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Buy Low, Sell High: Fantasy trade targets for Week 7

uy Low, Sell High: Fantasy trade targets for Week 7
FOXBOROUGH, MA - OCTOBER 18: Drew Lock #3 of the Denver Broncos throws in the first half against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on October 18, 2020 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. (Photo by Kathryn Riley/Getty Images)

The opportunities to make rapid improvements to your fantasy football roster are slowly ebbing away. At this point in the season, you should know whether your team is a contender or a pretender. If your fantasy team is in contention entering Week 7, then identifying trade targets is crucial, be they a player to buy low on for the playoff run or a sell high to increase the depth on your roster elsewhere. Let’s take a look at eight such names whose values could be at their peaks or troughs entering Week 7.

Who are some fantasy football buy-low Week 7 trade targets?

QB:  Drew Lock, Denver Broncos

It is too early to be counting out Drew Lock for the 2020 NFL season. Lock drew a tough first matchup on Monday Night Football and then has been hampered by injuries ever since. His performance against the New England Patriots does not raise confidence, but that defense is one of the toughest around.

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In the first five games, the Broncos have failed to get any traction in their run game, and, if that continues, then Lock should get plenty of opportunities. Despite losing Courtland Sutton, he still has a lot of solid weapons in Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick, and the returning Noah Fant. The arrival of Albert Okwuegbunam in Week 6 was an exciting glimpse of the future.

Through his first two and a little bit games, Lock has a Fantasy Points Differential of -50%, suggesting the opportunities are there for success when he gets healthy. Matchups with the Chiefs, Falcons, Raiders, and Saints defenses in the coming weeks should provide Lock with an opportunity to put up plenty of points. Buy low now while the price in rock bottom heading into Week 7.

RB: Frank Gore, New York Jets

I cannot believe I am really saying this, but Frank Gore is an interesting fantasy trade target heading into Week 7. Even in a losing effort, Gore carried the ball 11 times, which was more than La’Mical Perine and Ty Johnson combined. However, more excitingly, Gore also saw four targets, suggesting he is part of the passing game in New York.

The uncertainty of Adam Gase’s future puts this as a risky option, but the belief in Gore is likely so low right now you can get him a throw-in in a trade entering Week 7, making him an ultimate buy low type player. Opportunity is king in fantasy football, and right now, Gore appears to have the opportunity in New York. The fact he looked good on a couple of runs does not hurt either.

WR: Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos

All the right signs are there for Jerry Jeudy to have success in 2020, and that makes the rookie receiver an interesting player to buy low on. Heading into New England, a potential matchup with Stephon Gilmore was always going to be tough, and Jeudy returned just two receptions for 32 yards. However, another five targets to take him to 33 on the season is extremely promising.

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So far this season, Jeudy has a -13% Fantasy Points Differential with his expected fantasy points averaging just over 11 points per game in PPR formats. What makes Jeudy such an interesting trade target for fantasy leagues entering Week 7 is that largely he has been playing without his quarterback, Lock, healthy. With Lock back under center and some soft games coming up not he slate, Jeudy could be a fascinating player to buy low on entering Week 7, given how high his ceiling could be.

TE: Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles

Chances are that entering Week 7, you are looking to buy low or sell high because you need an immediate impact. Ertz may be more a patient opportunity to buy low, but entering Week 7, he is certainly a savvy fantasy trade target. The Eagles tight end has struggled the last three games, totaling just 15.8 PPR-fantasy points in that span. Throw on top a reported high-ankle sprain that will cost him a month of game time, and Ertz value is at rock bottom.

However, the opportunity is there to buy low on Ertz ahead of Week 7. 10 targets in Week 6 demonstrate the Eagles know they need to keep forcing the ball to him. Additionally, he has never seen less than five targets this season. On top of all of that, the Eagles should be seeing other pass catchers returning soon, meaning that teams should give less attention to Ertz in the weeks following his return. If your team looks set for a playoff run, then spending minimal assets to buy low on Ertz in Week 7 could reap huge rewards down the stretch.

Which potential trade targets should we be looking to sell high on?

QB: Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers

If someone in your league is excited by the performance of Garoppolo in Week 6, then looking to sell is probably a wise idea. A three-touchdown, 268-yard performance against the Los Angeles Rams is nothing to be sniffed at, but the sustainability of that is questionable.

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Through the first part of the season, Garoppolo’s Fantasy Points Differential is 26%, meaning that he outperforming his expected fantasy points by more than a quarter. When you combine that with Garoppolo relying heavily on yards after the catch to build up fantasy points, there is reason to be concerned. Garoppolo is a serviceable fantasy QB, but if someone in your league is willing to pay a top-10 QB price, then now is a good time to sell.

RB: D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions

What a breakout game it was for Swift in Week 6 against the Jacksonville Jaguars, but rather than celebrating, fantasy owners should be looking for an opportunity to sell high entering Week 7. Of his 68.9 fantasy points in PPR so far, 27.3 came in Week 6. Sure there have been signs, such as the double-digit returns in Weeks 1, 2 & 4, but there is plenty to be cautious about. This is one of those fascinating cases where a player that was arguably a buy low just a week ago is now a sell high entering Week 7 following one breakout performance.

Adrian Peterson is still looming large as a threat, while Kerryon Johnson lurks in the shadows. Combine that competition with Swift’s 43% Fantasy Points Differential, and the question of whether he can keep producing with this efficiency is more than warranted. If someone in your league was high on Swift coming in, see what he is willing to pay now for the rookie running back.

WR: Travis Fulgham, Philadelphia Eagles

It is hard not to make a case that the completely unknown receiver just three weeks ago should not be a player to sell high on entering Week 7. Fulgham has made the most of his opportunities without the likes of DeSean Jackson, Alshon Jeffrey, Dallas Goedert, and Jalen Reagor. However, with all four of them due back over the next month or so, Fulgham could be about to see his opportunities (23 targets the last two weeks) fall off a cliff.

Related | Can Mecole Hardman or Demarcus Robinson be started in fantasy football?

Enter Week 7, Fulgham will make an appealing trade target for fantasy simply because of volume. However, next week he could be the focus on so-far lockdown cornerback James Bradberry, who has so far allowed just a 56.7% completion rate and 35.67 yards per game on average. Combine that with an extremely efficient 43% Fantasy Points Differential and all signs point to now being the time to try and sell someone on Fulgham as the next big thing at the position.

TE: T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions

Trying to find tight ends to sell high and buy low on are extremely tough, and entering Week 7, the narrative around these guys is really rough. Take Hockenson, for example, who has two touchdowns in his last two games. However, those touchdowns have come despite just four combined catches and 26 combined yards.

Now savvy fantasy football GMs are running screaming from that, but others look at those touchdowns and think, “red zone target.” Being a red zone target as a tight end and that potential of a bumper six-point play is huge. However, with a Fantasy Points Differential of 30%, all signs are screaming to sell on Hockenson after two games with touchdowns.

More fantasy football coverage at Pro Football Network

Be sure to follow us on Twitter: @PFN365 to stay up to date with all things around the NFL and the 2020 fantasy football season. Also, continue to visit Pro Football Network for NFL news and in-depth analysis while also visiting our fantasy football section for more coverage and up-to-date rankings.

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