leg of the SGP is Josh Allen to throw a pick (-130). He has at least one in four of his last five games dating back to last season and has been a consistent money-maker for us.
Same Game Parlay Pick: Dolphins team total over 27.5, Stefon Diggs 75+ yards, Jaylen Waddle 50+ yards, Josh Allen to throw an interception (+525 at DraftKings)
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds
Commanders +340, Eagles -440
Blewis: I’m pretty confident in the Eagles improving to 4-0 after this one, as their defensive line is a matchup nightmare for Sam Howell, who has taken the most sacks in the NFL this season by a big margin. It’s also a revenge spot for the Eagles, as the Commanders were the only team to beat them in the regular season last year when Jalen Hurts was the starter.
One of the player props I gave out was the under on Brian Robinson’s rushing yards. That correlates to the game script I’m predicting for this one, and until a team can stop the “Tush Push” or “Brotherly Shove” — whichever nickname you prefer for the Eagles’ unstoppable QB sneak play — I’ll add that leg as well.
Same Game Parlay Pick: Eagles -6.5, Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown, Brian Robinson under 53.5 rushing yards (+314 at DraftKings — +409 with the 30% profit boost)
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Odds
Ravens +114, Browns -135
Soppe: The Browns own the league’s highest pressure rate, while Lamar Jackson’s first three games under Todd Monken have seen him get the ball out fast (bottom 10 in aDOT). To me, that means this game turns out one of two ways: Either Myles Garrett ruins the game, or we are looking at a massive YAC day for the Ravens in a win.
Give me the latter. The average depth of opportunity for Zay Jones looks more like that of a running back, and with the next two WRs on this depth chart (Odell Beckham and Rashod Bateman) inactive, he should have no issue with the volume of looks.
Mark Andrews profiles as a target magnet in most matchups, and I see no reason why this would be any different, as he works closer to full strength. The Pro Bowl tight end has reached 50 receiving yards in 84.4% of his career games with at least four catches, thresholds that are very obtainable if our story proves accurate.
Same Game Parlay Pick: Ravens ML, Zay Flowers over 4.5 receptions, Mark Andrews over 3.5 receptions, Mark Andrews over 47.5 receiving yards (+850 at DraftKings)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tennessee Titans Odds
Bengals -144, Titans +130
Katz: The Titans are elite at stopping the run but terrible at stopping the pass. With that in mind, I’m taking one of my favorite player props of the week, applying some positive correlation, and attacking this pass defense while fading the run defense.
Same Game Parlay Pick: Joe Burrow 250+ passing yards, Joe Mixon under 52.5 rushing yards, Ja’Marr Chase 70+ receiving yards, Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown (+588 at FanDuel — +765 with the 30% profit boost)