The only thing better than same game parlay picks for one game is same game parlay picks for two games! I’ve got a fun three-legger for you to consider as we conclude the second week of the NFL season with Browns vs. Steelers.
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Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds
Browns -142, Steelers +120
We here at Soppe HQ like to encourage responsible gaming, and in that vein, I’ll always offer you a trivia question off the top of these articles. Pose this question to a buddy you are watching the game with. Answer correctly, and you pay for the SGP; misfire, and he/she is on the hook.
Trivia Question: Three straight Cleveland/Pittsburgh games have seen the home team win by double digits. Can you name one of the four Steelers not named Najee Harris or Ben Roethlisberger in the last meeting in which the road team won?
These divisional showdowns can be tough to evaluate, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t angles to be had! This game has a sub-40-point total, and while that feels low to me, let’s say the Wise Guys have it roughly right. That implies that points are going to be tough to come by, and if last season taught us anything, it’s that these two offenses take some time to warm up.
Both Cleveland and Pittsburgh were below-average first-half scoring offenses in 2022, while the Browns were the sixth-best first-half scoring defense. That strength was certainly clear in their season-opening upset of the Bengals, as they forced Joe Burrow and the boys to go three-and-out in the majority of their first-half possessions.
The Browns defense was impressive last weekend, while the Steelers, even if you adjust for the opponent, were a disaster. The fightin’ Brock Purdy’s torched them for 5.9 yards per play and never looked back. How did they do it? Purdy ranked fourth on the week in aDOT, and if the Browns adapt that game plan, we are in business.
Donovan Peoples-Jones played 89.2% of Cleveland’s offensive snaps last week and pretty clearly has a stable role. If we tell the story of Deshaun Watson taking some deep shots, we have a nice opportunity to cash in by way of DPJ. The big-play threat has seen more than five targets 11 times in his career, and in those contests, he’s averaged 67.2 receiving yards and put up 45+ yards in 10 of 11 occasions.
Deshaun Watson is back 😳
— NFL Notifications (@NFLNotify) September 10, 2023
If we are going to target a player like DPJ, we better be confident that the Browns are going to stay on the field. While Watson has yet to showcase the upside he had in Houston, he does have at least five rush attempts in six of seven games with Cleveland and has a 12+ yard carry in five straight.
Those plays won’t directly help our SGP, but they do help extend drives and thus give us more bites at the apple.
Trivia Answer: Chase Claypool, Ray Ray McCloud, Anthony McFarland, or Kalen Ballage.
Same Game Parlay: Browns 1H (+3.5), Donovan Peoples-Jones 45+ receiving yards, and Browns over 19.5 points
Odds: +475 (DraftKings)
Play both MNF SGP’s (New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers: Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions) together for a cool +3925 lottery ticket!