Our Oklahoma vs. Texas prediction covers one of college football’s most storied rivalries as the sixth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners travel to Dallas to face the unranked Texas Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl. This Red River Rivalry meeting marks only the second time these SEC rivals have clashed as conference members, following their transition from the Big 12.
This analysis features exclusive PFSN player and team grades alongside a detailed examination of both programs’ current form and capabilities as these border rivals renew their legendary competition in the SEC era.
Oklahoma vs. Texas Game Details
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 11, 2025
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Cotton Bowl | Dallas, Texas
- Predicted weather at kick: 87°, partly cloudy
- How to watch: ABC
Oklahoma vs. Texas Head-to-Head Record
The Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns have a long history of epic games, with the “Red River Rivalry” dating back to 1900. The teams have played 120 times since then, and Texas has won 64 of these meetings.
There have also been five ties and 51 Oklahoma victories, so it isn’t truly one-sided, but Texas does hold the edge. There is no pattern to this, as Oklahoma won seven of the last ten games.
Texas dominated in last year’s meeting, 34-3, but the teams have split the game in the previous four seasons.
The longest win streak for Oklahoma is six games, spanning from 1952 to 1957, but Texas has the longest win streak, winning eight games from 1940 to 1947.
Oklahoma vs. Texas Grades
Below are the PFSN team and positional grades for the highest-ranked players set to be featured in Oklahoma vs. Texas.
- Oklahoma (76.65, C)
- Texas (76.92, C)
- Oklahoma (96.53, A)
- Texas (87.77, B+)
- Oklahoma (75.1, C)
- Texas (75.9, C)
- John Mateer, Oklahoma (89.7, B+)
- Arch Manning, Texas (76.7, C)
- Tory Blalock, Oklahoma (69.65, D+)
- Quintrevion Wisner, Texas (N/A)
- Isaiah Sategna III, Oklahoma (77.9, C+)
- Ryan Wingo, Texas (73.2, C)
- Jaren Kanak, Oklahoma (83.21, B-)
- Jack Endries, Texas (76.86, C)
PFSN College EDGEi
- R Mason Thomas, Oklahoma (79.6, C+)
- Colin Simmons, Texas (80.2, B-)
PFSN College DTi
- David Stone, Oklahoma (81.2, B-)
- Hero Kanu, Texas (76.21, C)
PFSN College LBi
- Kip Lewis, Oklahoma (69.87, D+)
- Anthony Hill Jr., Texas (75.47, C)
PFSN College CBi
- Gentry Williams, Oklahoma (78.5, C+)
- Malik Muhammad, Texas (83.7, B)
PFSN College SAFi
- Peyton Bowen, Oklahoma (74.88, C)
- Michael Taaffe, Texas (82.52, B)
Oklahoma vs. Texas Prediction
The No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns are around the same distance from the Cotton Bowl, so it is cool to see a rivalry game have a rivalry ground to be consistently played at like this. This is a must-win game for the Longhorns, and they have a tall task.
Oklahoma has the top-ranked defense using our PFSN College DEFi Impact Score, its strongest unit on the team. Texas’ defense is a respectable unit, ranking tenth in the nation. As you can see above, both teams are even with C ratings on offense and on their offensive line, so it will be about which offense can make the tough plays.
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With Texas CB Malik Muhammad’s status up in the air, Texas could be in serious trouble in a must-win game where Oklahoma is looking to establish itself as a legitimate threat to make the College Football Playoff and succeed. Texas’ play hasn’t been awe-inspiring lately, but they are still a good team.
With Oklahoma QB John Mateer’s status up in the air as well, people may think this is the break that Texas needs to win, but I think that either way, Oklahoma will make this game slow and flex its strength on defense. They will bait Texas into mistakes, and Oklahoma will kick their rival while they are down.
Prediction: No. 6 Oklahoma 27, Texas 17
