Match Details
- Fixture: Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina
- Date: Jul. 3, 2025
- Tournament: Wimbledon 2025
- Round: Second round (Round of 64)
- Venue: London, Great Britain
- Category: Grand Slam
- Surface: Outdoor Grass
- Live telecast: Tennis Channel and ESPN (USA)/ BBC, TNT Sports, and Discovery + (UK)/ TSN and RDS (Canada)
Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina Preview
Maria Sakkari arrives at Wimbledon with underwhelming results throughout the season. Her form on grass has also been a mixed bag, as she bounced back from a tough qualifying loss in Berlin to reach the second round at s‑Hertogenbosch, and then made the first round of the All England Club, defeating Anna Blinkova 6‑4, 6‑4. Overall, her 2025 tally stands at 15 wins and 19 losses.
The 2022 Wimbledon champion Elena Rybakina, on the other hand, comes in with more momentum and a healthier grass‑court resume. Earlier this year, she moved past Jelena Ostapenko 6‑2, 6‑2 to reach the French Open fourth round.
Firing away! 🔥
Elena Rybakina books her ticket into the next round after defeating Avanesyan 6-2,6-1. #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/2VoMt4CrEN
— wta (@WTA) July 1, 2025
Rybakina currently stands at 4‑2 on grass courts, with a notable upset loss at Queen’s, falling to veteran Tatjana Maria in the second round. However, the Kazakh remains statistically strong, with 70% match wins and averaging over five aces per match.
Rybakina is currently the World No. 11 and sits eighth in the WTA Race to the Finals, compared to Sakkari’s more modest 44th place.
Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head
Elena Rybakina leads the head‑to‑head series against Maria Sakkari 4–1 across five matches. Their most recent encounter occurred during the United Cup on December 30, 2024, in Perth, where Rybakina prevailed 6‑4, 6‑3.
Another notable prior meeting came at the 2024 Miami Open quarterfinals, where Rybakina defeated Sakkari 7‑5, 6‑7(4), 6‑4 in a 2‐hour, 48‑minute thriller.
Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Known for her aggressive all-court game backed by a dependable serve and powerful groundstrokes, Maria Sakkari enters Wimbledon with a modest grass record of 3 wins and 3 losses this year, including a promising first-round performance against Blinkova . She hits around 1.67 aces per grass match, a decent figure but less intimidating than her rival’s firepower.
Rybakina, on the other hand, brings the full arsenal of a classic grass specialist. This includes flat, deep groundstrokes, high-risk winners, and a thunderous serve averaging over 6 aces per match in 2025. Her all-court aggression and her serve power have already led the tour in aces this year.
Sakkari wins about 56.5% of her service points, with double faults averaging 3.7 per game. While her serve is solid, Rybakina’s is one step ahead. The Kazakh averages 6.12 aces per match and frequently delivers more than 4–5 aces in a match , also converting roughly 2.84 break points per match.
Her season win-loss record currently stands at 29-12, including the recent first-round win over Elina Avenesyan. Sakkari’s 2025 grass outcomes (2–3) and aces rate (≈1.67 per match) underline her firm grip but suggest she lacks the momentum to dominate on this surface.
Pick: Rybakina to win in three sets
Read More: 8 Most Exciting Second-Round Matches at Wimbledon 2025 ft. Emma Raducanu and Carlos Alcaraz
