The Cincinnati Bengals and Denver Broncos are in a five-team tie for the playoffs in the AFC. The Bengals have struggled in recent games, posting a 2-4 record over their last six games, including a bad loss to the New York Jets. The Broncos are 4-2 over that span without any bad losses. They do boast wins over the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Chargers in those games. In this article, you’ll find the NFL odds along with my pick and prediction for the Bengals vs. Broncos this weekend.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos pick, prediction | Week 15
- Spread: Broncos -2 (Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Moneyline: Bengals +105, Broncos -125
- Over/Under: 42.5
Cincinnati’s success has been somewhat dependent on Joe Burrow. The Bengals started the season with a 5-2 record through seven games. Over that span, Burrow averaged 279.4 yards with 2.4 touchdowns and 1.1 interceptions on 30.3 pass attempts per game. He posted a 68.9% completion percentage in those contests.
On their recent six-game stretch, Cincinnati has recorded a 4-2 record. Burrow’s completion rate still sits at 68.7%. With that said, he’s only averaging 254.5 passing yards with 1.3 touchdowns and 1 interception per game.
Burrow is coming off of a solid game in an overtime loss to the San Francisco 49ers. He recorded 348 yards with 2 touchdowns in that loss, and Burrow could continue to get back on track this week.
Bengals vs. Broncos betting trends
The Broncos have found slightly more success against the spread (ATS) than the Bengals this season. They enter this game with a 7-6 ATS record, while Cincinnati owns a 6-7 ATS record.
Denver has also seen some success at home, covering the spread in 57.1% of their games.
The Bengals have been at their best on the road, though, covering in 66.7% of their road games. They’re beating the spread by an average of 11.3 points per game on the road.
Cincinnati’s leaned slightly toward the under in their games, finding it in 53.9% of their contests. Denver has hit the under in 76.9% of their games, which ranks second in the NFL.
Bengals vs. Broncos prediction
This is one of the most intriguing games of the week. There are clear stakes in a game that should stay tight throughout. Cincinnati’s offense boasts more upside, although I trust Denver’s defense slightly more with the home-field advantage.
One of the keys in this game will be whether the Bengals’ run defense can slow down a surging Javonte Williams. Although I don’t expect Cincinnati to stop the rookie running back, I expect them to slow him down.
I prefer the under instead of a side, but I’m leaning slightly with Cincinnati winning outright as underdogs.
Bengals vs. Broncos Prediction: Bengals 20, Broncos 17