PFSN wants to set you up to be a smarter fan to assist you with rooting for your team, playing fantasy football, or betting. Here are the most important stats, trends, notes, and insights for every NFL matchup in Week 11. We all know how time-consuming gathering all the information can be, which is why we’re doing the research for you so you don’t have to.
Bye Week Schedule
- Week 11: Colts, Saints
- Week 12: Broncos, Chargers, Commanders, Dolphins
New York Jets at New England Patriots (TNF)
New York Jets
Team: New York is looking for three straight wins for the first time since October 2023.
QB: Justin Fields recorded a 68.6 (D+) PFSN Quarterback Impact Score (QBi). It’s his fourth-lowest in eight games.
Offense: The Jets posted the worst PFSN Offense Impact score (OFFi) in Week 10 with a score of 59.6 (F).
Defense: The Jets posted their highest PFSN Defense Impact score (DEFi) of the season with an 82.4 (B-). It’s the third time in four games that New York’s defense has graded as a B-.
Fantasy: Justin Fields has failed to throw for 60 yards in three of his past four appearances and four times this season. As good as Garrett Wilson is, a team that didn’t have a single player catch multiple passes on Sunday doesn’t require us to start any pass catcher.
New England Patriots
Team: New England’s eight wins on the season match the total from the last two seasons combined.
QB: Drake Maye’s 75.6 (C) QBi in Week 10 against the Buccaneers was his second-lowest of the season.
Offense: The Patriots have scored 29.3 PPG during their seven-game winning streak.
Defense: New England leads the NFL in allowing 79.2 rush yards per game. Last season, the Patriots ranked 23rd, allowing 131.4 rush yards per game.
Fantasy: TreVeyon Henderson broke off a 55-yard touchdown against the Bucs: Rhamondre Stevenson has one 35+ yard touchdown rush during his NFL career.
Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins (Spain)
Washington Commanders
Team: Washington has only played one game in Europe, a 27-27 tie against Cincinnati in London during the 2016 season.
QB: Marcus Mariota has had a QBi grade of C or better in four of five games this season. His 79.3 (C+) against the Lions in Week 10 was his second-best score.
Offense: Washington didn’t turn over the ball in the loss to the Lions to snap a streak of seven straight games with a turnover.
Defense: The Commanders have allowed 35.8 PPG during their five-game losing streak. They allowed at least 25 first half points in three of the games.
Fantasy: Deebo Samuel scored the short touchdown, but this is an offense to avoid. He was unable to out-earn Treylon Burks and Robbie Chosen in a meaningful way, making everyone in this offense a tough sell once Terry McLaurin returns. Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the lead back in a name only: he only has two games with multiple receptions this year and isn’t featured enough to make the Derrick Henry profile work.
Miami Dolphins
Team: This is the Dolphins’ seventh game in Europe. They’ve played Germany (2023) and the United Kingdom (2021, 2017, 2015, 2014, 2007). Miami has only one win in six European games.
QB: Tua Tagovailoa has thrown multiple interceptions in four of ten games. He has 13 total on the season, one shy of the most he’s thrown in a full season.
Offense: Miami’s 81.5 (B-) Offense Impact score (OFFi) was their highest of the season.
Defense: The Dolphins posted a DEFi that ranked in the Top 10 two of the last three weeks.
Fantasy: De’Von Achane has earned at least five targets in six straight games and has a 45+ yard carry in three of his past five games. There is no one like Christian McCaffrey, but if there is an East Coast CMC, he resides in South Beach.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Team: The Bengals are looking for their first season sweep of the Steelers since 2021; it would be the fourth time since 1991.
QB: Joe Flacco has recorded a QBi grade of C or better in his four games with the Bengals. He had a D+ or worse in his final three games with the Browns.
Offense: The Bengals have scored 80 combined in the last two games and are 0-2.
Defense: Cincinnati has had a DEFi grade of D+ or worse in the last six games.
Fantasy: In four starts with Joe Flacco starting, Chase Brown has produced 3.1% over his PPR expectation (pre-Flacco this season: 31.1% under expectations).
Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: Pittsburgh has committed seven turnovers in the last four games, three of which were losses.
QB: Aaron Rodgers had a 66.4 (D) QBi score against the Chargers in Week 8. It was the eighth lowest out of 270 career games, including playoffs.
Offense: The Steelers have scored seven points or fewer in the first quarter for 59 straight games. The last game with ten first-quarter points was Week 1 in 2022.
Defense: Allowed 17.5 PPG in the second half of the last four games (1-3).
Fantasy: We are now a month removed from the last time DK Metcalf reached 60 receiving yards, and he’s been held without a deep reception (15+ air yards) in seven of nine contests this season. He was drafted as WR20 this season, but he has only had three top 25 finishes through 10 weeks.
Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
Team: Los Angeles has outscored their opponents 89-40 during its three-game winning streak.
QB: Justin Herbert had a QBi score of 72.6 (C-) against the Steelers in Week 10. It’s the second-worst score of the season.
Offense: Los Angeles did not turn the ball over in Week 10; the only other game without a turnover was the season opener against the Chiefs.
Defense: The Chargers have had a B or better DEFi grade in the last three games.
Fantasy: Ladd McConkey has scored 15+ PPR points in four of his past five games after opening the season with zero such performances in five straight.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: The Jaguars are entering a critical stretch to maintain their playoff hopes after losing a 19-point lead to the Texans. After hosting the Chargers, Jacksonville will play at Arizona and Tennessee.
QB: Trevor Lawrence has his best QBi score (78.4, C+) performance in Week 9. In Week 10 against the Texans, he had his third-worst score, 71.1 (C-), of the season. Two of his three lowest have been against Houston.
Offense: Travis Etienne has 656 rush yards and three rush touchdowns on 135 attempts. Last season, he had 98 fewer rushing yards and only two scores on 150 attempts. His RBi grade for 2025 is a B- compared to a D+ last season.
Defense: The Jaguars have had a D+ or worse DEFi grade in four of their last five games.
Fantasy: Travis Etienne scored for the first time since September last week and has 45 touches over the past two weeks (previous three games: 40 touches). The efficiency has been limited of late (3.7 yards per carry in November), but the volume is enough to feel fine about him being your RB2 moving forward.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team: Tampa Bay is 1-3 against teams currently in a playoff spot and now has a two-game road trip against two more such teams. After the trip to Buffalo, they travel to Los Angeles to face the Rams.
QB: Three of the four lowest QBi scores of the season have come in the last three games. He posted a 70.9 (C-) against the Patriots.
Offense: Tampa Bay’s OFFi grade has been D+ or worse in three of the last four games.
Defense: The Buccaneers defense has forced 11 turnovers in the last five games. Tampa Bay followed up the turnovers by scoring 33 total points.
Fantasy: Cade Otton set season highs on Sunday in catches (nine), targets (12), and receiving yards (82) in the loss to the Patriots. He’s not a perfect player, but he’s available, and that makes him a TE1 for our purposes, given Baker Mayfield’s high level of play.
Buffalo Bills
Team: The Bills’ chances of winning the AFC East for the sixth straight season decreased by 26.4% with the loss to the Dolphins. If the Bills win out, including against the Patriots in Week 15, they would still need New England to lose another game to secure the division title.
QB: Josh Allen has six turnovers in the Bills’ three losses and one turnover in the six wins.
Offense: Buffalo has scored 15.7 PPG in its three losses and 33.3 PPG in its six wins.
Defense: The Bills have allowed 224.3 rush yards per game in the three losses.
Fantasy: The 17-point loss in Miami was a terrible result in survivor pools and Buffalo’s seeding, but Josh Allen gave us a seventh straight game with multiple rush or multiple pass TDs.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
Team: Houston scored 26 points in the fourth quarter of Week 10 after scoring 28 total points in the previous eight quarters.
QB: Davis Mills was the third quarterback in the NFL this season to record a win while posting at least 275 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and one rushing touchdown.
Offense: The Texans have scored 14.4 PPG in five losses (33.0 PPG in four wins).
