Lions vs. Saints Prediction, Picks, Odds Today: Can Jared Goff and Derek Carr Get Their Teams Back on Track?

The Lions vs. Saints matchup features two teams coming off disappointing losses in Week 12. We'll break down the matchup and give you a best-bet prediction.

While the Detroit Lions remain very much in the NFC playoff picture, the New Orleans Saints’ playoff chances took a hit with last week’s loss to the Atlanta Falcons. We’ll let you know if you can expect New Orleans to get back to its winning ways at home this weekend.

Lions vs. Saints Betting Lines, Start Time, and More

All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Spread: Lions -5
  • Moneyline: Lions (-225), Saints (+185)
  • Over/Under: 46.5
  • Game time: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Caesars Superdome
  • Channel: FOX

Lions vs. Saints Prediction

The Lions suffered a setback on Thanksgiving in their loss to the rival Green Bay Packers. But the good news for Detroit fans is that they have had a lot of extra time to rest, and that has traditionally — at least in recent tradition — been a good sign for the Lions’ offense.

MORE: PFN’s FREE NFL Playoff Predictor

Detroit is 3-1 in its last four games when having nine or more days of rest, and the offense is averaging nearly 40 points a game in this spot — 38.5 PPG. On top of that, the Saints are 1-3 over the last two seasons when facing a team that has had nine or more days of rest.

As a team, the Lions are looking for redemption. But individually, Detroit quarterback Jared Goff will be trying to atone for his disappointing performance on Thanksgiving. Goff, who hadn’t lost a fumble all season before the Packers’ game, lost not one, not two, but a career-high three fumbles in the loss.

Goff has fared well on the road though this season. Along with leading Detroit to a 4-1 record away from Ford Field, Goff has a passer rating of 93.9 on the road, his highest mark on the road since 2017.

The Saints’ defense has been hard to figure. While they are ninth in the league in scoring defense, allowing 20.2 points per game, they are also allowing 24.3 PPG and 358.3 total YPG since Week 6, each of which ranks 27th in the NFL over that span.

Derek Carr will look to get the Saints’ offense going again, but Carr hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass in two straight games, and he is one of two quarterbacks this season who have at least 350 pass attempts and 10 or fewer touchdown passes. The other quarterback is the NFL’s No. 1 overall pick, Bryce Young.

The Lions’ biggest injury issue is linebacker Alex Anzalone, who is expected to miss a few games with a hand injury.

MORE: NFL Team Over/Under Standings

The Saints’ injury issues are more problematic. Wide receiver Chris Olave is questionable as he recovers from a concussion, but he did have a full practice on Friday, so he could make it back to the field for Sunday.

Defensively, the Saints could be without three starters in EDGE Cam Jordan (ankle), linebacker Pete Werner (shoulder/oblique), and safety Marcus Maye (shoulder). Werner and Maye have already been ruled out, while Jordan is questionable.

Detroit is 3-0 against the spread this season as a road favorite and 4-1 ATS on the road overall. Meanwhile, New Orleans has yet to cover a spread in six games against the NFC this season (0-5-1).

The Lions don’t appear to take losses very well. In the two games that have followed losses, Detroit is 2-0, winning each game by double digits. The Lions will be rested and probably angry, not a good combination for the Saints to face this week with their already-existent issues on offense.

Take the well-rested Lions and their road success to cover this one.

Best Bet: Lions -5 (-112 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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