The Las Vegas Raiders will look very different in 2025. They have a new head coach, a new running back, and a new wide receiver in rookie second-rounder Jack Bech. With no clear starter behind Jakobi Meyers, Bech has an excellent opportunity to claim the WR2 role. If he does, could he be a value in fantasy football drafts?
Jack Bech Fantasy Outlook
There is an incoming change in the Raiders’ offensive approach. Under former head coach Antonio Pierce, they wanted to be a run-first team. Unfortunately, their lack of talent prevented this from being the case. As a result, they wound up throwing the ball 58% of the time in neutral game script, the sixth-highest rate in the league.
It is interesting that in Carroll’s final two years in Seattle, the Seahawks actually were near the top of the league in neutral game script pass rate. However, that was more by force than by choice. If we go back to prime Russell Wilson years like 2018 and 2019, the Seahawks were last (46%) and third-to-last (50%) in neutral game script pass rate.
I’m working on rookie profiles for CBS and this Jack Bech stat that I just found blew my mind:
He only had three career games with a target share above 25%‼️ pic.twitter.com/Lu8sA8ojBg
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) June 5, 2025
Perhaps the more critical analysis looks at the team from 2010 to 2015. Those were Carroll’s first six seasons with the Seahawks. Most relevant is the fact that this was the Marshawn Lynch era.
During this timeframe, the Seahawks had a 48% neutral game script run rate, the second highest in the league. The clear takeaway is that if you give Carroll a workhorse running back, he wants to use him. He has that in the team’s No. 6 overall selection, Ashton Jeanty.
I am bringing all of this up because it relates to how Bech might be able to earn targets. If the Raiders go more run-heavy, that means fewer pass attempts.
Bech may have a good shot at earning the WR2 role, as his primary competition is Tre Tucker and fellow rookie, fourth-round selection Dont’e Thornton Jr. However, neither will challenge Brock Bowers or Meyers as the top two options in this passing game.
Is there room for a third pass catcher who can reasonably get to at least 10 fantasy points per game? I’m not so sure.
Adding to the concern with Bech is that Thornton has been running with the first team in training camp. Seeing a later drafted rookie overtake an earlier one is not unprecedented, especially considering that Bech’s draft capital isn’t much more significant than Thornton’s.
Plus, Bech hails from TCU. While this is not the be-all/end-all, TCU has not produced a high-caliber NFL wide receiver. They have, however, made multiple first-round busts, including most notably Jalen Reagor and Josh Doctson. Quentin Johnston is also trending in that direction.
MORE: Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Bech currently has a WR60 ADP. He would cost you the final skill position spot on your roster if you want to take him. There’s no real risk. Even so, if all signs point to him not winning that WR2 job out of camp, there’s no reason even to throw the dart. You can always pick Bech up if he shows signs of life during the season.
I have Bech ranked as my WR67, which is reasonably close to the consensus. However, at that point in the draft, I’m throwing darts at higher upside players and running backs. Bech is not someone who is on my radar.
Mason LeBeau‘s Jack Bech Fantasy Projection
Jack Bech was an interesting prospect in this year’s draft and fell to a good situation with the Raiders. The team needed a WR2, so this has been something I’ve kept up with, making sure to monitor the camp reports to see if he could be a potential fantasy flier.
Those reports have not been kind to Bech. I’m more than willing to wait it out on young receivers as they settle into the offense and earn the trust of their QB, but Bech has been surpassed by fellow rookie, fourth-round pick Dont’e Thornton Jr. That puts him behind Thornton and Tre Tucker on the depth chart, let alone the pecking order with TE Brock Bowers and WR Jakobi Meyers above them.
I had some excitement about Bech, but it seems like he’ll need another off-season in the oven before he becomes a fantasy option. Keep an eye on the underlying metrics here. I’d want a piece of this Raiders offense, but it may be a pretty straightforward target share.
