The Atlanta Falcons’ backfield presents one of fantasy football’s most intriguing storylines heading into 2025. Bijan Robinson has emerged as the consensus top running back despite some concerning efficiency metrics that raise questions about his explosive play potential. Meanwhile, his backup, Tyler Allgeier, sits in fantasy football limbo as an expensive handcuff with limited standalone value.
Understanding this dynamic duo’s outlook could make or break your fantasy football draft strategy this season.
Bijan Robinson Fantasy Outlook
Robinson appears to be the favorite to be crowned RB1 in 2025, despite ranking third at the position in fantasy points per game last season. The Falcons running back makes the step up from RB2 in ADP, replacing Christian McCaffrey after the 49ers star’s injury troubles last season.
A lack of explosive plays held Robinson back in 2024, and there is room for concern heading into his third year in the league. The Falcons star averaged 4.8 yards per carry last season, a full yard per attempt behind Saquon Barkley, 1.1 yards per attempt behind Derrick Henry, and 0.8 yards per attempt behind Jahmyr Gibbs.
I think Bijan Robinson MIGHT have the sickest highlight clips in the NFL.
I can’t wait for Week 1 to get here. Until then, enjoy the show 🎥 ⬇️
Let’s start with this one-handed catch and TD, my lord. What a special player.pic.twitter.com/W8ywzBXkjt
— PPRFantasyTips (@PPRFantasyTips) August 24, 2025
Robinson’s lack of explosiveness last year, compared to his elite rivals, is perhaps better highlighted by the fact that his longest run of the season was 37 yards. Barkley, Gibbs, and Henry produced runs of 72, 70, and 87 yards, respectively, leaving Robinson way behind.
It was the same story in the passing game, too. Robinson tallied more targets (72) than his rivals, but his average yards per reception fell short of all three players again. Barkley, Gibbs, and Henry averaged 8.4, 9.9, and 10.2 yards per reception last season, while Robinson averaged just 7.1. He remains in the mix for RB1 this season, but he needs to produce more explosive plays if he is to take a leap in Year 3.
— Cameron Sheath, Fantasy Football Analyst
Tyler Allgeier Fantasy Outlook
If Allgeier proves to be a good fantasy asset in 2025, it’s likely bad news for fantasy football. The former BYU star is now a fully-fledged handcuff, with Bijan Robinson the every-down back in Atlanta.
Allgeier’s snap share topped 30% on just four occasions in 2024. He tallied five carries from inside the opposition’s 5-yard line, while Robinson had 14 — a worrying stat for the team’s supposed power runner. Unless Robinson misses time, Allgeier will likely be redundant. He will definitely have some plays and some touchdowns, but playing whack-a-mole with that production won’t be fun.
At RB53, Allgeier is more expensive than several other handcuffs in fantasy this year. Blake Corum, Jaylen Wright, and Will Shipley are all being drafted rounds later and are no less valuable than the Falcons’ backup.
Allgeier is an understandable pick for those who drafted Robinson early, but there are far more exciting picks here.
— Cameron Sheath, Fantasy Football Analyst
