Joe Burrow’s Dynasty Value | Fantasy Outlook, Ranking, and More

Following a down 2023-2024 NFL season, should dynasty managers be concerned about Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow's long-term value?

There’s never a dull moment when it comes to the NFL. The games may be over, but fantasy football values are constantly shifting. Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow is coming off a lost season but remains one of the most talented passers in the league. Where does his dynasty value stand heading into the 2024 offseason?

Joe Burrow’s Dynasty Outlook

Let’s first dispense with any concerns about Burrow’s talent. Yes, he was a total disaster for fantasy managers last season. He averaged 15.3 fantasy points per game. No elite fantasy QB ever has a season that bad. It’s frustrating. I get it.

However, we all know what happened with Burrow. He was very clearly not over his strained calf when the season started. Before the year started, Ja’Marr Chase even said he wanted Burrow to sit out the first few weeks if he wasn’t healthy and make sure he was good for the rest of the season.

Burrow played through his calf injury, and while he didn’t necessarily aggravate it, the results for fantasy were downright appalling as his best game over the first month of the season was 16.4 fantasy points. That was also his only game in double digits.

In Week 5, Burrow started to get healthy and was looking like himself again. He scored 20+ fantasy points in four of his next five games. Then, while on pace for yet another high-QB1 finish, Burrow tore a ligament in his wrist against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 11, ending his season.

Burrow is definitely not in the mold of the modern fantasy QB1. Just about every modern quarterback has some level of mobility. Burrow is not a statue like former QBs Philip Rivers or Tom Brady, but if you look at the 2022 QB1s, he’s the only guy in the top nine with such minimal rushing numbers.

MORE: Dynasty Consensus Rankings

Burrow averaged 20.5 fantasy points per game in 2021 and 21.7 points per game in 2022. For him to get to those numbers, he had to throw 34 and 36 touchdowns. If he has any hope of ever having a season of 24+ points per game, he will likely need to push 5,000 passing yards and 40 touchdowns.

Now, to be fair, I do think Burrow has that type of season in him, but it’s not going to be an annual thing. Burrow himself is an elite quarterback. But to compete with the likes of Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen, Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts, and Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, he is always going to have to do more because of their immense rushing prowess.

Burrow’s Dynasty Ranking

Jason Katz’s Top 15 Dynasty QB Rankings

1) Patrick Mahomes | KC
2) Josh Allen | BUF
3) Jalen Hurts | PHI
4) Lamar Jackson | BAL
5) Joe Burrow | CIN
6) C.J. Stroud | HOU
7) Justin Herbert | LAC
8) Dak Prescott | DAL
9) Anthony Richardson | IND
10) Kyler Murray | ARI
11) Brock Purdy | SF
12) Tua Tagovailoa | MIA
13) Trevor Lawrence | JAX
14) Justin Fields | CHI
15) Jordan Love | GB

Should You Trade Burrow in Dynasty?

Are you considering trading Burrow? Our PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trades to make in seconds!

Having a locked-in elite QB1 in dynasty is extremely beneficial for your team. In redraft leagues, you can often figure out a quarterback along the way. In dynasty, it’s such a relief when you know you have a position set for quite literally a decade-plus.

Burrow is 27 years old. He’s likely going to play at least another 10 years and can easily play another 15 if he wants to and his body allows him. We’ve also seen traditional pocket passers who are at the top of the game excel well into their late 30s. Burrow is going to qualify as one of those elite quarterbacks.

It could be tempting to trade Burrow for the likes of Allen or Jackson. If you did that, I certainly can’t fault you. Allen is likely going to be the overall QB1 every year for the next five of them, and Jackson should outscore Burrow more often than not. But you will have to replace those guys far sooner than Burrow.

With Burrow, you have your long-term answer at quarterback, making it a position you don’t even need to think about. The goal of every dynasty manager at every position is to find that guy who is there until he’s not good anymore.

When you find that guy, there’s no reason to trade him. Never dismiss the notion of a trade if the deal is good, but there’s no reason to be looking to move Burrow.

With the fantasy football season behind us, why not start preparing for your rookie drafts with our dynasty rookie rankings? Additionally, as you look to improve your team heading into 2024, our dynasty trade calculator can help you find the perfect deal to boost your championship chances.

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