Tua Tagovailoa Fantasy Hub: Week 1 Injury Update, Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice, Points Projection, and Weather Impact

Here's this week's fantasy football outlook for Tua Tagovailoa, including injury updates, start-sit advice, points projection, and weather impact.

The Miami Dolphins will travel to take on the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, specifically regarding QB Tua Tagovailoa.

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Is Tua Tagovailoa Playing in Week 1?

Tagovailoa is not listed on the injury report this week, so barring any setbacks, he will play.

We’ll continue to monitor the Dolphins’ injury report leading up to kickoff for any changes. You can also visit and bookmark our Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.

Should You Start or Sit Tua Tagovailoa in Week 1?

The Colts don’t scare me on the defensive side of the ball, and a healthy Tua Tagovailoa, in theory, does. The knock on this Miami offense has nothing to do with the talent on their roster and everything to do with who is available for kickoff.

So, yes, I am intrigued by the idea of rolling out as many Dolphins as possible now, while they are still available. In a DFS setting, I don’t mind the move. This game is on a fast track and could be a sneaky shootout, but counting on that in a season-long setting, with no teams on a bye, is a step too far for me.

The quick-strike Miami attack can look unstoppable at times, though it tends to thrive more against aggressive defenses.

Tagovailoa’s career splits

  • vs. blitz: 109.9 passer rating (5th) with an 8.2% TD rate (5th)
  • otherwise: 94.5 passer rating (16th) with a 4% TD rate (21st)

Be it a lack of talent, personnel, or any other narrative you want to build, the Colts have shown no intention of bringing the heat. Since parting ways with Chuck Pagano after the 2017 season, Indy has ranked 26th or lower in blitz rate for every subsequent season.

Could we get an efficient version of Tagovailoa? It’s possible, if not likely, but that doesn’t mean he pays off significantly. From Weeks 8-10 last season, he completed a league-high 77.7% of his passes and made every right read.

From Weeks 8-10 last season, he was QB18 in total points, scoring fewer than Trevor Lawrence despite playing one more game.

Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Week 1 Fantasy Football Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em article.

Tua Tagovailoa’s Fantasy Points Projection in Week 1

Tagovailoa is projected to score 13.4 points in PPR formats. This includes 199.5 passing yards, 1.3 passing touchdowns, 4.7 rushing yards, and 0 rushing touchdowns.

Check out the free PFSN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.

Week 1 Weather Impact: Dolphins at Colts

Since the Colts play in a dome, there is no weather impact for this Week 1 matchup. Temperatures will be a comfortable 72 degrees Fahrenheit with no wind.

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