As we close in toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move, with key events like free agency continuing to roll on and the 2023 NFL Draft still to come. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of QB Brock Purdy.
Brock Purdy’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
I hate injuries. I wish there were some way we could turn those off in the settings. The San Francisco 49ers would agree with me on this one. Not only did they lose Trey Lance early in the season, but then Jimmy Garoppolo got hurt, which forced the 49ers to start 2023 Mr. Irrelevant, Brock Purdy.
Anyone who had low expectations of what the former Iowa State QB would do based strictly on his draft capital was quickly turned into a believer. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not saying Purdy was the most talented quarterback on the field every week. However, he was efficient, showed zero fear, and looked like someone with absolute NFL-caliber talent.
Playing in six games while making five starts, Purdy averaged 218 yards per game on 18.3-of-26.8 passing with 13 touchdowns to only three interceptions as the QB9 from Weeks 13 through 18. He threw for multiple touchdowns in every game, and although he brought little in the rushing department, he finished as no worse than the QB14, with three of his five starts inside the top nine at the position.
Averaging 19.8 PPR points per game, Purdy was an instant QB1. He likely helped several managers secure titles in redraft and some Superflex leagues, where he was likely available on waivers for dynasty. Unfortunately, Purdy was not immune from the injury bug that plagued the position.
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After throwing for nearly 550 yards with three touchdowns in his first two playoff games, Purdy tore the UCL in his throwing arm during the NFC Championship Game against Philadelphia.
But what gets forgotten was Purdy came back into the game and played with a torn UCL when the 49ers lost QB Josh Johnson. That’s toughness that wins locker rooms. The timeline to undergo surgery was in late February, but due to inflammation in the elbow, the date moved back to March 10.
While a concern, it has been reported the delay in Purdy’s surgery will not impact his recovery timeline — swelling needed to be out of his arm to insert the internal brace. Per The Athletic, the current plan is for Purdy to begin throwing in three months, with an expected recovery in six months.
While there have been no official statements, it is widely considered there will be an open competition for the quarterback position in 2023. But that can only happen if both players are healthy.
Brock Purdy’s Dynasty Fantasy Ranking
Given that Lance will be several months ahead of Purdy and will have participated in OTAs, my gut reaction is that Purdy will be the backup in 2023. It’s an excellent problem for the 49ers to have, as they know they will always have a reliable backup if they need to go in that direction. Still, it’s also a shame for Purdy, as he should be a starting quarterback in the NFL over several of the guys other teams are rolling out under center.
Currently, he is the QB26 in our dynasty quarterback rankings. While he doesn’t have the starting job, Purdy should have a chance to get back under center or, at minimum, be a priority trade target. In Superflex rankings, where QBs see an increase in value due to positional scarcity, Purdy is the No. 117 overall player.
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As a manager, I wouldn’t go rushing out to acquire Purdy. He is more of a sell-high candidate for me, as managers who paid basically nothing can cash him in for draft compensation in the upcoming rookie draft. I am not sure if Purdy is good or if the 49ers as a team are that good. That’s one of the questions for Jimmy Garoppolo to answer as he goes to Las Vegas.
I would play off the angle that there will be an open competition, and you’d want to make this move happen before there are any reports about his recovery. If there are any setbacks, his dynasty value will take a hit due to the extended timeline and likelihood of his next best opportunity coming in 2024 — and only if Lance struggles.