When you are looking at the respective strengths of the AFC and NFC, arguably the best picture is painted by the early NFL MVP odds for 2024. The AFC has the top six in terms of odds and 10 of the top 15 overall, as it stands in early February.
That has made for an interesting situation where whoever ends up clinching the No. 1 seed in the AFC could put their QB on the path to MVP. That is what we saw this year with Lamar Jackson, but can the Baltimore Ravens QB back it up in 2024 and win his third MVP award?
Let’s take a look at the current NFL MVP betting odds for 2024 and highlight some of the more intriguing names and values.
What Are the Early NFL MVP Odds for 2024?
Odds are from FanDuel sportsbook and correct as of Feb. 15. When considering placing wagers on MVP odds, be sure to shore around as some players have wide variations across sportsbooks.
- Patrick Mahomes +600
- Josh Allen +700
- Joe Burrow +1000
- C.J. Stroud +1100
- Lamar Jackson +1200
- Justin Herbert +1300
- Jordan Love +1400
- Brock Purdy +1600
- Jalen Hurts +1600
- Dak Prescott +1600
- Matthew Stafford +2000
- Tua Tagovailoa +2500
- Aaron Rodgers +2500
- Trevor Lawrence +2500
- Anthony Richardson +3000
- Kirk Cousins +4000
- Christian McCaffrey +10000
- Top WR: Tyreek Hill and Justin Jefferson +10000
- Top Rookie: Caleb Williams and Drake Maye +15000
Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, Jalen Hurts, and Anthony Richardson Among the Most Intriguing Names
It is no real surprise to see Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Joe Burrow near the top, but to see all three of them and C.J. Stroud ahead of Jackson is a little shocking. Jackson’s numbers may not have been as impressive as in his first MVP season in terms of touchdowns, but he still nearly ended up as a consensus MVP pick.
These odds would suggest that the sportsbooks feel as though Jackson partly won the award because others failed to impress this season. That feels a little harsh, given Jackson is on a Ravens team that we fully expect to be competitive in the AFC North and in contention for 10 to 15 wins again this season.
MORE: Way Too Early 2024 NFL Power Rankings
The Ravens were incredibly dominant in the regular season this year, and while it is hard to repeat almost historic-level numbers again, these odds do represent a solid value for the reigning MVP.
Jordan Love heading up the NFC MVP candidates surprised me somewhat when I first saw it. However, as I considered the way he progressed this season, it started to make a lot of sense. Of the top-level QBs in the NFC, Love is the one with the potential to make the biggest leap in his second full season under center.
However, at this stage, there is not a huge amount of value in his odds on any of the major sportsbooks. If he drops into the +2000 region, then he becomes a more interesting candidate. Love may be a player you end up waiting on a bad week or two from and then grabbing in the hope that progression happens again.
Instead, for me, the best value QB in the NFC is Jalen Hurts. Hurts’ per-game numbers were a little down in 2023, but other than a huge rise in interceptions, there are not many red flags. His passing touchdown and yardage numbers were solid, and with Hurts, you will likely get those rushing numbers to back it up.
At +1600, there is value in betting Hurts in what should be a bounce-back season for the Eagles. They had a tough time last season as they adapted to losing both coordinators after the Super Bowl.
However, we are still talking about a team that was 10-1 entering December. At that point, Hurts was very much on pace to potentially win the MVP award.
My favorite of the “longer shots” at QB is Anthony Richardson, who you can get at +4000 odds on DraftKings. There is no doubt that he is going to have to learn a little ring craft when it comes to protecting himself, but when he was on the field, he was electric.
The passing numbers were not overly pretty, but we are talking about four games in his rookie season. Stroud’s four-game numbers were not that great, but he had the chance to progress. Richardson’s style naturally draws comparison to that of Cam Newton and Jackson, where his value will always be boosted by the electric plays he can make with his legs.
KEEP READING: Super Bowl 59 Odds
If you are looking for an early long shot to put a unit or two on, then Richardson is my highest-ceiling play at this point.
Our Betting Lines page has the freshest lines and promos to get BANG for your buck. PFN’s FREE Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator are also available for your betting process! New to sports betting? Check out our guide on How to Bet on the NFL. Visit our Sports Betting Legal Tracker on how to bet legally in the U.S.