The Philadelphia Eagles had the fourth-highest scoring offense over the past three seasons, and Dallas Goedert’s dynasty value has been steady as a result. Can you continue to trust the veteran tight end as he approaches 30 years of age?
Dallas Goedert’s Dynasty Outlook
Goedert has been a reasonably consistent option at a position that is difficult to fill, as he is one of six tight ends to haul in at least 55 passes in each of the past three seasons.
While the annual floor has been stable, the next time he catches 60 passes or scores six times in a season will be his first.
Goedert is entering his age-29 season, making him more of a win-now option in dynasty formats given the influx of high-end young talent at the tight end position. Of course, to be viable at all, he is going to have to remain on the field, something that typically gets more difficult with age.
He has missed multiple games in each of the past four seasons, a run that includes eight DNP’s over the past two years. If the ceiling is going to be capped due to the talent on this roster, he needs to offer an elevated floor every time the Eagles take the field — if you’re not confident in his ability to stay healthy, Goedert isn’t worth investing in.
I mentioned the lack of scoring upside, a stat that isn’t all that sticky year-over-year. That is, a spike TD season is in play for most, but given the way in which the Eagles attack the red zone, I’m not so sure that we should be holding our breath on a breakout scoring campaign for Goedert any time soon.
Over the past three seasons, seven times has an offense recorded a red zone rush rate north of 60% (for reference, the NFL average last season was 51.2%).
- 2022 Chicago Bears: 67.2%
- 2022 Atlanta Falcons: 66.9%
- 2022 Philadelphia Eagles: 66.9%
- 2023 Philadelphia Eagles: 63.8%
- 2022 Carolina Panthers: 61.3%
- 2022 New York Giants: 61%
- 2021 Philadelphia Eagles: 60.8%
Yes, Philadelphia has an offense that puts points on the board, and that’s typically a guiding light when it comes to chasing upside at a position like tight end that carries plenty of variance. But is the third option (at best) on a run-heavy offense really the path to success?
Goedert ‘s Dynasty Ranking
Where does Goedert land in the dynasty TE landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Kyle Soppe’s latest dynasty rankings, featuring where Goedert lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Sam LaPorta | DET
2) Trey McBride | ARI
3) George Kittle | SF
4) Mark Andrews | BAL
5) T.J. Hockenson | MIN
6) Evan Engram | JAX
7) Travis Kelce | KC
8) Jake Ferguson | DAL
9) Dalton Kincaid | BUF
10) Kyle Pitts | ATL
11) David Njoku | CLE
12) Dallas Goedert | PHI
13) Michael Mayer | LV
14) Dalton Schultz | HOU
15) Isaiah Likely | BAL
16) Darren Waller | NYG
17) Gerald Everett | LAC
18) Cole Kmet | CHI
19) Luke Musgrave | GB
20) Chigoziem Okonkwo | TEN
21) Greg Dulcich | DEN
22) Pat Freiermuth | PIT
23) Logan Thomas | WAS
24) Juwan Johnson | NO
25) Noah Fant | SEA
26) Taysom Hill | NO
27) Tucker Kraft | GB
28) Hunter Henry | NE
29) Cade Otton | TB
30) Irv Smith Jr. | CIN
31) Jelani Woods | IND
32) Tyler Higbee | LAR
33) Tyler Conklin | NYJ
34) Dawson Knox | BUF
35) Hayden Hurst | CAR
36) Mike Gesicki | NE
37) Brevin Jordan | HOU
38) Darnell Washington | PIT
39) Luke Schoonmaker | DAL
40) Donald Parham Jr. | LAC
41) Daniel Bellinger | NYG
42) Austin Hooper | LV
43) Jonnu Smith | ATL
44) Albert Okwuegbunam | PHI
45) Zach Ertz | DET
46) Adam Trautman | DEN
47) Noah Gray | KC
48) Mo Alie-Cox | IND
49) Robert Tonyan | CHI
50) Foster Moreau | NO
Should You Trade Goedert in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Goedert? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!
Since the acquisition of A.J. Brown from the Tennessee Titans, 50 times has an Eagle seen at least eight targets in a game — 42 of those instances have been produced by either Brown or DeVonta Smith.
Goedert’s path to volume isn’t clear, and this offense isn’t geared toward sustaining more than two pass catchers on a consistent basis given their play-calling tendencies as they approach the scoring zone.
MORE: Best Ball Fantasy TE Rankings 2024
I’m not giving up on Goedert as a back-end option, but if his name carries more value than that, I’d be inclined to trade him. In most leagues, you’ll be able to find 85% of the production that Goedert projects to possess either on your waiver wire or as a cheap throw-in to another deal.
The tight end position can be a maddening one to fill in dynasty leagues — I’d be more likely to stream the position than I would to allocate draft capital on an underwhelming veteran like Goedert.
