Buccaneers vs. 49ers Player Prop Bets: Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Mike Evans, and Others

This Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers matchup is one of three games in the late afternoon today, with San Francisco being a heavy favorite. However, both offenses feature plenty of talent at the skill positions, making it an intriguing game from a player props perspective. Which player prop bets should you be targeting?

Top Buccaneers vs. 49ers Player Prop Bets To Target

Mike Evans Player Props

• Receiving Yards: 55.5 (Over -122/Under -114)
• Receptions: 4.5 (Over +110/Under -150)
• Longest Reception: 22.5 (Over -118/Under -118)
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +190

Blewis: Of wide receivers with at least 50 targets for the season, Mike Evans is fifth in average depth of target at 14.3. The point is that Evans doesn’t need a ton of volume to go over a low number of 55.5 receiving yards, and this comes in a game in which they’re double-digit underdogs.

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The Buccaneers are 15th in pass rate over expectation despite having the worst rushing offense in the NFL. But if they fall behind early in this one as expected, hopefully, they won’t be hesitant to abandon the running game and give their receivers, particularly Evans, a lot of opportunities.

Pick: Mike Evans over 55.5 receiving yards (-122 at ESPN BET)

Trey Palmer Player Props

• Receiving Yards: 21.5 (Over -122/Under -114)
• Receptions: 2.5 (Over +125/Under -175)
• Longest Reception: 13.5 (Over -118/Under -118)
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +460

Katz: All of the focus in this game is rightfully on Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, but Trey Palmer has firmly taken hold of the WR3 role.

The 49ers are a pass-funnel defense. We also could see the Bucs fall behind, forcing them to throw even more. Palmer is out there in all three-receiver sets. He could get lucky and find the end zone while the game is competitive. But what if it’s not?

What if Evans and Godwin are on the bench in the fourth quarter while the 49ers are playing prevent with Palmer as the WR1? The odds are too good for Palmer to score this week.

Pick: Trey Palmer anytime touchdown (+800 at FanDuel)

Brock Purdy Player Props

• Passing Yards: 258.5 (Over -118/Under -118)
• Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -145/Under +107)
• Pass Completions: 20.5 (Over -125/Under -110)
• Pass Attempts: 29.5 (Over -114/Under -122)
• Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +125/Under -175)

Blewis: Brock Purdy should have his way with this Buccaneers passing defense today. The last time we saw this team play on the road, they allowed five touchdown passes from C.J. Stroud.

They were fortunate to play Will Levis last week, but the only quarterback who didn’t throw for two or more touchdown passes against this Bucs team at home was Derek Carr, and he was playing through an injury that game.

When this 49ers offense is at full strength, Purdy has thrown for two or more touchdowns in four out of six games, including three out of four home games.

Pick: Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130 at FanDuel)

Christian McCaffrey Player Props

• Rushing Yards: 68.5 (Over -118/Under -118)
• Receiving Yards: 31.5 (Over -122/Under -114)
• Receptions: 4.5 (Over +125/Under -175)
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -200

Blewis: Christian McCaffrey’s touchdown streak finally came to an end last week, even when they did everything they could to try and get him into the end zone late in the game.

Unlike most of the other sportsbooks, ESPN BET offers odds for players NOT to score a touchdown. For almost every player, there is heavy juice on the no, that is, except for McCaffrey.

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Now that the streak is over, the +140 odds on him not to score are really appealing when you consider the 49ers won’t have extra motivation for him to extend his streak anymore, and guys like Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle are more than capable of racking up touchdowns instead.

Pick: Christian McCaffrey not to score a touchdown (+140 at ESPN BET)

Deebo Samuel Player Props

• Receiving Yards: 49.5 (Over -118/Under -118)
• Receptions: 4.5 (Over +110/Under -150)
• Longest Reception: 21.5 (Over -118/Under -118)
• Rushing Yards: 12.5 (Over -110/Under -125)
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +135

Blewis: In the 49ers’ five double-digit wins this season, Deebo Samuel has averaged 15 rushing yards per game. But if you narrow that down to the two games that they were favored by 10 or more points, like in this matchup, Samuel has rushed for eight total yards.

In those three other games, the 49ers were short favorites, so they went into those matchups thinking they would need Samuel both as a runner and a receiver.

Given how poorly the Buccaneers are at defending the pass, I expect that to be how Kyle Shanahan attacks their defense. It’s a low number, but I don’t think Samuel is going to get many opportunities on the ground here.

Pick: Deebo Samuel under 12.5 rushing yards (-120 at DraftKings)

George Kittle Player Props

• Receiving Yards: 44.5 (Over -118/Under -118)
• Receptions: 3.5 (Over -114/Under -122)
• Longest Reception: 21.5 (Over -110/Under -125)
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +185

Soppe: The 49ers are 12-point favorites this week, and that inherently comes with some volume risk when it comes to evaluating the passing game.

That, along with a healthy group of pass catchers, is really all I need to fade Kittle. This season, in games in which Deebo Samuel has played, Kittle has seen 4.1 targets per game (down from 9.0 in the two games Samuel sat with the shoulder injury). For his career, the tight end averages 9.8 yards per target, putting us in a spot to do some simple multiplication:

• 4.1 targets x 9.8 yards per target = 40.2 yards

It’s never that easy, but in a game where we expect San Francisco to take their foot off the gas in an effort to keep their offense at full strength with a short work week ahead (at Seattle on Thursday night), this could easily be one of those dud games from Kittle.

Pick: George Kittle under 44.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

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