College Football Bowl Projections Week 12: Oklahoma no longer part of the New Year’s Six

Baylor's upset of Oklahoma shook up our college football bowl projections so much that the Sooners aren't a New Year's Six team anymore.

Another Top 10 team fell on Saturday, meaning more shake-up in our college football bowl projections. If you’re trying to make postseason plans to see your team play, hold off for a while. Things are only going to get more confusing. In the meantime, here are our latest college football bowl projections after Week 11!

College Football Bowl Projections | Week 12

How do the bowl projections shake-up following another crazy week in college football? Which teams do we project playing in bowl games this season?

Bowl Projections

Texas Bowl: Iowa State vs. Tennessee
Citrus Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Auburn
Outback Bowl: Iowa vs. Texas A&M
Arizona Bowl: Nevada vs. Central Michigan
Sun Bowl: NC State vs. UCLA
Gator Bowl: Pitt vs. Tennessee
Las Vegas Bowl: Purdue vs. Oregon State
Music City Bowl: Penn State vs. Mississippi State

Duke’s Mayo Bowl: Louisville vs. Missouri
Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Arizona State
Cheez-It Bowl: Clemson vs. Texas
Pinstripe Bowl: Minnesota vs. Virginia
Fenway Bowl: North Carolina vs. SMU
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Kansas State vs. Maryland
Holiday Bowl: Rutgers vs. Washington

More Bowl Projections

Liberty Bowl: West Virginia vs. Arkansas
First Responder Bowl: Miami vs. UCF
Birmingham Bowl: UAB vs. Air Force
Military Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. ECU
Quick Lane Bowl: Illinois vs. Northern Illinois
Camellia Bowl: Kent State vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl: Utah State vs. Western Kentucky
Gasparilla Bowl: Florida vs. BYU
Armed Forces Bowl: Army vs. Texas Tech
Frisco Bowl: Louisiana vs. Houston

Remaining Bowl Projections

Idaho Potato Bowl: Miami (OH) vs. Boise State
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Coastal Carolina vs. Memphis
New Orleans Bowl: UTSA vs. App State
Los Angeles Bowl: San Diego State vs. USC
Lending Tree Bowl: Toledo vs. Troy
Independence Bowl: LSU vs. Liberty
New Mexico Bowl: FAU vs. Fresno State
Boca Raton Bowl: Syracuse vs. San Jose State
Cure Bowl: Boston College vs. Western Michigan
Bahamas Bowl: UTEP vs. Eastern Michigan

Analyzing the College Football Bowl Projections

Josh Heupel’s lightning-fast offense against Kenny Pickett and Pitt’s explosive offense has the potential to be one of the best bowl games ever. Meanwhile, Clemson and Texas square off in the Cheez-It Bowl, which doesn’t have the same flare it did heading into the season. Iowa and Texas A&M might lull you to sleep, but you’ll love it if you’re a fan of physical football (assuming the Aggies don’t lose half their defense to the draft before it).

When it comes to the Group of Five, there are a ton of matchups that I love in this group. Utah State and Western Kentucky have two of the most underrated passing attacks in the country. Bailey Zappe and Logan Bonner go head to head, as do Jerreth Sterns and Deven Thompkins. Don’t know their names? Look them up.

UCF finally gets a shot at an in-state opponent in Miami (FL), who might not have a head coach by then. Army and Fresno State square off in a battle, while under-the-radar teams Louisiana and Houston have the makings for a thriller.

Two potential conference champions are paired together in UTSA and App State, while newly bowl-eligible ECU faces a former AAC coach in Justin Fuente and Virginia Tech.

College Football’s New Year’s Six and Playoff Projections

Cotton Bowl: Georgia vs. Cincinnati
Orange Bowl: Ohio State vs. Oregon
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Oklahoma State
Rose Bowl: Michigan vs. Utah
Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Baylor
Peach Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Michigan State

Analyzing the New Year’s Bowl Projections

Oklahoma’s loss to Baylor knocked down another key domino for Cincinnati to get into the playoff. Our last college football bowl projections left them out, but this is the best chance a Group of Five team has ever had to make it, so we’re putting the Bearcats in to face Georgia. The rematch of last year’s Peach Bowl should be entertaining.

Speaking of rematches, Ohio State gets another crack at Oregon. The Buckeyes have been playing lights out while the Ducks seem to just manage to get by mediocre competition. If both win out, they should be in the playoff, leading to this much-anticipated rematch.

Alabama, in this situation, loses to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, pushing them to two losses. They face an Oklahoma State team that doesn’t quite make it to the playoff even if they do win the conference. Michigan still can make a playoff run but needs help from Ohio State and then has to beat the Buckeyes. Utah’s playing well and could play spoiler to Oregon’s playoff hopes in the next few weeks.

Notre Dame’s a tough team to beat right now, as is Baylor. Put these two together in the Fiesta Bowl, and you’ve got instant entertainment. Then, the Peach Bowl features Wake Forest and Michigan State, two teams that are having surprising seasons. Demon Deacons QB Sam Hartman and Spartans RB Kenneth Walker III are having career years for their teams.


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