The Washington Commanders are 8-5 and remain alive in the NFC playoff hunt, despite losing three consecutive games before their dominating victory over the Tennessee Titans.
Following an unexpected loss to the Dallas Cowboys last week, the Commanders were able to bounce back against the Titans in Week 13.
Washington’s 7-2 start to the regular season feels like a lifetime ago, given the team’s struggles in recent weeks. What are Washington’s chances of making the playoffs or winning the Super Bowl?
Let’s look at all the scenarios in play.
Can the Commanders Make the Playoffs?
Heading into Week 14, the Washington Commanders are 8-5 and now have a 61.4% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 0.1% chance for the first seed, a 2.9% chance for the second seed, a 0.8% chance for the third seed, a <0.1% chance for the fourth seed, a 2.6% chance for the fifth seed, a 12.3% chance for the sixth seed, and a 42.8% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Commanders Win the NFC East?
Here’s what the NFC East race looks like heading into Week 14:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have a 96.2% chance to win the NFC East.
- The Washington Commanders have a 3.8% chance to win the NFC East.
- The Dallas Cowboys have a <0.1% chance to win the NFC East.
- The New York Giants have a 0.0% chance to win the NFC East.
Current NFC East Standings
- Philadelphia Eagles (10-2)
- Washington Commanders (8-5)
- Dallas Cowboys (5-7)
- New York Giants (2-10)
NFC Playoff Race | Week 18
1. Detroit Lions (14-2)
2. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)
3. Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)
5. Minnesota Vikings (14-2)
6. Washington Commanders (11-5)
7. Green Bay Packers (11-5)
In The Hunt
9. Atlanta Falcons (8-8)
Eliminated From Playoffs
8. Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
10. Dallas Cowboys (7-9)
11. Arizona Cardinals (7-9)
12. San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
13. New Orleans Saints (5-11)
14. Chicago Bears (4-12)
15. Carolina Panthers (4-12)
16. New York Giants (3-13)
Commanders’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 13
Can the Commanders win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Washington has a 2.4% chance to win it all.
Commanders’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 14: BYE
- Week 15: at New Orleans Saints
- Week 16: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Week 17: vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Week 18: at Dallas Cowboys
What PFN Predicted for the Titans vs. Commanders Matchup
Here’s where the Titans and Commanders rank in various Pro Football Network metrics:
Titans
Offense+ Metric: 30th (D-)
Defense+ Metric: 12th (C+)
Will Levis QB+ Metric: 35th (D-)
Commanders
Offense+ Metric: 4th (B)
Defense+ Metric: 23rd (D+)
Jayden Daniels QB+ Metric: 10th (B+)
Despite a rough first half of the regular season, the Titans shocked the NFL with a victory over the Texans in Week 12. Now Tennessee will attempt to carry that momentum on the road against the Commanders on Sunday.
Titans second-year quarterback Will Levis dealt with a shoulder injury earlier this season, although he appeared to be fully recovered last week. Levis had arguably his best performance of 2024 against the Texans, despite being sacked eight times.
Levis and the Titans could look to take advantage of the Commanders in Week 13, as Washington is suddenly spiraling out of control. Tennessee could lean on Tony Pollard against the Commanders, as the 27-year-old running back is coming off his best performance of the regular season against the Texans last week.
After a scorching hot start to the regular season, the Commanders have lost three consecutive games. Washington has fallen back down to earth in recent weeks, a skid that was extended by an unexpected loss to the Cowboys in Week 12.
Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels is at the center of Washington’s recent struggles. Daniels threw just two interceptions in the first 10 games of his NFL career. Yet in Washington’s last two games, Daniels has thrown three interceptions.
If the Commanders want to potentially challenge the Eagles for first place in the NFC East, they’ll need to take advantage of a three-win opponent, such as the Titans. Given the Commanders’ struggles in recent weeks, it feels as though this game will be closer than many expect it to be.
PFN Prediction: Commanders 27, Titans 24