As we close in toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move, with key events like free agency and the 2023 NFL Draft still to come. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the dynasty rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown.
A.J. Brown’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
Brown is special. He has been since his time at Ole Miss and in Tennessee with the Titans. Following a shocking draft night trade in 2022 that sent Brown to the Eagles, his game reached another level.
After securing the bag with a four-year, $100 million contract, Brown was almost underpaid in 2022. The WR6 for fantasy, Brown was eighth in points per game with 17.6 PPR on average while accounting for 28.97% of the targets (sixth) and the third-most air yards at 40.84%.
After averaging 6.17 receptions on 98.3 targets for 998.3 yards and eight touchdowns in his three years with the Titans, Brown had a career-best season with the Eagles, catching 88 of his 146 targets (eighth) for 1,496 yards (fourth) and 11 touchdowns (second). He was also seventh in deep targets (28), 12th in red-zone targets (16), second in yards after the catch (543) and YPRR (3.01), fourth in yards per target, first in target share vs. man (37.7%), and 16th in EPA.
It was as good as anyone could have ever asked for when the trade happened. Not only did it help elevate the Eagles, but it helped launch Jalen Hurts’ stock to a new level and cemented Brown as one of the top receivers in the entire league. We knew Brown was great, but all 2022 did was prove he is special.
A.J. Brown Fantasy Ranking
From whatever lens you want to use, Brown was on a different level in 2022. With four years of high-upside play, Brown is cemented in the top four dynasty wide receivers and is in Tier 2 with CeeDee Lamb — just behind the Tier 1 group of Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase.
It’s a coin flip between Brown and Lamb, but I currently have Brown as the WR4 in PPR formats. When it comes to Superflex rankings, where quarterbacks see an increase in value due to positional scarcity, Brown is ranked No. 12 overall.
Brown is a legitimate No. 1 alpha that is tied to a franchise QB for the next five to six years, with the bulk of that in his prime. He’s a first-round pick in both 1QB and Superflex startup drafts.
Brown is worth multiple first-round picks and someone who fits both championship-caliber teams or rebuilding rosters, given the wide window for him to remain an elite asset. I would be very hesitant moving Brown unless you receive an offer that is simply too good to turn down and the other manager is okay with overpaying.
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