As we inch toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy football values constantly on the move. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty value of Kendre Miller.
Kendre Miller’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
Miller is a very difficult player to evaluate because, as an analyst, you can kind of see what you want to see. I can very easily paint a picture as to why Miller is undervalued and why he will likely fail. The answer, of course, lies somewhere in the middle.
Miller spent just three years at TCU. Early-declare status matters more for wide receivers, but we definitely like that he was good enough to declare for the NFL Draft and receive Day 2 draft capital while forgoing his senior season.
In college, Miller’s production profile is … interesting. He broke out as a sophomore, running for 623 yards and eight touchdowns on 83 carries in 10 games. As a junior, he carried the ball 224 times for 1,399 yards and 17 touchdowns.
Miller profiles as a two-down back at the NFL level. His best target share was just 5.1%. That doesn’t preclude him from developing that skill, but he doesn’t have it yet. Additionally, Miller is unlikely to see much in the way of receiving work, given his landing spot.
With that said, the landing spot isn’t as bad as it may look on the surface. Obviously, if Miller is trapped behind Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams, he’s not going to get much in the way of opportunities. However, there are a couple of paths to Miller breaking through.
There’s the injury path. If either Kamara or Williams were to get hurt, that would elevate Miller into what should be at least a 40% snap share role.
There’s also the path where Miller simply outplays Williams. While Williams is one of the most fun, likable players in the NFL, he’s also a pure two-down grinder and a replacement-level runner. Miller is younger, faster, and more explosive. He could earn that RB2 role.
We also have Kamara’s looming suspension. He could very well miss the first six games of the 2023 season, which would likely give Miller an extended showcase. If he plays well, the Saints would have little reason to thrust him back into obscurity upon Kamara’s return.
Most important, though, for dynasty purposes, is the ages of Kamara and Williams. They are both 28 years old. Kamara, in particular, looked like he was starting to decline last season.
Even if Miller doesn’t do much as a rookie, he has a very plausible path to a prominent committee role in 2024. At the very least, he should have RB3 value by next year.
Kendre Miller’s Fantasy Ranking
Round 3 running backs are a mixed bunch. Recent history has not been kind. Of the seven backs drafted in the third round since 2020, five of them are completely irrelevant for fantasy. The two that at least semi-hit are Rachaad White and Brian Robinson. If Miller ends up as valuable as Robinson is now, that would be pretty good.
The good news is Miller is just 21 years old. He has many improvements he can make, as well as the time to do so.
Miller currently checks in as the 2.01 in our latest Superflex dynasty rookie rankings. At the right price, he’s worth taking a shot on in dynasty startup drafts.
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