Defense: Danielle Hunter 3.5 sacks, four tackles for loss, and one forced fumble against the Jaguars. He had the second-best PFSN EDGE Impact score (89.1, B+) of Week 7.
Fantasy: Houston showed no hesitation in leaning into the pass game last week against the Jags, and fantasy managers were rewarded, even with Davis Mills under center. Nico Collins cleared 100 yards, and Dalton Schultz had the best PPR game of his season (7-53-1). The tight end has worked his way into the lineup lock tier by clearing 10 fantasy points in four of his past five games.
Tennessee Titans
Team: Coming off a Week 10 bye, Tennessee opens a three-game home stand against the Texans, Seahawks, and Jaguars.
QB: Cameron Ward has a Quarterback Index (QBi) ranking of 892nd out of 900 qualified quarterbacks since the year 2000. He ranks as the second-lowest QBi among rookies selected with the first overall pick. To provide context, Jared Goff holds the record for the lowest QBi among these qualified quarterbacks, with a score of 50.8 during his rookie season in 2016.
Offense: Tennessee has scored an NFL-low 11 touchdowns this season. The Titans have found the end zone five times on the ground, three times in the air, twice on defense, and on punt return.
Defense: In the first meeting with Houston, Tennessee allowed six points in the first three quarters before allowing 20 in the fourth quarter.
Fantasy: Tony Pollard’s next top-15 finish will be his first this season. The veteran back doesn’t have a 30-yard gain this season (138 touches) and is at serious risk of being out-produced by Tyjae Spears moving forward. If you can get away without starting a Titan, you’re fielding a more competitive team because of it.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
Team: The Bears have scored 30 total points in the fourth quarter the last two weeks. Chicago rallied to score the game-winning points in the final two minutes of both games.
QB: Caleb Williams ranks 16th with a 76.3 (C) QBi score after being 31st last season with a 69.4 (D+) QBi score.
Offense: The Bears rank 12th in OFFi after finishing 24th or worse the previous six seasons.
Defense: Bears have now accumulated 20 total takeaways this season, the most by any team in the NFL.
Fantasy: Caleb Williams has failed to complete even 60% of his passes in five of his past six starts, but thanks to his versatility, he’s cleared 19 fantasy points in three of five games since the bye. We saw the duality of Williams on display in the opener against these Vikings (24.2 points with 11.8 coming on the ground), and you should be able to count on viable production again this time around.
Minnesota Vikings
Team: The Vikings lost three of the last four games and now enter a stretch of three straight games against teams currently in a playoff spot. After Chicago, Minnesota plays at Green Bay and Seattle.
QB: J.J. McCarthy has committed seven turnovers (six interceptions, one fumble) in four games.
Offense: The Vikings have an OFFi score of 66.4 (D) this season. They achieved a grade of C- or higher in the first three seasons under Kevin O’Connell.
Defense: Minnesota has allowed 29.0 PPG in the last four games (1-3).
Fantasy: Justin Jefferson has failed to reach 50 receiving yards in three of four J.J. McCarthy starts, a concerning trend given that he is the future of the position in Minnesota. The struggles are enough to look elsewhere in DFS formats, but you’re not realistically changing anything in season-long formats.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
Team: The Panthers defeated the Falcons 30-0 in Week 2 for the team’s first shutout since 2020.
QB: Bryce Young ranks 32nd in QBi with a 62.8 (D-) score this season. He finished 34th and 32nd in his first two seasons.
Offense: The Panthers have scored 11.3 PPG in the last four games (2-2).
Defense: In Week 2, the closest the Falcons got to the end zone was the Panthers’ 31-yard line.
Fantasy: Despite the limitations of this offense, Rico Dowdle has five touchdowns in his past five games with 10+ touches. He averaged just 2.9 yards per carry against the Saints on Sunday, but with him accounting for 85.7% of the RB carries, his role (in fantasy and reality) is unquestioned.
Atlanta Falcons
Team: The Falcons have lost four straight games, including a one-point loss to the Patriots in Week 9 and an overtime loss to the Colts in Berlin in Week 10.
