With a pair of same game parlay picks for you to wrap up Week 2, couldn’t you argue that “having a case of the Mondays” is a good thing? With a pair of interesting games on tap, let’s look at some stats and trends in an effort to make this a profitable evening of betting on the NFL, starting with your Saints vs. Panthers picks.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers Odds
Saints -155, Panthers +130
We here at Soppe HQ like to encourage responsible gaming, and in that vein, I’ll always offer you a trivia question off the top of these articles. Pose this question to a buddy you are watching the game with. Answer correctly, and you pay for the SGP; misfire, and he/she is on the hook.
Trivia Question: Derek Carr takes over an offense that was led by Jameis Winston last season. Who has more regular-season career games with 300+ passing yards of the two?
When you’re building out your same game parlay picks, you have to be decisive with the story you’re telling, and in the first Monday Night Football game of Week 2, all signs point to the Saints. They have the edge in playmakers and experience on both sides of the ball and have a true opportunity to send a message to the rest of the NFC during these first six weeks.
MORE: NFC South Division Odds
So, how do we build this out? Last season, the Panthers, despite a schedule with subpar quarterback talent on the opposition, ranked 21st in yards per pass. That alone would mean targeting them through the air as an option, and with 2021 first-round pick Jaycee Horn on IR (hamstring), this is a good spot to load up on the Saints.
“Just speed demons” – Tyrann Mathieu on Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed
— NOF (@nofnetwork) September 15, 2023
In Week 1, Rashid Shaheed again showcased his game-breaking abilities, and with Carr’s aDOT continuing to trend up (second highest in Week 1), Shaheed’s 4.3 speed is a weapon of mass destruction. He has a 30+ yard grab in seven of his past 11 games and has been efficient in his young career (33 catches on 40 targets).
As the Saints build their lead, they are likely to call on their pounding lead back in Jamaal Williams. The holder of the 2022 touchdown crown, Williams (18 rush attempts) was the only Saint with more than three carries last week. That work came against an elite run defense, something Carolina does not have, especially if they are scrambling on the backend to fill the void left by Horn.
At the end of the day, if you’re like me and going heavy on New Orleans props, you need them to have the ball. Miles Sanders wasn’t all that efficient last week, and yet, he averaged more yards per carry (4.0) than Bryce Young did per pass (3.8). Nothing suggests that the Panthers will be able to stay on the field, and that is why my money rests in the hands of this Saints offense.
Trivia Answer: Carr holds a 34-28 edge over Winston in 300-yard regular-season games.
Same Game Parlay: Saints (-2.5), Jamaal Williams anytime TD, Jamaal Williams 45+ rushing yards, Rashid Shaheed 30+ receiving yards
Odds: +600 (DraftKings)