Predictions for this Sunday’s Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs were thrown up in the air when Packers QB Aaron Rodgers tested positive for COVID-19 and was ruled out for the game. With the Packers set to go short-handed for the second straight week, let’s take a look at the current NFL odds, TV channel, how to live stream, as well as make a prediction for Packers vs. Chiefs in Week 9.
Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs prediction and odds | Week 9
- Spread: Chiefs -7
- Moneyline: Packers +260, Chiefs -335
- Over/Under: 48
- Odds from DraftKings sportsbook
After struggling in Week 1, the Packers have reeled off seven straight victories, while the Chiefs have limped to a 4-4 record this season. In addition to their seven-game winning streak, the Packers are winning convincingly (4-1-1 record against the spread as favorites), and they’re coming into the game with 10 days of rest.
Furthermore, they’ve also defied expectations as underdogs, covering the spread and winning the game both times. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven, with a push in Week 5 against the Bengals. However, all of these numbers go out the window with the news that Jordan Love will be starting for the Packers.
The Chiefs, meanwhile, have not fared as well against the spread this season. Favored in all eight games heading into this one, they are 2-6 against the spread, including failing to cover in each of their last two games. No team has been more difficult to make a prediction for this season than the Chiefs, and that is no different against the Packers.
In terms of the total, the lean is towards the under. Chiefs games have seen the under hit in three straight games and four of the last six. Meanwhile, the Packers have seen the under hit in six of eight games this season, including the last five.
Packers vs. Chiefs prediction
Losing Aaron Rodgers is an absolute hammer blow for the Packers’ chances in this game. With Rodgers, many predictions would have had the Packers overcoming the Chiefs. However, with Love, that changes the equation significantly in favor of Kansas City.
The Packers’ defense has been reasonably strong this season, not allowing more than 22 points since Week 3. That will make it tough for a Chiefs team whose defense has struggled against good offenses this year.
The Ravens, Chargers, Eagles, and Bills have all scored 30+ against the Chiefs this season. Moreover, the Titans eased off in a blowout, or they likely would’ve reached the 30-point threshold as well. Therefore, even with Love under center, the Packers may still feel confident they can push the Chiefs in this game.
After Chiefs fans were left celebrating the saving of their season on Monday night, this could have been a rude awakening. However, with Rodgers not starting for the Packers, the Chiefs have the potential to get a crucial victory. While this may feel like a stroke of luck for Kansas City, if they manage to lose this game, it could spark a real panic for the defending AFC champions.
Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 27, Green Bay Packers 20