QB: Michael Penix Jr. scored his lowest QBi grade of the season, a 65.5 (D), against the Colts in Week 10.
Offense: Atlanta has graded in the Top 10 OFFi in two out of nine games.
Defense: The Falcons’ defense has 29 sacks, tied for 5th in the NFL.
Fantasy: Drake London has seen at least eight targets in six straight games and has cleared 100 receiving yards in four of his past five. His status as a WR1 is secure, and he is pushing toward first-round consideration in 2026. This run of involvement has come in the six games following the last meeting with these Panthers: you can operate with zero concerns this week when it comes to Atlanta’s WR1.
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
Team: The Packers finish with four of the final eight games against teams currently in a playoff spot. One of the other four includes a Week 17 home game against the Ravens.
QB: Jordan Love had his lowest QBi score (72.4, C-) of the season against the Eagles in Week 10.
Offense: Green Bay has scored 30 total points in three losses. The Packers have scored at least 27 points in the other six games.
Defense: Green Bay has allowed 39 points in three losses, with 32 of those points scored in the second half.
Fantasy: There was some hope that Luke Musgrave would be a waiver wire find after the Tucker Kraft injury, but in a week where WR1 Romeo Doubs missed time, the TE ranked sixth in targets against the Eagles. Kraft made the role work; the role didn’t make Kraft. There’s no need to bank on Musgrave as a weekly option moving forward.
New York Giants
Team: The Giants are on a four-game losing streak that began with a fourth-quarter collapse in Denver, where they led by 19 points.
QB: In the Week 10 loss to the Bears, Jaxson Dart QBi score was 79.9 (C+) while Russell Wilson recorded a 69.2 (D+).
Offense: New York’s OFFi score of 68.9 (D+) was the second-best in four seasons with Brian Daboll. In his first season, the Giants had a 73.8 (C) OFFi.
Defense: New York has allowed 18.6 PPG in the fourth quarter of the four games.
Fantasy: Against the Bears on Sunday, Theo Johnson became the first TE since Jonnu Smith (Week 12, 2024) to have six catches and 70 receiving yards in a first half.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
PFSN Playoff Predictor Chances to win NFC West
- Currently – Seahawks: 50.2% Rams: 42.1%
- If Seahawks win – Seahawks: 70.7% Rams: 21.5%
- If Rams win – Rams: 62.2% Seahawks: 30.2%
Seattle Seahawks
Team: Seattle has outscored its opponents in the last two games, 69-14, in the first half.
QB: Since Week 5, Sam Darnold has posted three of the top 12 QBi scores this season. His 90.9 (A-) score in Week 9 is the best by a quarterback this season.
Offense: The Seahawks have committed eight turnovers over their current four-game winning streak.
Defense: Seattle has held opponents to 16.8 PPG during the four-game winning streak.
Fantasy: Kenneth Walker III has hit double digits in rushing attempts in every game this season. He hasn’t scored since Week 3 and hasn’t hit double-digit fantasy points since Week 4. The Rams allow the fewest fantasy points per game to running backs.
Los Angeles Rams
Team: The Rams have two losses by a combined ten points. The first loss was against the Eagles, with the team trailing by one, Joshua Karty’s potential game-winning field goal blocked and returned for a touchdown. The other loss was at home to the 49ers in overtime.
QB: Matthew Stafford’s 83.7 (B) QBi score in Week 10 against the 49ers was a season-best.
Offense: Stafford leads the NFL with 25 touchdown passes. He has never finished a season as the league leader during his career.
Defense: Los Angeles’ opponents have turned the ball over on 15.6 % of drives this season (3rd highest in league). The Rams have forced 14 turnovers in nine games.
Fantasy: In an extreme positive game script, Puka Nacua’s snap share was around 50% for the second consecutive game. Excluding the game, he sprained his ankle; his 17.4 fantasy points represent his lowest output of the season.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
Team: The 49ers are entering a key five-week stretch when they play the Cardinals, Panthers, Browns, and, after a bye week, the Titans.
QB: Mac Jones had his second-best QBi score of the season against the Rams in Week 10. He achieved a grade of C+ with a score of 78.6.
Offense: Ricky Pearsall and Christian McCaffrey combined for 205 of the 288 receiving yards in the Week 3 win over the Cardinals.
Defense: The 49ers’ 65.8 (D) season DEFi is their lowest since 2018.
Fantasy: George Kittle has an absurd 87.5% catch rate on the season. Since Week 8, he’s seen a total of 18 targets and caught 17 of them. Last week was the fourth time in Kittle’s career that he’s had a 100% catch rate on at least eight targets.
Arizona Cardinals
Team: The Cardinals have lost six of seven games and will face the 49ers, Jaguars, Buccaneers, and Rams in the next four games.
QB: Jacoby Brissett has thrown eight touchdown passes and only one interception in 156 attempts this season. His 1.3% career interception percentage is the best in NFL history for any quarterback with at least 1,500 pass attempts. Brissett has 25 interceptions on 1,917 pass attempts.
Offense: Arizona posted its lowest OFFi (68.8, D+) of the season in the blowout loss to Seattle in Week 10.
Defense: The Cardinals’ 77.0 (C) DEFi score in Week 3 against the 49ers is their second-best score of the season, behind only the 81.3 (B-) score against the Cowboys in Week 9.
Fantasy: Even in a game that was never competitive, Jacoby Brissett still managed 19.4 fantasy points against the Cardinals last week. The Cardinals’ backup QB has now outscored Kyler Murray’s best effort this season in all four of his starts, throwing at least 250 yards and two touchdowns in each of them.
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
Team: With a win against the Browns, the Ravens’ chances to win the AFC North will jump to 45.6 % according to the PFSN Playoff Predictor. Baltimore has two games remaining with division leader Pittsburgh.
QB: Lamar Jackson has the 8th best QBi in the league with an 83.9 (B) score. He has graded at a C+ in Week 9 and a C in Week 10, the first two games after returning from injury.
Offense: Baltimore has had no turnovers in the last three games. The Ravens committed ten in the first six games.
Defense: The Ravens have held their opponents to 14.5 PPG over the last four games after allowing 35.4 PPG in the first five games.
Fantasy: Derrick Henry has finished as an RB1 just twice all season. At this point last year, Henry had posted at least 14.1 fantasy points in all but one game. This year, he’s failed to exceed that number in all but two games.
Cleveland Browns
Team: Cleveland has scored 17 points or fewer in seven of nine games.
QB: Dillon Gabriel has graded in QBi at a C- or lower in his five starts.
Offense: The Browns’ 54.6 OFFi score is the second-worst in the NFL since 2000, behind only the 2023 Jets.
Defense: The Browns’ DEFi score against the Jets in Week 10 was 93.2, the best for the week and second best in the league this season. Cleveland has two of the best four-game scores in 2025.
Fantasy: Jerry Jeudy had 19.8 fantasy points last week. That number is higher than his previous four games combined. The Ravens allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to wide receivers.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
Team: According to PFSN’s Playoff Predictor, the result of this game will determine if the Chiefs have any realistic chance of winning the AFC West. A win improves their chances to 20.2% and a loss drops them to 2.9% chance. Kansas City enters with a 59.6% chance of making the playoffs; a loss will decrease the number to 46.3%, and a win bumps it up to 72.0%.
QB: Patrick Mahomes has 13 of 14 games he’s played against the Broncos with 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His highest QBi against Denver is 79.0 (C), achieved twice: once in 2018 and once in 2019.
Offense: Kansas City had its lowest OFFi (71.7, C-) of the season in Week 9 against the Bills. That snapped a five-game streak of grading at a B- level or higher.
Defense: The Chiefs have allowed 27 points or more three times this year, all on the road, and have received a D+ or worse grade from DEFi.
Fantasy: Xavier Worthy has just a single game with more than 11.1 fantasy points all season. Since Rashee Rice returned, the sophomore speedster has given fantasy managers games of 7.8, 10.3, and 6.0. The Broncos allow the second fewest fantasy points per game to wide receivers.
Denver Broncos
Team: Denver heads to a bye on Week 11 before heading to the road for games in Washington and Las Vegas.
QB: Bo Nix’s 70.8 (C-) QBi score in Week 10 against the Raiders was his 25th out of 28 games, including the postseason.
Offense: The Broncos have committed four turnovers in the last two games after committing three in the previous five games.
Defense: Denver enters the game with the best DEFi (94.5, A) in the NFL. The Broncos have six games in which they have been in the top three in a week.
Fantasy: The last time Courtland Sutton out-targeted Troy Franklin was in Week 5. The sophomore has outproduced the veteran 13.2 PPG to 9.1 PPG over that span.
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit Lions
Team: Detroit’s OFFi Grade (91.0, A-) vs. Washington in Week 10 led the NFL and the 2nd-best OFFi in the NFL this season.
QB: Jared Goff recorded an 85.9 (B) QBi against the Commanders. It was the best in the NFL for Week 10 and Goff’s second-best score with the Lions.
Offense: Penei Sewell has climbed into the No. 1 spot for offensive tackles after his performance this weekend for Detroit. He currently owns 2 of our top-4 graded seasons at RT (2023 and 2025) as well as 3 of the top-10 graded seasons at RT (2022, 2023, 2025).
Defense: In Week 10, Aidan Hutchinson had his second-lowest EDGEi score of the season with a 66 (D). He had a 64.5 (D) in the season opener against the Packers.
Fantasy: Last season, through 10 weeks, David Montgomery scored a touchdown in all but two games. This year, through 10 weeks, Montgomery has scored a touchdown in just four games. Last week was the first time all season Montgomery hit double-digit fantasy points without a touchdown and it took him getting carries in the fourth quarter of a blowout to get there.
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: The Eagles are 6-1 in one-score games. The only loss was in Week 5 to the Broncos, who scored 18 in the fourth quarter to win 21-17.
QB: Jalen Hurts has not scored a rushing touchdown in his last three games as a starter. The only time he went four straight games without one was in 2021.
Offense: The Eagles registered a 67.9 (D+) OFFi against the Packers in Week 10. Including playoffs, it ranks 81st out of 84 games under Nick Sirianni.
Defense: Philadelphia’s 82.0 (B-) DEFi score was the team’s second-best of the season. They are 14th in the league on the season.
Fantasy: Before Monday night’s snooze fest, Jalen Hurts had scored at least 19 fantasy points in six consecutive games. The Lions are one of the league’s premier pass funnel defenses.
Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders
Dallas Cowboys
Team: After playing the Raiders, the Cowboys host the Eagles and Chiefs before playing in Detroit. The three games will be played over 12 days.
QB: Dak Prescott rated 28th out of 29th among all qualified quarterbacks in Week 9 against the Cardinals. He recorded a QBi score of 69.9 (D+).
Offense: Dallas had its worst OFFi score (71.1, C-) of the season in Week 9.
Defense: New Cowboys DT Quinnen Williams is 10th (72.7, B-) in Defensive Tackle Impact Rankings. Osa Odighizuwa and Kenny Clark rank 24th and 38th in DTi, respectively.
Fantasy: In three games without CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens averaged 26.3 PPG. In six games with Lamb, Pickens is averaging 13.7 PPG. Still a solid WR2, and the Raiders allow the sixth most fantasy points per game to wide receivers.
Las Vegas Raiders
Team: Las Vegas has scored nine points or fewer four times in nine games.
QB: Geno Smith had his best QBI grade (84.3, B) of the season in Week 9 against the Jaguars. In week 10 against the Broncos, he had his second-worst.
Offense: The Raiders have committed at least one turnover in eight of nine games. They have 14 turnovers on the season.
Defense: The Raiders’ 69.8 DEFi is the second-lowest score by a team with Pete Carroll as head coach over his last 15 seasons.
Fantasy: The Raiders have played three teams that rank in the bottom 10 at defending the run. In those games, Ashton Jeanty is averaging 18.8 PPG. The Cowboys will make it four in a row this week.
